NEUSFA Tom Gorman Beanpot Open

Senior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LONCAR Luka E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 58%
2 ZHAO Corey 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
3 DOELEMAN Zeno 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
3 WU Joseph 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
5 JONES Simon A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
6 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 26%
7 SHAH Maximilian A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
8 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 3%
9 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33%
10 RICUTA Laurentiu Florentin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 40%
11 COLLYMORE Spencer T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
12 FERGUSON Magnus K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
13 LAI Coby 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 34% 5%
14 BOYNTON Zachariah (Zach) G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
15 MACARTY Jordan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 20%
16 ZHANG William 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 9%
17 CHOI Aleksey 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 11% 1%
18 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
19 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
20 PAPAVASSILIOU Christos 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
21 PRIHODKO Max 100% 100% 100% 95% 67% 24% 3%
22 ROUSE Brian G. 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
23 IORIO Max 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 3% -
24 GERSEN Jacob 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
25 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
26 MATEI Daniel 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% -
27 SKAALAND Will 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 15% 1%
28 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22% 2%
29 SANCHEZ Leon D. 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
30 GUI Runlin 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
31 MARSHALL William L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 3%
32 XIE Brandon 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
33 WALTON Cameron L. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
34 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 1%
35 HANCOCK Lloyd D. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
36 CAFASSO Martin 100% 93% 62% 21% 4% - -
37 ROUSE Joseph (Joe) T. 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6% -
38 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
39 WHITE Nicholas F. 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
40 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 100% 91% 57% 19% 3% - -
41 SANTOS Felipe 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 16% 2%
42 ZHANG William 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
43 RYAN Joshua P. 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
44 MILGRAM Aaron 100% 72% 24% 4% - - -
45 QUINLAN Sean 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 9% -
46 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 6%
47 GONG Haixiang 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
48 SONG Troy 100% 93% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
49 HU Jansen T. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3% -
50 WANG justin 100% 91% 53% 14% 2% - -
51 EANG Brynner 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
52 SANTOS Antonio K. 100% 91% 57% 16% 2% - -
53 CHU Wenxi 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
54 PAGE Duncan 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
55 GAVIN Liam 100% 78% 35% 7% 1% - -
56 PEZZINO Matthew 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
57 SACCOMANNO Shelby 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
58 KAIN Brad 100% 90% 54% 19% 3% - -
59 SANTOS Francisco M. 100% 90% 52% 14% 2% - -
60 IORIO Matthew 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
61 ROSENBLUM Addison J. 100% 68% 21% 2% - - -
62 SMEDLEY Drew N. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
63 MACNEILL Owen 100% 94% 55% 15% 2% - -
64 SEOL Austin 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% - -
65 ZHANG Roland 100% 48% 10% 1% - - -
66 GRAYSON Joshua 100% 58% 17% 2% - - -
67 BUTTS Brendan 100% 64% 18% 2% - - -
68 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 61% 11% 1% - - -
69 MARINI Davide 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
70 ZOU Xianyang 100% 72% 25% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.