Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, September 24, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Floyd Little Athletic Center - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
2 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
3 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
3 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
5 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
6 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
7 LI Richard 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
8 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
9 GONG Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 74% 32% 7% 1%
10 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 2%
11 BAE Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9%
12 WU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
13 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
14 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 94% 71% 31% 6% -
15 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
16 LEE Chris 100% 100% 99% 78% 38% 9% 1%
17 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13%
18 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
19 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
20 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
21 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
22 LIN James G. 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
23 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
24 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
25 KATAYAMA Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
26 SHA Yi Peng 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 10%
27 GRASS Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
28 SCHLESINGER Nathan 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
29 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 6%
30 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 20% 3%
31 PO Oliver 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
32 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
33 LEWIS Akhil 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
34 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 13% 1%
35 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 11%
36 WANG Mason 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
37 WONG Yuheng Isaac 100% 65% 22% 4% - < 1% -
38 LIN Michael 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
39 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
40 LEE Jonah 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 4% -
41 MATSAKH Philip 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
42 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 1%
43 WUJASTYK Leon 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
44 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 98% 81% 45% 13% 1%
45 YAO Bradley 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
46 POPE Alexander 100% 56% 10% 1% - -
47 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
48 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
49 DOBBINS Evan W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
49 LI Arvin 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
51 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% -
52 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
53 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
54 MONTALVO-ZOTTER Gabriel M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
55 TEMPLE Jackson 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
56 LEE Jacob 100% 99% 91% 53% 14% 1%
57 NAGER Noah 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
58 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
59 ZOBEL Eric H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
60 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
61 SYOMICHEV Gleb A. 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
62 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
63 SONG Bryan 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% -
64 REZA Farazi 100% 94% 39% 6% - - -
65 YOON Dylan 100% 100% 84% 37% 8% 1% -
66 MOHAMED Amir 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
67 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
68 HUANG Jonathan 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
69 TAHOUN Mostafa 100% 95% 73% 35% 8% 1%
70 GUO Justin 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
71 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
72 HE Xiangrui 100% 95% 71% 36% 10% 2% -
73 RITCHIE Luke W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
74 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
75 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 97% 73% 29% 4%
76 WU Michael 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
77 XU Ethan 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
78 LI Aaron 100% 97% 58% 18% 3% - -
79 ROBINS Brennan 100% 84% 14% 1% - - -
80 SRINIVASAN Vedant 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
81 AMRANI David 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
82 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
83 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 66% 21% 3% - - -
84 WANG Michael 100% 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
85 LI Ayren 100% 69% 17% 2% - -
86 PETERSON Dale 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
86 LEVY Jacob 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
88 LEUNG Jin 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
89 BOISLARD Adam J. 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
89 LI Toby 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
91 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 100% 15% 1% - - - -
92 HARRIS Noah 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
93 HAYLON Caleb 100% 5% - - - - -
94 TRAUB William 100% 15% - - - - -
95 OLLARI John W. 100% 22% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.