Event Results

Div I Challenger Men's Épée

October NACPool Heatmap

Friday, October 9, 2026 at 1:00 PM Orange County Convention Center · Orlando, FL, USA
233 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WU Steven 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
2 HUTTO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
3 ZHAO Michael(Junyi) 100% 99% 92% 61% 20% 2% -
3 NGO-D'ANDRE Nicolas 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% < 1%
5 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 6%
6 BUI Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
7 CALDERON Diego 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
8 WILSON Sean H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
9 MIDYANY Ryan 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% < 1%
10 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
11 SHIN Yubin 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24% 2%
12 RAFIDI Joseph (Joey) F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 60% 14%
13 MOSES Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 20%
14 WICAS Graham E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
15 NAKAS Levent 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
16 PARKS-GOOD Tyler 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
17 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
18 SOBESHKEVYCH ROMAN 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
19 DODIN Daniel M. 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 8% 1%
20 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
21 HELMLINGER Ean 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
22 MA Haojia 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
23 DURKIN Hudson 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
24 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7% -
25 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
26 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 99% 94% 74% 42% 15% 2%
27 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
28 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
29 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
30 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 47% 14%
31 DOLMETSCH Max 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
32 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
33 DESTEFANO Julius 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
34 JOHNSON Ryder 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
35 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
36 SLESS Alexander Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
37 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
38 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
39 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
40 MODULLA Yathin R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
40 DU Evan 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 3%
42 YILMAZ Tarik 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
43 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
44 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
45 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
46 TOWNSHEND Connor 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
47 JEONG Arisu 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 3%
48 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 1%
49 MITTELSTAEDT Isaiah 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
50 OSMAN Amjad 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
51 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
52 LOUIE Joseph 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 7% 1%
53 NAEMI Barsam 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
54 MIAO Quentin K. 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
55 CHA Patrick 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
56 CHEN Tianjun 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
57 SIEDOW William 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 12% 2%
58 KIM Henry 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 11% 1%
59 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
60 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 6%
61 LI Timothy 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
62 LI Grayson 100% 96% 73% 35% 8% 1%
63 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
64 GUNDUBOGULA Saket Rishi 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
65 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
66 POULIQUEN Nicolas J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
67 KIM Byung 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
68 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
69 BEZAS Constantine 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% < 1%
70 ARLINGTON Nicholas J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
71 WANG Devin 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
72 GUO Austin S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50%
73 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
73 LEHNER Brian 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
75 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
75 PAN Boru 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21%
77 LIU Adam 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 6% -
78 FULLERTON Houston T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
79 VAN RIET Stefan 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
80 LACROIX Floryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 3%
81 DENG Destin 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% < 1% -
82 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% < 1% -
83 LIU Yueri 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
84 MARSHALL John W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 25%
85 MOORE Jeremy S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
86 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
87 YU Austin 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
88 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
89 TIEMANN Landen 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
90 QIAN Irvine 100% 89% 52% 14% 2% -
90 GACIOCH Noah 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
92 SATHYAN Dev 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
93 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
94 MULDOON Tommy 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3% -
95 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
96 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
97 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
98 DANIEL Camron 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
99 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
100 LIM Julien K. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
101 LEUNG Dylan 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
102 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 14%
103 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
104 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 99% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
105 KOFMAN David 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
106 HOWARD Jackson 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
107 DECKER Hunter 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
108 YANG Gary 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 8%
108 VOO Lucas 100% 88% 49% 12% 1% -
110 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 24%
111 SHCHUR Grayson 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
112 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
