National Championships, Junior Olympic Championships & July NAC

Div III Men's Épée

Monday, July 12, 2021 at 8:15 AM

Philadelphia, PA - Philadelphia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - - - - 2% 22% 76%
2 LIEF Isaac R. - - - 4% 18% 41% 36%
3 PHUKAN Rohin 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
3 SCHULZE Ethan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4%
5 WANG Tristan - 2% 11% 25% 33% 22% 6%
6 USHER Alexander - 2% 11% 28% 37% 20% 2%
7 BORODITSKY Ethan - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
8 WU Jonathan - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
9 VEZMAR Evan H. - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
10 KWONG Jason - 4% 21% 39% 29% 7%
11 WADE Grayson 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
12 LI Jalen 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
13 KUO Elvin - 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
14 FEINGERSCH Ariav (Ari) B. - 1% 8% 29% 43% 19%
15 LURVEY Samuel 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
16 BEAUCHAMP Reilly E. - 5% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
17 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 1% 7% 20% 31% 27% 12% 2%
18 ELYADERANI Paxon - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
19 STALL-RYAN Jonathan 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
20 CAO Albert 2% 10% 25% 32% 22% 8% 1%
21 LIM Joshua - 1% 5% 17% 32% 32% 13%
22 ZHANG William - 6% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
23 SKAALAND Will - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
24 LI Patrick - 1% 4% 16% 32% 33% 14%
25 ALVAREZ Ian T. - 3% 12% 29% 34% 19% 3%
26 GULLO Kenji Y. 2% 13% 30% 34% 18% 4%
27 GREEN Ummi - - 3% 18% 44% 34%
28 CHATZIKALFAS Dimitris E. - - 3% 13% 30% 36% 18%
29 SVIBEN Cameron - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
30 MORTON William - 1% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
31 CHARLES Matthew J. 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
32 GORTI Agustya 5% 21% 34% 27% 10% 2%
33 PATENAUDE Kameron 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
34 PRABHAKAR vibhav 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2%
35 WHITEHURST JJ - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
36 CARRIER Gabriel A. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
37 DISIMONE David Z. - 1% 4% 17% 33% 33% 13%
38 TAROLLI Alexander 3% 15% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
39 YAO Derek (Shunyu) - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
40 TREBON Hayden - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
41 SONG Ervin - 4% 20% 37% 29% 10% 1%
42 ZUKOFSKY Zachary - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
42 WANG Clayton 1% 7% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
44 MATTO Edward J. - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 10%
45 KIM Ryan 10% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
46 ILYAS Zakariya - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
47 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
48 LEE Chun Po 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
49 GUNDA Saketh 2% 15% 37% 34% 11% 1%
50 BLUM Oliver 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3%
51 DUAN eric 4% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
52 JACKSON James - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
53 CHESNEY Aiden R. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
54 WONG KEVIN - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
55 KENT Dwain - 3% 13% 27% 32% 20% 5%
56 MAGDA Daniel - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
57 TIBBETTS Johnathan 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
58 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 2% 12% 29% 34% 20% 4%
59 DAVIS Jonah 29% 44% 22% 5% - -
60 LEVCHOOK Thomas 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
61 TAKATA Benjamin - 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
62 MELCHER Charles 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
63 KUCZAJDA Matthew - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
64 LU Sebastian X. 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
65 CHU Allan 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
66 WENGER Caleb 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 6% 1%
67 KARKI Salyan 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
68 CHEN Matthew 25% 40% 26% 8% 1% - -
69 GREEN Jabreel - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
70 WERCHAN Andrew R. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
71 HEKMAT Sina R. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
72 KHANNA Keshav 1% 6% 19% 31% 27% 13% 2%
73 DAVIS Daniel 2% 12% 28% 32% 20% 6% 1%
74 KENT Matthew 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1%
75 VAUGHN David 4% 20% 34% 29% 11% 2%
76 WANG Darren 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
77 O'HARROW Tristan C. - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 3%
78 NIKOLOV Peter - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
79 KORTZ Austin - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
80 GU Brian 6% 23% 33% 25% 11% 2% -
80 CHOE Andrew 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
82 RYAN Christopher - 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
82 CHEN Jun Ho 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
84 REELS Eric J. 1% 7% 21% 32% 26% 11% 2%
84 ALTUVE Alejandro J. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
86 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
87 BHARGAV Siddharth 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
88 REITINGER Luke M. 21% 47% 25% 6% 1% - -
89 SEELEY Charlie 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
90 LI Jeffrey 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
91 QUITORIANO Jonathan 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
92 CHRISTENSEN Parker 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
93 TERRANOVA JOBIN 3% 21% 37% 27% 10% 2% -
94 DIVERIS Joseph 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% -
95 PEDERSEN Christopher C. 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
96 GISLER Benjamin B. 1% 6% 20% 34% 30% 10%
97 LAING Christopher 13% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
98 DAO Alexander 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1%
99 COETZEE Frans M. - 4% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
100 LIM Matthew T. 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
101 PARKS Isaac 11% 31% 33% 18% 6% 1% -
102 SAN JUAN Carlos 2% 11% 26% 31% 21% 7% 1%
103 COMER Alexander J. - 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1%
104 WANG Aidan 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
105 SCHARF Ryan 19% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
106 WHITE Chance N. 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
106 SERAFIN Ben 2% 12% 27% 31% 20% 7% 1%
108 KOPPE Benjamin 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
109 MARSH Alex 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
110 WANG Kevin 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
110 LAING Flynt 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
112 BANNEN Nicholas 6% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
113 RIDLEY Alan P. 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
114 COSTA joao 18% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
115 BYARS John 69% 27% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.