Morris Cup RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, January 16, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Event Center at Valley Forge - King of Prussia, PA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JIN Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 39%
2 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
3 MCCOMISKEY Aiden J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
5 WU Jonathan 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
6 JONES Tyler 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% -
7 SHEN Max 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
8 SERAFIN Ben 100% 100% 92% 65% 30% 7% 1%
9 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
10 ZHANG YuJian 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 45%
11 SATTERFIELD Donald 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12%
12 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
13 CHOI Aleksey 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
14 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
15 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
16 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
17 NOVOJILOV Alexei 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 33% 6%
18 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
19 HERMANSON David B. 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
20 DUAN Eric 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 2%
21 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
22 KUMAR Aidan 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
23 LAI Aedin 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
23 OTTO Nathaniel B. 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 9% 1%
25 MORSE Tyler 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
26 MAHESH Tarun 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
27 MCGRANE-MOFFITT Nolan A. 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
28 SUN James H. 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% -
29 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
30 LI Jalen 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
31 JOSLIN Tyler 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
32 GILLER Augustus 100% 74% 33% 8% 1% -
33 WADE Grayson 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 5%
34 LI Jeffrey 100% 100% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
35 ZHANG Zixian (Shawn) 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
36 MORTON William 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
37 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
38 LAI Coby 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
39 JANKOWICH Alexander E. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 4%
40 WANG Eric S 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
41 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 95% 74% 41% 14% 2% -
42 LAM Bill 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 10% 1%
43 CHOE Andrew 100% 96% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
44 ZIAEE Armin 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% - -
45 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
46 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
47 GONG Haixiang 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
48 PAN Tristan 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
49 MILLER Kurt 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
50 BYARS John 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
51 HU Robert J. 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
52 POIST Wylie 100% 99% 83% 48% 17% 3% -
53 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 26% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.