The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Neil Lazar RYC/Vet ROC

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 23, 2018 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47%
3 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
3 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
5 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
6 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
7 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
8 PAE Brian L. 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
9 AHN Jun 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% < 1%
10 LI Eric 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 13%
11 LI Owen 100% 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
12 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
13 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
14 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
15 GUO Sean 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
16 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
17 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
18 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 8%
19 BING Charles 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 2%
20 GOOR Julian 100% 99% 85% 49% 14% 1%
21 MIALL Steven A. 100% 96% 73% 33% 8% 1%
22 WANG Jackson 100% 100% 100% 98% 78% 35% 6%
23 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
24 YAN Edward Tianshuo 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
25 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 94% 62% 23% 4% -
26 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 88% 45% 11% 1% -
27 GUO Justin 100% 100% 97% 78% 33% 4%
28 ZHOU Andrew C. 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
29 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 28%
30 LI Yao (Liam) 100% 93% 59% 15% 2% - -
31 LIU Derek 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
32 WANG Mason 100% 61% 16% 1% - -
33 GAO Anthony 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1% -
34 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 20%
35 CATINO Brennen 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 16% 2%
36 LEWIS Akhil 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
37 PROMRAT Pete 100% 80% 27% 3% - - -
38 XIANG Derrick 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
39 WU Alexander 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
40 LI Ayren 100% 86% 40% 9% 1% -
41 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
42 LIEW Jeremy K. 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
43 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 94% 61% 16% 1% -
44 XU Ethan 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
45 XU Andy P. 100% 99% 84% 44% 11% 1%
46 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
47 CHAN Justin D. 100% 35% 6% - - -
48 HU Jason 100% 41% 7% 1% - -
49 HONG Issac 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
50 PEDERSEN Charles 100% 98% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
51 LI Aaron 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 6% -
52 LEE Jonah 100% 98% 80% 43% 12% 1%
53 LORANGER Peter 100% 66% 24% 5% - -
53 ULC Christian 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
55 LEWIS Nikhil I. 100% 79% 36% 9% 1% -
56 GUERTIN Matthew B. 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -
57 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.