Event Results

Y-12 Men's Épée

Summer Nationals and July ChallengePool Heatmap

Sunday, July 5, 2026 at 8:00 AM Oregon Convention Center · Portland, OR, USA
239 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
3 DU Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
3 TANG Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
5 HWANG Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
6 KROPP Wesley 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
7 YAO Ryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
8 LI Andy 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
9 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 52%
10 MADRIGAL SALVAT Guillermo 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
11 TUBALTSEV Evan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
12 ZHANG jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60%
13 WU James 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
14 XU Isaac 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 23% 4%
15 GALBRAITH Carson 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
16 LANE Sawyer 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
17 LIU Austin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
18 LIN Bryan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38%
19 LEE Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
20 TANG Luke 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
21 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
22 CHUNG Daehyun Daniel 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
23 MOSLEY Wally 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
24 LEE Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
25 LI Stephen 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4%
26 PARK Roy 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
27 TANG Jayce 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
28 WU Nathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
29 ZHUKOV Egor 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
30 ZHENG Jasper 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 56% 18%
31 KRAVCHENKO Philip 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 7% 1%
32 YUE Bryan 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 1%
33 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 23%
33 KUYKENDALL Logan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
35 CHAN Nathan 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
36 PARK Ethan 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
37 YAO Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
38 FERNANDEZ William 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
39 PINCHUK Spencer 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
40 BUTLER Xavier 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
41 KHUSHRAJ Rohan 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 45% 12%
42 NOOL Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
43 SUN Jiarui (Jerry) 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
44 SHKOP Alexander 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
45 ZHAO Ryan 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
46 WONG Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
47 YOU Asher 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 21%
48 ZHANG Aiden 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
49 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 8% 1%
50 BEN-YOSEPH Rafael 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
51 SOHONI Vir 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
52 BRATU Max 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
53 YIM Antonio 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 5%
54 DING Max 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
55 BENNETTE Graham 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 2%
56 SAMOYLOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
57 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
58 ZHOU Jason 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
59 ZHANG Jayden 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
60 YOON Ian 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% -
61 SHIH Derek 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
62 BALUCAN Gabriel 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
63 SHAO Mason 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 1%
64 LIU Maximilian 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
65 LIU Leo 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 7%
66 GARIKIPATI Tharan 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
67 DUCHNOWSKI Thiesson 100% 99% 92% 70% 38% 12% 1%
67 LAI Jaxon 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
69 HUA Nolan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
69 YOO Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
71 MBERIA Henry 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16% 1%
72 TALANDZEVICIUS Tomas 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
73 KIM Brendan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
74 ZHAO Brandon 100% 96% 71% 30% 5% -
75 JU Shang 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
76 KIM Hayden 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
77 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
78 KOVAC Blake 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 5%
79 YOU Emmanuel 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
80 YUN Mason 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14% 1%
81 CHU Clayton 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
82 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
83 ZHAO Luke 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 7% -
84 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
85 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% -
86 ROBERTS Arthur 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
87 CHEN Hayden 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
88 LIN Logan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
89 CHEN Aiden 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
89 NG Remy 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 25% 5%
91 THOMSON Piers 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
92 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
93 CAREY John 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
94 ZOU Grant 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1% -
95 PATEL Yash 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
96 LEE Asher 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 1%
97 GACIOCH Calvin 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
98 LU Ian 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 12%
99 ORIGER John 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 25%
100 LO Stefan 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
101 YOON Jonathan 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
102 PAGLIARINI James 100% 95% 66% 25% 4% -
103 TIAN Dylan 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
104 KIM William 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
105 GUO Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 10% 1%
106 RODRIGUEZ Emiliano 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
107 YONG Connor 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
108 KO Ethan 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
109 MODI Vihaan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
110 GEVA Reuben 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
111 FU Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
112 SALIM Ethan 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
113 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
113 KHALID Ilyas 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
115 KOKLIAGUINE Stefan 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
116 CHEN Linus 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
117 FAYEZ Adam 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
118 LEE James K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 12%
119 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
120 LI Connor 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
