Fortune Fencing ROC/VET/RJCC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Monday, September 6, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Ontario, CA - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 CALDERON Diego - 1% 6% 20% 37% 29% 7%
3 ELASHRY Zeyad A. - - < 1% 2% 12% 38% 48%
3 MATTIS George - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 2%
5 GRAYSON Shane W. - - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
6 TAYLOR Daryl J. - - 2% 11% 30% 40% 18%
7 HE Lawrence 1% 7% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
8 CUMMINGS Atticus C. - - < 1% 4% 21% 43% 32%
9 WU Joseph - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 31%
10 KIM Benjamin I. 1% 7% 30% 39% 20% 4%
11 MOSES Alexander - - 5% 22% 42% 26% 5%
12 PARK Elliot - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8% -
13 ZHUANG William 17% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
14 WANG Nathan - 2% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
15 GAINES Aaron - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
16 WONG Daniel 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 3% -
17 TSANG Lok Hin Gary - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
18 NORBUTAS Jackson S. - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 18%
19 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - 1% 7% 24% 42% 25%
20 FIECHTNER Thomas A. - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 9%
21 MA Victor - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
22 MANDOKI Sandor I. - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
23 AHN Gus - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
24 JIN Alexander - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 4%
25 ALVAREZ Ian T. 2% 14% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
26 CARTER Austin L. - - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
27 GREEN Jabreel 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
28 ZHU Max - 5% 22% 39% 27% 6%
29 RITCHIE Phillip 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% -
30 CHIEN Brandon - - 1% 7% 31% 45% 15%
31 CHIEN Zachary M. - 3% 19% 38% 31% 9%
32 BURCHARD Byron M. - 1% 8% 30% 41% 19% 2%
33 JEON Alexander E. - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
34 FOWLER James A. - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 12%
35 JOHNSTON Conner S. - - 6% 24% 38% 26% 6%
36 CHU Allan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
37 USHER Alexander - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
38 WANG DEVON 1% 11% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
39 LIN Kyran - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
40 CAI Brian - 1% 9% 30% 40% 19%
41 POLAKOSKI David R. - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
42 ZHENG Haoran - 8% 29% 39% 20% 4% -
43 GAO Daniel - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
44 LIANG Aaron 2% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
45 ALEXANDER Chuck - - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
46 WERCHAN Andrew R. 1% 14% 39% 35% 11% 1% -
47 GAO Chaney C. 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
48 GOMEZ Isaac - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
48 WATT Darren 27% 47% 21% 4% - - -
50 WEAVER Neil 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
51 HIGGINS Branford 2% 21% 40% 28% 8% 1%
52 KILUK Andrew 4% 27% 40% 23% 6% -
53 LEVITSKY Jonathan - 7% 31% 40% 18% 3% -
54 LEE Joseph J. 5% 40% 40% 13% 2% - -
55 WONG Nathan - 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% -
56 JIN daniel - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
57 CROSSMAN Brandon 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
58 MOHEBI Saam - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
59 SHA Michael 40% 44% 14% 2% - -
60 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
61 CHIRASHNYA Adam 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
62 HARRIS Roark S. 6% 24% 35% 25% 8% 1% -
63 LEE Richard U. 12% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
64 LEE Chun Po 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
65 GAURIAT Olivier 4% 45% 37% 12% 2% - -
66 YOUNG Jr Colby 23% 47% 24% 5% - -
67 WANG owen 9% 34% 36% 17% 4% - -
68 RINGACH Noam 6% 26% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
69 ANDERSON Donald 86% 14% 1% - - - -
70 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
71 CHUANG Kenneth H. 29% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
72 GU Aidan 63% 31% 6% - - -
73 CUEVAS Tom 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
74 MIAO KUNQI 79% 19% 1% - - - -
75 LIU Yikun 58% 36% 6% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.