USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div III Men's Épée

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
2 UVAROV Andrii 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 12%
3 KIM Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
3 HUTTO Joshua 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
5 BURGESS James E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
6 LANGENDERFER Braeden 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 40%
7 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
8 DAO Alexander 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
9 TEH Steven 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
10 WANG Tristan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 25%
11 LEE Chun Po 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 14%
12 ZHANG Nathan 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
13 JENSEN Daniel G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
14 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
15 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
16 TORRES Nicolas 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
17 BERKOWITZ Jeffrey 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
18 CHIN Dylan A. 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 11% 1%
19 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
20 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
21 PAULSEN Zachary 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% -
22 GILLER Augustus 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
23 JONES Caleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
24 WANG Max S 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
25 VALAYANNOPOULOS Nicolas 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
26 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 5% -
27 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
28 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
29 CHU Brandon A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
30 BHARGAV Siddharth 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 7%
31 YANG Zeph 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 7% 1%
32 RICHARD silas 100% 83% 47% 17% 4% - -
33 SINHA Zaan 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
34 BARNETT Devin 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
35 WU Marcus 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
36 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
37 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
38 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
39 WATT Darren 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
40 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
40 LEADBETTER Gordon 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
42 ZHENG Jerry 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
43 O'HARROW Tristan C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
43 SHA Michael 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
45 KENT V David 100% 97% 81% 49% 19% 4% -
46 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 5% -
47 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
48 WADE Grayson 100% 100% 94% 73% 36% 8%
49 PARK Augustine 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 3%
50 PENG Gregory 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
51 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 98% 86% 60% 26% 5%
52 MILLSON Daniel 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
53 SUN Jeffery 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
54 SCHIEK Harrison 100% 96% 77% 45% 17% 3% -
55 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
56 BROWN Allan 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 4% -
57 BAGCHI Aritra 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 3%
58 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
59 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
60 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 93% 68% 35% 11% 2% -
61 WILSON Benjamin H. 100% 93% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
61 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
63 PETROV Niki A. 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
64 REDDY Arya 100% 90% 61% 28% 8% 1% -
65 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
66 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 14%
67 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 100% 94% 70% 36% 10% 1%
68 ALI Adam 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
69 FU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
70 BELLIVEAU Emmett S. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
71 DUBOIS Peter 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
72 QUITORIANO Matthew 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
73 ZHANG William 100% 100% 98% 88% 64% 30% 6%
74 VENET Téva 100% 98% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
75 PARKS Isaac 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4%
76 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
77 TAM Ethan 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
78 CHIMOSKEY Finn D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11%
78 JENNINGS Adin 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
80 GOLDSON Tyrese 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
81 ZOU Xianyang 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
82 SO Lorenzo 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
83 KMOSKO Nicholas 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
84 KHANNA Keshav 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
85 MANAUGH Guy 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
86 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% -
87 CORRALES Victor M. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
88 EGAN Edward L. 100% 99% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
88 HICKIE Bryant 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
88 EVERS Gabriel 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
91 HARRIS Otto 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
91 HEADRICK Lance 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
93 BOGUSLAVSKY Daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
94 BEAUCHAMP Reilly E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
94 DRIBIN Ezra 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 11%
96 GUPTA Karan 100% 98% 85% 57% 26% 7% 1%
96 MIAO Kunqi 100% 93% 68% 34% 11% 2% -
98 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
99 QUITORIANO Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
99 TORRES Gianni 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
101 OZANNE Jeffrey S. 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
102 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 1%
103 RHEA Eric L. 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
104 JONES Reilly 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 2%
105 COLLUM Thomas 100% 100% 96% 83% 55% 23% 4%
106 WORLEY Aren R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
107 VRAPI Dorian A. 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
108 HANNON Owen 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
109 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
110 BEAVER Aaron 100% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
111 WENGER Caleb 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
112 KIM Ian 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
113 ROBINSON Matthew 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
114 WANG Albert 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
115 KIM Dylan 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
116 LEE Bryson 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
116 SHULL Marc 100% 100% 97% 80% 49% 18% 3%
118 BRADFORD Ethan 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
119 BLEICHER Simon 100% 92% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
120 VELUVALI Vivek S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 13%
121 BAXTER Max 100% 87% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
122 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 96% 80% 51% 20% 3%
123 FENG du 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
124 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 18% 3%
125 AYABINA JR John 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
126 FULLERTON Joshua D. 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
127 KIM Jeff 100% 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1%
128 THOMAS Jr. Robert D. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
129 JU Hanul 100% 98% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
130 JANYSKA Allen 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
131 SU Oliver 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1%
132 MURDOCH ROY Charlie 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
133 MELCHER Charles 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
134 DONDISCH Ilan 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
135 MENDOZA Zander 100% 93% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
136 MODRUSAN Lukas 100% 91% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
137 KERTESZ Stefan G. 100% 98% 89% 64% 32% 9% 1%
138 LI Ethan R. 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
139 FITZGERALD Thomas R. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
140 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 70% 30% 7% 1% - -
141 BISSEN Quinn 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 22% 3%
142 MITTLER Frederick 100% 83% 46% 16% 3% - -
143 MARTINEZ Gabriel 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
144 MAJAM Brandon Audie 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% -
145 MOHAMED Sabir 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
146 CHESNEY Aiden R. 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% 1%
147 MALAHOWSKI Patrick 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
148 HADDLETON Mark 100% 90% 52% 14% 1% -
149 O'HAGAN Benedict 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
149 DOERR Jeff 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
149 SCHIAVONE Oreste 100% 95% 76% 43% 16% 3% -
152 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
153 ALAMO Brandon 100% 62% 20% 4% - - -
154 COSTA joao 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
155 MARTINEZ Kenneth 100% 12% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.