121 DIRKSEN Jamie 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
122 HOLDEN Harrison 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
123 PELCZAR James 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
124 FEELY Samuel 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
125 ZHENG Dylan 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
126 CHEN Nathan 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 11% 1%
127 CHEN Regis 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 14% 2%
128 DUCOURNAU Enzo 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
129 ELARDO Griffin 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% -
130 KUYKENDALL Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
131 XIONG Alec 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
132 REED Andrew 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
133 LU Shawn 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
134 LAW Benjamin 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
135 DESAI Adithya 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
136 LEUNG Joon 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
137 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
138 WANG Lucas 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
139 YI Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 3%
140 KICIMAN Louis 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
141 GORE Noah 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
142 JUNG Brandon 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
143 DUDDA Kavin 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 4% -
144 JIANG Adam 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
145 AGRAWAL Ariv 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
146 CHA Aiden 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
147 LEE Daniel 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 6% 1%
148 YAN Milan 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
149 REN Mark 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 2%
150 HAN Alex 100% 96% 73% 35% 9% 1%
151 IVANOV Andrew 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
152 DOLEZAL Grayson 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% -
153 BONTHA Aneesh 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
154 YE Junmao 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
155 NOVAK Luke 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
156 CHU Joe 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
157 GREGORY Milo 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
158 BALLEZA Maximilian 100% 98% 83% 53% 22% 5% 1%
159 MITTELSTAEDT EJ 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 5% -
160 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
161 PINCIROLI Tommaso 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 6% -
162 SALIBA Jackson 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
162 YONG Dylan 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 3% -
164 NOCON Garrison 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
165 NOVOSELOV Roman 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
165 POLIAKOV Timur 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
167 GAO Jonathan G. 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
168 VAN RIET Matteo 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 5% -
169 LI Ethan 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
170 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 1%
171 LIN Daniel 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
172 BHATT Shivam 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
173 BUSH Andrew 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
174 TENG Eric 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
175 GOLDBERG Simon 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
176 WANG Franklin 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
177 LAU Jesse 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
177 CHO Vinny 100% 98% 87% 57% 23% 4% -
179 WANG Alexander 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
180 LI Sean 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
181 KAZA Avyaan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
182 BOROVIKOV Alexander 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
183 TOTH Leland 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
184 HOHMAN Elias 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
185 ZHANG Jacob 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
186 JI Dylan 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
187 CHI Zachary 100% 96% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
188 FILKOV Timur 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
189 DODDAPANENI Arjun 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 1% -
190 SI Alexander 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
191 LIU FREDERICK 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
192 YE Andrew 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
193 ANDREWS Elliott 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
194 NISHIOKA Hiro 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
195 YANG Rony 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
196 MATUSOW Brandon 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
197 YANG Clark 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
197 LI Jacob 100% 98% 86% 54% 22% 5% -
199 ALI Akash 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
200 SAFAI Bardia 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
200 LEE Paxton 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
200 EVANS Harvey 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
200 NOZAWA Luke 100% 64% 23% 5% 1% - -
204 YANTZ Rhys 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
205 SHABBIR Mohammad Amaan 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
205 LEE Connor 100% 75% 32% 8% 1% - -
207 DEMIRCHIAN Edward 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% - -
207 CHANG Ephram 100% 92% 56% 19% 3% - -
207 KO Caden 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
207 FLORES Alexander 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
211 BIRKEY Logan 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
212 HONG Evan 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
213 ABEYSINGHE Sayul 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
214 ABEZGAUZ Ariel 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
215 HAO hardy 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
216 SIMONS Perrin 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
216 OUYANG Anderson 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
218 TAN Wyatt 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
219 SALZER Aage 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
219 LEE Cooper 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
221 CANONACO Maddox 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -
222 MORET Declan 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
223 CHEUNG Daniel 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
224 AKKARA Skyler 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
225 YIN Henry 100% 99% 87% 52% 14% 1%
226 SCHELTZ Owen 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
227 KIM Christian 100% 73% 31% 6% 1% -
228 MCGAHAN Cashton 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
229 DUCHNOWSKI Kempson 100% 93% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
230 ROTHSCHILD Jonah 100% 100% 96% 78% 47% 17% 3%
230 YADAV Aarav 100% 90% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
230 ZHANG Renkui 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
233 PINNINTI Ishan 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
234 NAGELHOUT Cole 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
235 YANG Mikey 100% 73% 31% 8% 1% - -
236 YANTZ Stosh 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
237 HERIGSTAD Daniel 100% 70% 29% 6% 1% - -
237 SZETO Jonathan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 1% -
239 KOU Logan 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -