AFM Super Regional SYC/RJCC/ROC Div1A/Vet

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, October 7, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Santa Clara Convention Center - Santa Clara, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIDA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
2 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 39%
3 MA Victor 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 38% 9%
3 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
5 CUMMINGS Atticus C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
6 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
7 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 5%
8 LIU Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
9 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
10 HABIB Farooq 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
11 PARKER Isaiah 100% 96% 75% 36% 9% 1% -
12 SISINNI Riccardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
13 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
14 LIU Noah 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
15 LIU Yikun 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
16 TANG William 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1% -
17 CASTELLY Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26% 3%
18 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
19 SUVOROV Yuly 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 21%
20 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
21 WONG KEVIN 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 30%
22 KIM Dylan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 20%
23 LI Patrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
24 JIN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
25 ISAAC Mena 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 17%
26 WATT Darren 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
27 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
28 JU Hanul 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23% 3%
29 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5% -
30 YU Austin 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
31 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
32 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 98% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
33 CHIRASHNYA Adam 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15% 1%
34 MCALISTER Ian 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 5%
35 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
36 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12%
37 BENACK Steven M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
38 CANNAERT Ethan 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 5% -
39 STRAUSS Luke 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
39 SINHA Zaan 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
41 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
42 ZHANG Alec 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
43 CHIEN Zachary M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
44 MIAO KUNQI 100% 99% 92% 66% 31% 7% 1%
45 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
46 DAO Alexander 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% -
47 JAIN Samyak 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
48 WISHART Eric 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2% -
49 RICHARD silas 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
50 ALLEN Graham 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
51 MAYCHROWITZ Matt 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
51 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
53 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 1%
54 TIEN Jabin 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
55 NICHOLSON Dominic A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
56 NG Biwon 100% 91% 56% 20% 4% - -
57 HELGE James R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
58 ZHUANG William 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
59 SIM Ian 100% 73% 27% 5% - - -
60 KUO Rylan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
61 OBERDERFER Vladimir 100% 100% 94% 67% 25% 4% -
62 TONG Samuel 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
63 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
64 GENCHEV Madav 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
65 ELZAYN Hadi S. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
66 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 98% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
67 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
68 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 98% 80% 42% 11% 1% -
69 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
69 YUEN Nathan 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
71 KAUFMAN Joel H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
72 DU Daniel 100% 88% 44% 10% 1% - -
73 DANIELS Jonah 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
74 SIRBU Dan 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
75 SALZER Scott 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
76 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% - -
77 LEE Bryson 100% 98% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
78 ANDERSON Kai 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
79 WONG Preston 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
80 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
81 LI zerong 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
82 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 98% 77% 37% 9% 1% -
82 HUANG Tony 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 16% 3%
84 GU Aidan 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
85 WACHS Bryce 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
86 REED David 100% 97% 77% 37% 8% 1% -
87 CHAO Warren 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
88 LAI Alexander 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
89 CHENG Trevor 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
90 BECK Brian C. 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
91 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
92 MORETTI David 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
93 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
94 CHEN Steve 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
94 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 3% -
96 FERRIERE Thomas 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
96 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
98 BELL Michael S. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
99 KIM Ian 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
100 LAURSEN Logan 100% 83% 37% 9% 1% - -
101 NGUYEN Grayson 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
102 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
102 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 26% 3% - - - -
104 ZHAO Colin 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
105 MITCHEM Paolo 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.