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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Collegiate Cup RJCC

Cadet Men's Épée

Saturday, May 6, 2023 at 1:30 PM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
2 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
3 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
3 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 22%
5 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
6 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 96% 77% 40% 9%
7 KIM Ian 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 2%
8 LU Ivan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
9 PAK Elliot 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
10 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
11 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
12 MIAO Kunqi 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
13 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 98% 80% 36% 7% -
14 KIM Sullivan 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
15 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
16 KIM Jayden 100% 99% 94% 77% 45% 16% 2%
17 SEO Shawn 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
18 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
19 FAN Joshua 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
20 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 9%
21 WANG Joey 100% 96% 79% 48% 19% 4% -
22 LIU Yikun 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
23 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
24 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
25 LEE Damien 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
26 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 98% 82% 48% 15% 2%
27 LO Jake 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
28 ZI QIN Shang 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
29 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 14% 2%
30 LIU Yueri 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
31 TANG William 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
32 SHEN Jiayi 100% 55% 12% 1% - -
33 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
34 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
35 LEE Aidan 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
36 WANG owen 100% 100% 98% 79% 36% 5%
37 LI Yunji 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
38 JU Hanul 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
39 LIU Noah 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
40 THOMAS Michael 100% 93% 68% 33% 10% 1% -
41 GOROZA Eric 100% 77% 26% 4% - -
42 KIM Teddy 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
43 WU Johnny y. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
44 LI Zerong 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
45 POSSON Luke 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% -
46 CHEN Bailey 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.