Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Nicholas W. - - - - 3% 26% 71%
2 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - - 3% 17% 43% 38%
3 RUSADZE Nickolas - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
3 YU Vinni - - 1% 9% 39% 51%
5 KAO Castor T. - - - 5% 23% 43% 28%
6 SINGH Dayaal - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
7 LI Richard - - - 1% 9% 36% 54%
8 LI Eric - - 3% 20% 40% 29% 7%
9 GONG Benjamin - 2% 24% 42% 25% 6% 1%
10 SIMA Congyu Josh - 2% 10% 28% 38% 21% 2%
11 BAE Kevin - - 4% 17% 37% 33% 9%
12 WU Alexander - - - 4% 20% 42% 33%
13 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - - 1% 12% 43% 43%
14 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - 5% 23% 40% 25% 6% -
15 AHN Jun - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
16 LEE Chris - 1% 20% 41% 29% 8% 1%
17 KIM Yonjae - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
18 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - - 2% 13% 36% 37% 13%
19 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - - 1% 10% 39% 51%
20 DAI Jonathan T. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 25%
21 LANG Dong Lin - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
22 LIN James G. - 3% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1%
23 BELLUOMO David C. - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 5%
24 HOOSHI Jayden C. - - 1% 7% 27% 44% 21%
25 KATAYAMA Kevin - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
26 SHA Yi Peng - 1% 12% 38% 39% 10%
27 GRASS Andrew E. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
28 SCHLESINGER Nathan - - 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
29 DU Samuel R. - 1% 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
30 BARTEL Jacob L. - 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 3%
31 PO Oliver - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
32 DOCTOR Aidan L. 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
33 LEWIS Akhil 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 2%
34 MOHAMED Murad - 2% 14% 35% 35% 12% 1%
35 PYO Michael M. - - 2% 12% 35% 40% 11%
36 WANG Mason 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
37 WONG Yuheng Isaac 35% 43% 18% 3% - < 1% -
38 LIN Michael 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
39 KLOTZ Isaiah 2% 17% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
40 LEE Jonah 1% 11% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
41 MATSAKH Philip 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
42 DAUM Charlie - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
43 WUJASTYK Leon 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
44 ACHILOV Sayid 2% 17% 36% 32% 12% 1%
45 YAO Bradley 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
46 POPE Alexander 44% 46% 10% 1% - -
47 JIANG Owen - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
48 CHENG Jonathan - 3% 13% 30% 34% 18% 3%
49 DOBBINS Evan W. - - 1% 7% 28% 46% 19%
49 LI Arvin 4% 21% 37% 27% 8% 1% -
51 KITAGAWA Eric S. - 17% 38% 31% 11% 2% -
52 KNIZHNIK David - 2% 11% 31% 37% 16% 2%
53 MILLER Aidan A. 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
54 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. - 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
55 TEMPLE Jackson - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
56 LEE Jacob 1% 9% 38% 38% 13% 1%
57 NAGER Noah 1% 8% 27% 38% 23% 4%
58 LIGOS Alex M. 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
59 ZOBEL Eric H. - - 1% 12% 34% 39% 14%
60 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 1% 5% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
61 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
62 WECHSLER Jacob 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
63 SONG Bryan 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 6% -
64 REZA Farazi 6% 55% 33% 6% - - -
65 YOON Dylan - 16% 47% 29% 7% 1% -
66 MOHAMED Amir 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
67 MENG Zhaoyi 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
68 HUANG Jonathan 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
69 TAHOUN Mostafa 5% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1%
70 GUO Justin 2% 13% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
71 ORVANANOS Jorge - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
72 HE Xiangrui 5% 23% 36% 25% 9% 1% -
73 RITCHIE Luke W. - - < 1% 3% 19% 45% 33%
74 DAVIDSON Elliot - 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
75 KEE Andrew L. - 3% 24% 44% 25% 4%
76 WU Michael 15% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
77 XU Ethan 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
78 LI Aaron 3% 38% 40% 15% 3% - -
79 ROBINS Brennan 16% 69% 13% 1% - - -
80 SRINIVASAN Vedant 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
81 AMRANI David 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
82 PITERBARG Maxim 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
83 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 34% 45% 18% 3% - - -
84 WANG Michael - 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
85 LI Ayren 31% 51% 16% 2% - -
86 PETERSON Dale 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% -
86 LEVY Jacob 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
88 LEUNG Jin 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
89 BOISLARD Adam J. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3% -
89 LI Toby 19% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
91 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 85% 14% 1% - - - -
92 HARRIS Noah 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
93 HAYLON Caleb 95% 5% - - - - -
94 TRAUB William 85% 14% - - - - -
95 OLLARI John W. 78% 21% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.