The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC-RJCC

Cadet Men's Foil

Saturday, October 2, 2021 at 8:15 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
2 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
3 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
3 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 44%
5 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 36% 7%
6 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 27%
7 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
8 SONG Bryan 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 3%
9 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
10 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5% -
11 GUERRERO Isaac C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
12 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
13 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
14 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 21%
15 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 10%
16 YOON DYLAN 100% 99% 88% 51% 13% 2% -
17 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42%
18 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
19 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
20 WANG Mason 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 1%
21 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38% 7%
22 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 15% 2%
23 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
24 LI Ayren 100% 99% 91% 57% 17% 2% -
25 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 97% 74% 31% 5% -
26 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
27 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4% -
28 LEWIS Akhil 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
29 TALLARICO Matthew 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
30 GUO Justin 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
31 PLASTARAS Trey 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
32 MILLER Jordan 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
33 WANG Jackson 100% 100% 90% 58% 20% 2%
34 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
34 RNO Kyler 100% 98% 73% 30% 6% - -
36 XU Ethan 100% 95% 67% 25% 3% -
37 WU Michael 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
38 LORANGER Peter 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
39 REZA Farazi 100% 100% 90% 56% 16% 2% -
40 MORGESON Colin 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
41 SHAO Eric 100% 95% 57% 18% 3% -
42 RUIZ ALMEIDA Salahudin 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
43 KAPOOR Aayan 100% 97% 68% 27% 5% - -
44 TSAI Max W. 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
44 LI Aaron 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
46 POPE Alexander 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
47 EBERMAN Henry 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
48 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 84% 44% 11% 1% - -
49 FRANK Amir 100% 75% 26% 4% - - -
50 WU Benjamin 100% 28% 3% - - -
51 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 75% 32% 6% 1% - -
52 GREENLEAF Paul 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -
53 MCQUIDE elliot 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
53 BRATTAIN Trey 100% 29% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.