April NAC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, April 18, 2021 at 1:30 PM

Fort Worth, TX - Fort Worth, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KATS Dylan G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
2 IARIKOV Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 39%
3 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
5 DODIN David 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
6 LO Jake 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
7 SHCHUR Landon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
8 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17%
9 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
10 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
11 LOISEAU Eliott 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
12 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 93% 63% 18%
13 TIKHOMIROV Theodore 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
14 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
15 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
16 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
17 ZAYDMAN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 52% 13%
18 ZHENG Andy 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
19 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 94% 63% 16%
20 SKORUPAN Grant 100% 100% 97% 79% 36% 6%
21 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
22 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
23 BARG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
24 KARNAS Karol 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 33% 4%
25 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 10%
26 CHEN Zhengyang 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
27 XIONG Aaron 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
28 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 72% 32% 8% 1% - -
29 YU Austin 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2% -
30 LEE inwoo 100% 99% 88% 60% 26% 6% 1%
31 LAI Boden 100% 93% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
32 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
33 ESKRIDGE Caleb 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
34 ROMANOV Ethan 100% 100% 98% 79% 32% 4%
35 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
36 GINZBURG Adam 100% 99% 90% 43% 8% -
37 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 100% 93% 61% 19% 2% -
38 KOLLARS Jacob 100% 98% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
39 ZHENG Jerry 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 4% -
40 HEADRICK Lance 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
41 MITEV Alexander 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
42 RYAN Pierce 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
43 GADDE Neel 100% 85% 47% 15% 2% - -
44 LOISEAU Oscar 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
45 HERNDON Liam 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
46 TAI Edison 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
47 HEADRICK Jack 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 2% -
48 WANG Joey 100% 86% 43% 9% 1% -
49 XIA Richard 100% 38% 4% - - -
50 VAN VACTER Thomas 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
51 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
52 PARRA Sebastian 100% 92% 52% 14% 2% - -
53 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
54 ALI Farhan 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
55 OLSON Joseph 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
56 MAXU Tiger 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
57 MANGAN Hunter 100% 77% 16% 1% - -
57 LEE DoWon 100% 58% 15% 1% - -
59 FALKIEWICZ Alec R. 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% 1% -
60 GATZA Jason 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
61 KIM Remington 100% 31% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.