May NAC

Div I Men's Épée

Friday, May 7, 2021 at 2:00 PM

Richmond, VA - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HADZIC Alen 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 RODNEY Adam R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 SZAPARY Tristan B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
3 KUSHNERIK Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
5 HANSEN Jonas B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 27%
6 MOOSEKIAN Stafford 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 21% 2%
7 NOLLNER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
8 ELASHRY Zeyad A. 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
9 EWART Jr. Stephen P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
10 YOO Justin H. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
11 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 5%
12 KUMAR Anitya 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
13 KRAVIT Connor B. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
14 THOMPSON Soren 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
15 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8%
16 POPOVICI Michael A. 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
17 THEIN-SANDLER Adrien (Adi) M. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
18 LAWSON Nicholas W. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
19 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10% 1%
20 HADDAD Justin R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
21 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 15% 2%
22 LIU Alexander 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
23 GUINAN Joseph 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
24 SPITERI Gareth J. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
25 MA Ark 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
26 LAWSON Henry A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 12%
27 KRAFT Dennis A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
28 SILVERS Noah E. 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9% 1%
29 SMITH Dwight 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
30 SHARMA Sanil 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
31 FRAY Alexander 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
32 ZHANG Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
33 KIM Juni C. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 34% 6%
34 KAULL James T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
35 WEISS Lewis E. 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 32% 5%
36 LEE Ryan 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
37 IVE Isaac L. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
38 KIM William M. 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -
39 FISHLER Clifford 100% 97% 71% 28% 5% -
40 DOLGONOS Mark 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 14%
41 GRABER Andrew J. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
42 TSINIS Alexander E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
43 WHITE Sean 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
44 CHONG christopher 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
45 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
46 MCDOWALD Curtis E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61%
47 SIMMONS Ariel (Ari) J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
48 TAFOYA Devin D. 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
49 PISKOVATSKOV Anton 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
49 GATZA Logan 100% 90% 57% 19% 3% -
51 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
52 KUDRIAVTCEV Sergei 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 3% -
53 ZAFFT Maximo S. 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3% -
54 ISAAC Joseph (Izzy) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 7%
55 ROBINSON Riley 100% 97% 80% 49% 20% 4% -
56 KOKENGE Clark 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
57 MARAKOV Allen B. 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
58 SMITH Justin C. 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
59 STUSNICK Hunter 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
60 JIN Owen 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
61 HILBERT Xavier 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 26% 5%
62 GLAZ Nicholas S. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
63 GANA Jr Jorge M. 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
64 KIM Tei D. 100% 83% 43% 12% 1% - -
65 SHELANSKI Isaac 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
66 WIMMER Chandler M. 100% 99% 85% 52% 20% 4% -
67 SCHUMACHER Cooper J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
68 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
69 CLICK Aiden 100% 80% 40% 10% 1% -
70 WEISS Miles J. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
71 MOSES Alexander 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 8% 1%
72 CANAUX Gabriel A. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
73 LIANG Aaron 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
74 IYOKI Kent 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
75 CHO Tyler H. 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
76 BUYANOV Nikita V. 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
77 SAITOC Tudor 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
78 RUSSANOV Dennis 100% 95% 68% 26% 5% -
79 VAYSBERG Nathan 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
80 VERMEULE Spencer 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 5%
81 FEINBERG Gabriel M. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
82 SHIV Rishi 100% 73% 30% 6% - -
83 MORSE Tyler 100% 72% 26% 5% - -
84 JEONG Connor 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
85 MUN Michael K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
86 GRAY Sterling B. 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
86 LIN Ryan 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
88 JEON Alexander E. 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
89 PARK Prestan S. 100% 87% 51% 16% 3% - -
90 PARK Ian C. 100% 72% 25% 5% - -
91 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
92 ZHU Max 100% 92% 56% 17% 2% -
93 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% -
94 MOORE Shomari A. 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
95 LEE Shwan 100% 74% 31% 6% 1% -
96 PARK Jong-Eun 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
97 WICKBOLDT Eric 100% 35% 5% - - -
98 GIBSON Nowell L. 100% 96% 68% 27% 5% -
98 LI Brian X 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
100 KANG Philip F. 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
101 JAYENDRA Chandrashekar 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
102 YAO Shun 100% 71% 28% 5% - - -
102 SUICO Zachary Emanuel O. 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
104 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 1% -
105 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
106 KIM Sterling S. 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
107 GARRETT Samuel 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
108 GOLDFINE Ian J. 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
109 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% -
110 FELDMAN Jaemin 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
111 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 87% 48% 13% 1% -
112 ADLER Ethan M. 100% 89% 55% 18% 3% - -
113 DIXON Samuel 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
114 PAHLAVI Kamran 100% 33% 5% - - - -
115 LIOZNYANSKY Simon 100% 48% 12% 1% - -
116 CRANE Matthew T. 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
117 LAI Coby 100% 91% 58% 21% 4% - -
118 WOZNIAK Sebastian 100% 86% 52% 20% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.