Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRAHAM Roy J. - - 1% 10% 30% 39% 19%
2 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - 2% 19% 79%
3 ONIK Elijah T. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 KWON Ethan - - 1% 5% 22% 47% 26%
5 XIAO Ethan J. - - - 3% 16% 44% 37%
6 BUERGIN Aidan 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
8 RITCHIE Luke W. - - - 2% 16% 46% 36%
9 SCHENCK Koen M. - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 4%
10 LOCKWOOD Owen - - 1% 6% 23% 44% 27%
11 GU Jeffrey - 7% 26% 37% 23% 5%
12 DAI Jonathan T. - 1% 9% 30% 44% 15%
13 XIAO Enoch A. - - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
14 LEE Aidan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
15 ARIZA Isaac A. - - 4% 17% 38% 33% 8%
16 WAN Jason - - 4% 15% 33% 34% 13%
17 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan - - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
18 JEON Caleb A. - - 1% 9% 28% 42% 20%
19 BELLUOMO David C. 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1%
20 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
21 SONG Leonardo T. - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
21 CHENG Nathan 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
23 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 2% 14% 34% 36% 14%
24 RINEHART Conner M. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
25 NEWELL Ian A. 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6% -
26 LUH Ethan K. 1% 10% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
27 KEE Andrew L. 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
28 FU Samuel Y. - 4% 20% 38% 30% 8%
29 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 4% 21% 35% 27% 11% 2% -
30 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
31 LIN Richard W. - - 1% 10% 40% 48%
32 BAE Kevin - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
33 WALTER Evran M. 1% 7% 27% 38% 23% 4%
34 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
35 WU Alexander - 1% 6% 23% 42% 29%
36 SONG Bryan 7% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
37 CHOI Samuel 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
38 HSIUNG Richie 2% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2%
39 YANG Luao - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
40 LEE Lukas 6% 43% 37% 12% 2% - -
41 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
42 CAI Oliver K. 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
43 GAO William 5% 24% 39% 26% 6% -
44 REEVES Liam 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 6% -
45 UPTON Craig 12% 35% 35% 15% 3% - -
46 DING Jonathan - - 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
47 KOBAL Maximilian 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
48 ZHAI Jeffrey 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
49 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
50 LEE Jacob 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
51 XIAO Anthony - 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 3%
52 OH SEAN 2% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
53 WU Nicholas - 1% 5% 19% 36% 30% 9%
54 YU Jonathan J. 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
55 ZHAO Dylan L. 10% 35% 36% 16% 3% - -
56 KLYCZEK Andrew 35% 42% 18% 4% - - -
56 BERNABE Rafael 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
58 WECHSLER Jacob 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% -
59 WOO Christian 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
60 GAUTAM Vishnu 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
61 EMENHEISER Conrad 26% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
62 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 6% -
63 HOBSON Aaron K. 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
64 PRASANNA Advaith 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
65 MILLER Aidan A. 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% - -
66 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
67 TIAN Aaron C. 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
68 ZHENG zhe 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
69 ROUNTREE Rob 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
70 LE Vyn A. - 11% 35% 35% 15% 3% -
71 WANG Brayden 80% 18% 2% - - -
72 VIVEROS Antonio 78% 21% 2% - - - -
73 LI Ryan Z. 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
74 JOHNSON Zachary R. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
75 DRESSEL Jet 46% 40% 12% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.