Fairfax Challenge Spring RYC/RJCC/ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Friday, April 14, 2023 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAZUR Daniil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
2 MURPHY Thomas P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 19%
3 HRAPSKY Ryan J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 MUNLIN Donovan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26%
5 TABLEMAN Doug S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
6 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 13%
7 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
8 CULPEPPER John (JR) R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
9 CHONG christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
10 WIMMER Nathaniel P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
10 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 4%
12 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
13 NORTH Gary S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
14 PAN Tristan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
15 LEE JoonWon 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
16 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
17 SO Lorenzo 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
18 CAO Albert 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 8% 1%
19 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
20 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
21 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
22 CHEN Brian 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 1%
23 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
24 HANSEN Lars 100% 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
25 MURRAY-GRAMLICH Robert 100% 99% 85% 46% 13% 1% -
26 SNIDER Jeffrey H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 6%
27 WHEELER Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 25% 2%
28 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
28 TUMIBAY Noah C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 3%
30 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
31 PALAMARCHUK Matthew 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
32 LEE Aiden 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
33 LIN Harrison 100% 95% 75% 40% 13% 2% -
34 PAN Colin 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
35 WAY Kashi M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
36 SAKO Ayrton J. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
37 WOZNIAK Fryderyk 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
38 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
39 CHEN Wesley 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
40 DISIMONE David Z. 100% 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
41 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
42 DICKENS Robert W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
43 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
44 MEGGERS Davin 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% - -
45 CARTER Austin L. 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
46 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
47 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
48 STEPHENS Corbin 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5% -
49 DUAN eric 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
50 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
51 DOAN Joseph M. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33% 6%
51 HU Robert J. 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% - -
53 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12% 1%
54 HU Anton 100% 88% 34% 6% - - -
55 ZHANG Sen 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% - -
56 LAM Alan 100% 84% 45% 12% 1% -
57 ILYAS Zakariya 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
58 TAMULONIS Fen C. 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
59 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
60 CARTY JR Johndale 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
61 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 79% 39% 11% 1% -
62 GAUVEY Ken C. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
63 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
64 YAKIMENKO Andrei 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
65 ANDERSON Donald 100% 37% 5% - - - -
66 RUSSELL Tallis 100% 90% 45% 11% 1% - -
67 KANG JUNWOO 100% 31% 3% - - - -
68 FORAIDA Khalid 100% 28% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.