Fairfax Challenge Summer ROC/RJCC/RYC/VET - Reg Re-Opens 12/28

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, June 20, 2021 at 4:00 PM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
2 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
3 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 72% 26%
5 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
6 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
8 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 36%
9 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
10 LOCKWOOD Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 27%
11 GU Jeffrey 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 5%
12 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 15%
13 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
14 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
15 ARIZA Isaac A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
16 WAN Jason 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
17 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
18 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
19 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1%
20 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
21 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 8%
21 CHENG Nathan 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
23 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
24 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
25 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7% -
26 LUH Ethan K. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
27 KEE Andrew L. 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
28 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
29 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 96% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
30 WOODTHORPE Michael G. 100% 87% 52% 19% 3% - -
31 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
32 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 9%
33 WALTER Evran M. 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4%
34 SERCK-HANSSEN Peter E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
35 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
36 SONG Bryan 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
37 CHOI Samuel 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 12% 1%
38 HSIUNG Richie 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
39 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
40 LEE Lukas 100% 94% 51% 14% 2% - -
41 SCHAEFER Joshua M. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
42 CAI Oliver K. 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
43 GAO William 100% 95% 71% 32% 6% -
44 REEVES Liam 100% 99% 88% 62% 27% 6% -
45 UPTON Craig 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
46 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
47 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
48 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
49 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 2%
50 LEE Jacob 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
51 XIAO Anthony 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
52 OH SEAN 100% 98% 82% 47% 16% 3% -
53 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 39% 9%
54 YU Jonathan J. 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
55 ZHAO Dylan L. 100% 90% 55% 19% 4% - -
56 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
56 BERNABE Rafael 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
58 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
59 WOO Christian 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
60 GAUTAM Vishnu 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
61 EMENHEISER Conrad 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% - -
62 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% -
63 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 5% -
64 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
65 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% - -
66 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
67 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
68 ZHENG zhe 100% 94% 69% 33% 8% 1% -
69 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
70 LE Vyn A. 100% 100% 89% 54% 19% 3% -
71 WANG Brayden 100% 20% 2% - - -
72 VIVEROS Antonio 100% 22% 2% - - - -
73 LI Ryan Z. 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
74 JOHNSON Zachary R. 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 2% -
75 DRESSEL Jet 100% 54% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.