American Challenge RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, November 20, 2021 at 8:00 AM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
2 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
3 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
3 HORSLEY Alexander 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
5 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
6 STRAYER Andrew 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
7 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
8 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
9 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
10 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
11 WU Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
12 LIN James G. 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
13 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
14 DEGROOT Blake 100% 99% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
15 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 98% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
16 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
17 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
18 PAE Brian L. 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 3% -
19 KOBAL Maximilian 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% 1%
20 GAO William 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
21 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
22 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
23 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
24 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
25 MOHAMED Murad 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
26 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
27 LIN Michael 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
28 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
29 LIU Eric Y. 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
30 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 92% 67% 33% 9% 1%
31 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 98% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
32 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
33 LEWIS Akhil 100% 89% 51% 16% 3% - -
34 SELL Ethan J. 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% -
35 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
36 PO Oliver 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
37 DRESSEL Jet 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
38 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
38 GARDOS Noah 100% 20% 2% - - - -
40 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 24% 2% - - - -
40 SMITH Carter 100% 24% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.