113 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 87% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
114 YI Nathan 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
114 FU Nolan 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
116 IBANEZ Benjamin 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
117 GLUSHKOV David 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
118 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
119 ZHANG Kwan Fei(Albert) 100% 98% 88% 59% 25% 6% -
120 KIM Leejay 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
121 YAO Tristan 100% 68% 23% 3% - -
122 WU Matthew 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% - -
123 TOOR Sukhwinderpal 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
124 LEE Daniel 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
125 EDGECOMB Michael J. 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
125 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 6%
127 TRAN Spencer 100% 98% 82% 42% 10% 1% -
128 KYPRAIOS Nicholas 100% 98% 87% 56% 22% 5% -
129 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
130 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
131 SU Samuel 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
132 CAI Brian 100% 100% 94% 69% 26% 3%
133 MOORE Alexander 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 3% -
134 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
135 BOSS Evan 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
136 WILSON Ian G. 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1%
137 HSU Joshua 100% 99% 83% 47% 15% 2%
138 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12% 1%
139 VAN JAARSVELD Leo 100% 88% 56% 23% 6% 1% -
140 BAGDONAS Olivier 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
141 XUE Michael 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
142 CHANEY Charles 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
143 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
143 LI Tristan 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
145 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
146 LEE Royce 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 32% 7%
147 HAN Keyi 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% - -
147 SCHMIDT Paxton 100% 80% 38% 10% 1% - -
149 BHANDARE Veer 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
149 CHO Alex 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
151 WU Johnny y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
152 CHEN Edward 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
153 CHEN Cameron 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
154 ZHU Yiming 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
154 LAJOIE Christophe 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 24% 5%
156 CUELLAR Markus 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
157 IRWIN Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
157 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 95% 75% 42% 14% 3% -
159 LEWIS Jared 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
160 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 4%
161 MARISI Gabriel 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
162 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 87% 50% 17% 3% - -
163 ADDLEMAN Joshua 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
164 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
165 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
166 SUH Aiden 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
167 CHEN Raymond 100% 88% 50% 14% 2% - -
168 SIMMES Jackson 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
169 NOLAN Tyler 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
170 CHEN Evan 100% 84% 49% 18% 3% - -
171 KIM Ian 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
172 AHMED Mohsen 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
173 LEE Anton 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
174 HERARD Weiman 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
175 MUMMIDI Rishi 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
176 GONZALEZ Kian 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
176 JERDEE Colton 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
178 CHEN Aiden 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
178 NGUYEN Ethan V. 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
180 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
181 HEADRICK Jack 100% 96% 76% 40% 10% 1% -
182 HE Bronto 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
183 YELIN-STEIN Ethan M. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
184 MOSLEY Wally 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
184 CHAU Collin 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
186 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
187 ALI Adam 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% -
187 PENG Yue 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
189 MCLAREN Mason 100% 91% 60% 25% 5% -
190 KROPP Wesley 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1%
191 TYSON Charlie 100% 97% 79% 46% 15% 2%
192 BRESLAV Asher 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
193 RUBIN Nathan 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
194 AUMSON Hubert 100% 35% 6% - - -
195 TUNG Charlie 100% 83% 45% 14% 3% - -
196 ZHENG Jason 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% - -
197 DELONG Joshua 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2% -
198 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
199 CHEN Jayden 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
200 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
200 KIM Remington 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
202 JADHAV Tanay 100% 71% 24% 4% - - -
203 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
203 WANG Marcus 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
205 MARTISEK Martin 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
206 HERNDON Liam 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
206 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 2%
208 TATE William Isom 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 7% -
209 RICHMOND Ozan 100% 85% 51% 19% 4% - -
210 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
210 SINAI Nathan G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
210 GROSSE Michael 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
213 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
214 SHEYDIN Barry 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% 1% -
214 SAYLOR Henry 100% 68% 21% 3% - - -
216 CARRERO Quentin 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
217 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
217 LEE Leo 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
219 BOHLER-PARK Henry 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
219 KABA Elias 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
221 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 5%
222 ZHOU alex 100% 67% 23% 3% - - -
223 GLEN Ethan 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
224 ZUKOFSKY Zachary Missing ID
225 ZHANG Austin 100% 93% 64% 25% 5% -
226 GLOGOWSKI Konrad 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 10% 1%
227 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
227 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
229 KRAJ Pawel 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 14% 2%
230 FREY Wayne N. 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
230 SCHWITZER Eliot 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
232 BATISTA Julian 100% 33% 5% - - - -
233 ALI Farhan 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%