Fortune Fencing RYC/RJCC/ROC(D1A, DV2, VET) & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 3:30 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
2 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
3 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 42%
3 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
5 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 19%
6 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 26% 3%
7 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
8 JU Hanul 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
9 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 67%
10 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
11 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 19%
12 ZHU Eric 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
13 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
14 DAVOODIAN Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 28%
15 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
16 LIU Zixian (Aaron) 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
17 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
18 WANG zhixing (Daniel) 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
19 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 13% 2%
20 BAZHENOV Anthony 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
21 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
22 CHEN Bailey 100% 100% 98% 82% 40% 7%
23 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20% 2%
24 RICHARDS Jackson D. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 5%
25 KIM Teddy 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
25 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
27 LEE Damien 100% 100% 95% 71% 31% 6% -
28 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
29 WANG owen 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
30 CHUNG Ethan Sheng Xuan 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
31 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 13%
32 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 5%
33 FANG Hanning 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 21% 2%
34 WANG Joey 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 9%
35 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
36 LEE Inwoo 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
37 RICHARD silas 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 28% 3%
38 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 29%
39 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 99% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
40 LI Ethan R. 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
41 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 12% 1%
42 YU Austin 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
43 ANDERSON Kai 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
44 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
45 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 16%
46 TONG Samuel 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
47 MIAO KUNQI 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 14% 2%
48 CHENG Trevor 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
49 LIU Yueri 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
50 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 26% 4%
51 SINHA Zaan 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 6%
52 DONAHUE Lake 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
53 LIU Noah 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
54 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1%
55 WU Steven 100% 88% 48% 14% 2% -
56 SIM Ian 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
57 WONG Ethan 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
58 GOROZA Eric 100% 94% 55% 14% 1% -
59 ZHOU Hao Kai (Kevin) 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
60 LI zerong 100% 99% 87% 52% 16% 2% -
61 HSU Joshua 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
62 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 12%
63 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
64 KIM Remington 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
65 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
66 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 86% 43% 8% 1% - -
67 WANG aaron 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
68 TIAN choyu 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 2%
69 GUO Woody 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
70 WU Johnny y. 100% 76% 29% 5% - -
71 KIM Alexander 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
72 DACHELET Sawyer 100% 93% 65% 26% 5% - -
72 WONG Preston 100% 85% 42% 7% 1% - -
74 TUSANTOSO McKenzie 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
75 YOUNG Quentin 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
76 THOMAS Michael 100% 98% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
77 MAXU Tiger 100% 96% 65% 21% 3% -
78 WONG Baron 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
79 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 97% 79% 45% 14% 2%
80 LUNDE drew 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
81 WU Alistair 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
82 XU Wangzitai 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
83 MILEY Walker 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
83 SHEN Jiayi 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
85 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 86% 51% 18% 3% - -
86 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 2%
87 LEE Royce 100% 78% 34% 8% 1% - -
88 GADHVI Darius 100% 64% 19% 2% - - -
89 ZHANG Joshua 100% 46% 9% 1% - - -
90 ITO WILSON Miles 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 2% -
91 REID Wesley 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
92 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 66% 21% 3% - -
93 LAU Alex 100% 87% 37% 7% 1% - -
94 ZHAO Colin 100% 86% 39% 9% 1% - -
95 LIN Jason 100% 57% 16% 2% - -
96 HAN Wyatt 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
97 PALMARES Xavier 100% 95% 69% 28% 3% - -
98 FU Adrian 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
99 LEE Damon 100% 34% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.