Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Monday, September 6, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. D V V V V V V V V V V V 5.7 5 -0.7
2 CALDERON Diego V V V D V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
3 ELASHRY Zeyad A. D V D D V D V V V V D 5.3 2 -3.3
3 MATTIS George V V V V D D V V V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
5 GRAYSON Shane W. V V V V D V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
6 TAYLOR Daryl J. V V V V D D V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
7 HE Lawrence D D D V V V V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
8 CUMMINGS Atticus C. D D V D V D V V V D 5.0 2 -3.0
9 WU Joseph V V V V V V V V D 5.0 6 +1.0
10 KIM Benjamin I. V V V V V V V D 2.8 5 +2.2
11 MOSES Alexander V V V V D V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
12 PARK Elliot V V V D V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
13 ZHUANG William V V D D V V V V D 1.4 4 +2.6
14 WANG Nathan V V V V D D V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
15 GAINES Aaron D V V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
16 WONG Daniel D V V V D D V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
17 TSANG Lok Hin Gary V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
18 NORBUTAS Jackson S. V D V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
19 BRISLAWN Reilly R. V V D V V V V D 4.8 5 +0.2
20 FIECHTNER Thomas A. V V V D V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
21 MA Victor V V V V V D V D 3.7 5 +1.3
22 MANDOKI Sandor I. V D V V D V V D 5.1 4 -1.1
23 AHN Gus V D V V V D V D 3.6 4 +0.4
24 JIN Alexander V D D V V V V D 4.0 4 -
25 ALVAREZ Ian T. D D V V V V V D 2.5 4 +1.5
26 CARTER Austin L. V V D V D V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
27 GREEN Jabreel V V V D V D V D 2.6 4 +1.4
28 ZHU Max V D V V D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
29 RITCHIE Phillip D V D D V V V D 2.7 3 +0.3
30 CHIEN Brandon V D V D V D V D 4.7 3 -1.7
31 CHIEN Zachary M. V D D D V V D 3.2 2 -1.2
32 BURCHARD Byron M. D V D D D D V V D 3.8 1 -2.8
33 JEON Alexander E. V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
34 FOWLER James A. D V V V V V D 4.4 5 +0.6
35 JOHNSTON Conner S. D V V D V V D 4.0 4 -
36 CHU Allan D V V V V D D 2.5 4 +1.5
37 USHER Alexander V D V D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
38 WANG DEVON V V D V D V D 2.7 4 +1.3
39 LIN Kyran D V V V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
40 CAI Brian D D V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
41 POLAKOSKI David R. D V V V D D 3.4 3 -0.4
42 ZHENG Haoran V D D V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
43 GAO Daniel D D V D V V D 3.5 3 -0.5
44 LIANG Aaron D D V V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
45 ALEXANDER Chuck D D V D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
46 WERCHAN Andrew R. V V D D D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
47 GAO Chaney C. D V D V D V D 1.2 3 +1.8
48 GOMEZ Isaac V V D D V D D 3.4 3 -0.4
48 WATT Darren V D V D V D D 1.0 3 +2.0
50 WEAVER Neil V D D V V D D 2.8 3 +0.2
51 HIGGINS Branford V D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
52 KILUK Andrew D V D D V D 2.0 2 -
53 LEVITSKY Jonathan D D D V V D D 2.8 2 -0.8
54 LEE Joseph J. D D V D V D D 1.7 2 +0.3
55 WONG Nathan V D D V D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
56 JIN daniel D V D V D D V D 3.5 2 -1.5
57 CROSSMAN Brandon D V D D D V V D 0.8 2 +1.2
58 MOHEBI Saam V D D D D V V D 3.4 2 -1.4
59 SHA Michael D V D D D V D 0.8 1 +0.2
60 LOCASALE Nicholas A. D D D D V D V D 2.4 1 -1.4
61 CHIRASHNYA Adam D D V D D D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
62 HARRIS Roark S. D D D D D V V D 2.1 1 -1.1
63 LEE Richard U. V D D D D D V D 1.5 1 -0.5
64 LEE Chun Po D D D D D D V D 1.5 0 -1.5
65 GAURIAT Olivier V D D D V D D 1.6 2 +0.4
66 YOUNG Jr Colby V D D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
67 WANG owen D V D D D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
68 RINGACH Noam D V D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
69 ANDERSON Donald D D D V D D D 0.1 1 +0.9
70 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. D D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
71 CHUANG Kenneth H. D D D V D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
72 GU Aidan D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4
73 CUEVAS Tom D D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
74 MIAO KUNQI D D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
75 LIU Yikun D D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.