Division I and Parafencing Nat'l Championships & April NAC

Div I Men's Foil

Friday, April 22, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Charlotte, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ITKIN Nick (Nikita) B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
2 LOUIE Bryce 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 MASSIALAS Alexander C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
3 MACHOVEC Andrew C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
5 CHEN Allen 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
6 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
7 KUMBLA Sidarth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
8 MATHIEU Adam 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
9 MEINHARDT Gerek L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
9 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 41% 11%
11 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
12 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
13 CHAMLEY-WATSON Miles C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
14 LI Richard 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
15 SHIN Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
16 HUTH Mitchell 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
17 YANG Luao 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
18 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 99% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%
19 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
20 JANG Jaewon 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
21 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
22 GASSNER Ethan I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
23 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
24 OLIVARES Marcello G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
25 GOOR Julian 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
26 SNYTSHEUVEL John Evan (Evan) 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 19% 3%
27 DANIEL Ashton 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
28 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
29 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
30 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
31 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 95% 72% 36% 11% 2% -
32 CHEN Andrew 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
33 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
34 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
35 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
36 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
37 BALL James T. 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
38 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
39 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
40 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
41 HOSSFELD Finn E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
42 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
42 DU Samuel R. 100% 90% 58% 22% 5% - -
44 BAS Liam 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
45 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
46 BOURTIS James S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
47 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 94% 70% 34% 10% 1% -
48 LEE Benjamin H. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
49 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
50 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
51 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
52 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
53 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% 1%
53 LEE Aidan 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
55 BAE Kevin 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
56 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 8% 1%
57 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 12% 2%
58 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
59 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
60 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
61 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
62 LI Raphael C. 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1% -
63 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 2%
64 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 6% 1%
65 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 6%
66 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
67 HOWARD Michael 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% - -
68 CHEN Earnest P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
69 SHAFAIE Kaveh 100% 100% 98% 87% 62% 28% 6%
70 LIN Dashiell 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
71 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 1%
72 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 2%
73 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 21% 4%
74 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
75 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
76 BINDER Zachary (Zach) B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
77 WOO Christian 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
78 NDIAYE Edriss G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
79 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
80 KIM Yonjae 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
81 WU Alexander 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
82 LI Owen 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
83 BING Charles 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
84 LO Conrad 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 38% 8%
85 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
86 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
87 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
88 YI Stephen K. 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
89 FUKUDA Renzo K. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
90 BRUK Peter J. 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2% -
91 WU Jerry Z. 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
92 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
92 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% 1%
94 KAISER Hans Z. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19% 1%
95 JIANG Owen 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
96 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 39% 9%
97 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
98 HUTH Jacob 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3% -
99 JAIN Aditya 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2% -
99 SIU Aiden 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
101 IVERSON Shane D. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
101 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
103 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
104 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
105 CHIN Julian S. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
106 LIU Justin 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 3%
107 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
107 TSIMIKLIS Yanni 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% - -
109 REALS Alden D. 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
110 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
111 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
112 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
113 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
114 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
115 SONG Aiden S. 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2% -
116 SADOVSKY Leor B. 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
117 YU Vinni 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 2%
117 LEE Jacob J 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
119 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
120 WYMAN Julian 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
121 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 13% 1%
122 KIM Ryan Y. 100% 66% 22% 4% - - -
123 YU Anders 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
124 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% - -
125 AHN Jun 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1% -
126 FU Samuel Y. 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
127 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
128 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1% -
129 COELHO Cristiano P. 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
130 DIERKS Kian 100% 90% 55% 20% 4% -
130 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
132 HOBSON Aaron K. 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
132 LUH Ethan K. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
134 GAO William 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
135 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
135 LI Eric 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
135 JI Aidan Y. 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
138 OH SEAN 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.