Goldfinch ROC D1A, D2, Vet, RJC and chair fencing

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, March 26, 2022 at 8:00 AM

SportsPlex at Metuchen - Metuchen, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
2 HASSAN Mohamed H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 63%
3 BRUK Peter J. 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
3 SERVELLO Augusto 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 52% 12%
5 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
6 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
7 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 12%
8 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
9 LEE Aidan 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
10 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 20%
11 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 13%
12 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
12 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
14 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
15 SONG Bryan 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
16 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
17 JIANG Owen 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 8% 1%
18 WELCH Kyle J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
19 AHN Jun 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
20 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
21 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 22% 3%
22 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2%
23 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
24 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
25 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
26 KIM Yonjae 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
27 LE Vyn A. 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% -
28 SHA Yi Peng 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
29 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
30 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% - -
31 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
32 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
33 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 17% 2%
34 DESANDO Michael R. 100% 100% 98% 86% 50% 10%
35 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 22%
36 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8%
37 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 29% 3%
38 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
39 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 61% 13%
40 CHAN Tyler 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
41 COZINE Owen N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
42 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
43 LINALDI Alberto 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
44 ZHEN Ethan 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
45 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
46 GONG Benjamin 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
47 PO Oliver 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
48 LU Yikai 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 3%
49 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 98% 80% 34% 5% - -
50 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 9%
51 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
52 GAO William 100% 89% 56% 22% 5% -
53 SEZER Kaya 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
54 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2%
55 LIU Eric Y. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
56 LIN James G. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 7% 1%
57 STRAYER Andrew 100% 100% 93% 65% 23% 4% -
58 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 93% 61% 17% 2% -
59 BROWN Alexander R. 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
60 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 47% 10% 1% - -
61 DAUM Charlie 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
62 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
62 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
64 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% -
65 TSAI Max W. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
66 KEE Andrew L. 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1%
67 WANG Michael 100% 89% 48% 14% 2% -
68 LEE Jonah 100% 91% 54% 16% 2% -
69 EVANS Aidan 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
70 LANG Dong Lin 100% 99% 85% 48% 13% 1%
71 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 93% 58% 20% 4% - -
72 KNIZHNIK David 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
73 SHAO Eric 100% 83% 39% 9% 1% - -
73 BADLANI Dev 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
75 MURPHY Damian J. 100% 51% 11% 1% - - -
76 AMRANI David 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
77 LEWIS Akhil 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
78 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% -
79 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
80 YOON DYLAN 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
81 JIN Dennis H. 100% 90% 33% 6% 1% - -
81 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
81 WU Michael 100% 82% 32% 5% - - -
84 HUANG Eythan 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
85 MATSAKH Philip 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
86 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
87 REZA Farazi 100% 78% 28% 4% - - -
88 TSAI William 100% 20% 1% - - - -
89 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1% -
90 RUSSO Frank 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
91 COTLAR Andrew D. 100% 97% 77% 32% 7% 1% -
92 MURDOCH Walter 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.