USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Épée

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
2 UVAROV Andrii - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
3 KIM Andrew J. - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
3 HUTTO Joshua 1% 7% 20% 32% 27% 11% 2%
5 BURGESS James E. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5%
6 LANGENDERFER Braeden - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
7 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
8 DAO Alexander 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
9 TEH Steven - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
10 WANG Tristan - - 2% 9% 26% 39% 25%
11 LEE Chun Po - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
12 ZHANG Nathan 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
13 JENSEN Daniel G. - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
14 CHUNG Yeongbin - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
15 KOYFMAN Benjamin 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
16 TORRES Nicolas 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
17 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey - 3% 12% 27% 32% 20% 5%
18 CHIN Dylan A. 1% 8% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
19 GAO Zachary - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 10%
20 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - 4% 19% 37% 30% 8%
21 PAULSEN Zachary 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
22 GILLER Augustus 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3%
23 JONES Caleb - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 14%
24 WANG Max S 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
25 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
26 STEPHENS Corbin 2% 13% 29% 32% 19% 5% -
27 CHRISTENSEN Parker 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
28 OTTO Nathaniel B. 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
29 CHU Brandon A. 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
30 BHARGAV Siddharth - 2% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7%
31 YANG Zeph 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
32 RICHARD silas 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
33 SINHA Zaan 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
34 BARNETT Devin 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
35 WU Marcus - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
36 COETZEE Frans M. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
37 BAZHENOV Anthony 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
38 YAO Derek (Shunyu) - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
39 WATT Darren 1% 5% 17% 30% 30% 15% 3%
40 WANG David - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
40 LEADBETTER Gordon 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 2%
42 ZHENG Jerry 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
43 O'HARROW Tristan C. - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 18%
43 SHA Michael - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
45 KENT V David 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
46 MORTIMER Gavin 2% 12% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
47 ROTHKA Spencer J. 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
48 WADE Grayson - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
49 PARK Augustine 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 3%
50 PENG Gregory 2% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
51 KIM Sullivan - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
52 MILLSON Daniel 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
53 SUN Jeffery 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
54 SCHIEK Harrison 4% 19% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
55 NABAVI Matthew R. - - 2% 11% 29% 37% 19%
56 BROWN Allan 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
57 BAGCHI Aritra 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
58 MARTINEZ Joshua - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
59 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
60 FUSSMAN Yuval 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
61 WILSON Benjamin H. 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
61 OSTIGUY Cameron 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
63 PETROV Niki A. 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
64 REDDY Arya 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
65 ZAYDMAN David M. - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
66 JOHNSON Jay - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 14%
67 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. - 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
68 ALI Adam - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
69 FU Ethan - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
70 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
71 DUBOIS Peter - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
72 QUITORIANO Matthew - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
73 ZHANG William - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
74 VENET Téva 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
75 PARKS Isaac 2% 14% 30% 33% 17% 4%
76 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
77 TAM Ethan 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
78 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
78 JENNINGS Adin 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
80 GOLDSON Tyrese 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
81 ZOU Xianyang 1% 11% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
82 SO Lorenzo 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
83 KMOSKO Nicholas 3% 15% 30% 30% 16% 4% -
84 KHANNA Keshav 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
85 MANAUGH Guy 2% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
86 DORASZELSKI Mark 12% 32% 34% 18% 5% -
87 CORRALES Victor M. 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
88 EGAN Edward L. 1% 10% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
88 HICKIE Bryant 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
88 EVERS Gabriel 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
91 HARRIS Otto - 4% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
91 HEADRICK Lance 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
93 BOGUSLAVSKY Daniel - - 2% 12% 32% 40% 14%
94 BEAUCHAMP Reilly E. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
94 DRIBIN Ezra - 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11%
96 GUPTA Karan 2% 13% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
96 MIAO Kunqi 7% 25% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
98 TIRADO Giancarlo - 5% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2%
99 QUITORIANO Jonathan 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
99 TORRES Gianni - 4% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
101 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
102 KNUDSEN Travis 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
103 RHEA Eric L. 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
104 JONES Reilly 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
105 COLLUM Thomas - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
106 WORLEY Aren R. - - 1% 7% 26% 43% 23%
107 VRAPI Dorian A. 7% 27% 36% 23% 6% 1%
108 HANNON Owen 1% 7% 26% 38% 23% 4%
109 TOLLEFSON Zachary 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% -
110 BEAVER Aaron 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
111 WENGER Caleb 1% 8% 23% 35% 26% 7%
112 KIM Ian 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
113 ROBINSON Matthew 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
114 WANG Albert 1% 7% 23% 35% 27% 8%
115 KIM Dylan 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
116 LEE Bryson 4% 18% 32% 29% 13% 3% -
116 SHULL Marc - 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
118 BRADFORD Ethan 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
119 BLEICHER Simon 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
120 VELUVALI Vivek S. - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
121 BAXTER Max 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% 1% -
122 MCADOO Declan - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 3%
123 FENG du 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
124 DOWDELL Riley - 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
125 AYABINA JR John 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
126 FULLERTON Joshua D. 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
127 KIM Jeff - 9% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1%
128 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 11%
129 JU Hanul 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
130 JANYSKA Allen 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
131 SU Oliver 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1%
132 MURDOCH ROY Charlie 19% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
133 MELCHER Charles 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
134 DONDISCH Ilan 4% 17% 31% 29% 15% 4% -
135 MENDOZA Zander 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
136 MODRUSAN Lukas 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
137 KERTESZ Stefan G. 2% 10% 25% 32% 23% 8% 1%
138 LI Ethan R. 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
139 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
140 RAHMAN Yousef 30% 40% 22% 6% 1% - -
141 BISSEN Quinn - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
142 MITTLER Frederick 17% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
143 MARTINEZ Gabriel 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -
144 MAJAM Brandon Audie 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
145 MOHAMED Sabir 8% 32% 39% 18% 2% -
146 CHESNEY Aiden R. 3% 16% 30% 30% 16% 5% 1%
147 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% -
148 HADDLETON Mark 10% 38% 38% 12% 1% -
149 O'HAGAN Benedict 38% 42% 16% 3% - - -
149 DOERR Jeff 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
149 SCHIAVONE Oreste 5% 20% 32% 28% 13% 3% -
152 TENHUNDFELD Jack 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
153 ALAMO Brandon 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
154 COSTA joao 21% 38% 28% 10% 2% - -
155 MARTINEZ Kenneth 88% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.