Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KNOX James - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 THAKUR Om S. - - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
3 MELCHER Jack H. - - - - 2% 21% 77%
3 LAI Boden - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 9%
5 HE Lawrence - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
6 LEE Stewart S. - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
7 GAO Daniel - - - 2% 11% 39% 49%
8 KRISHNAN Skanda 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
9 RICHARD Owen - - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
10 SUN Jeffery 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
11 WU Jonathan - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 25%
12 SETO Jing 1% 25% 41% 25% 6% 1% -
13 PRIHODKO Max 1% 10% 31% 40% 18%
14 BEDOR William J. - - - - 5% 32% 62%
15 SONG Troy - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% 1%
16 TIRRELL Justin J. - - 2% 12% 36% 38% 13%
17 SANDERS Ian W. - - - - 1% 18% 81%
18 CARPENTER Liam - - - 2% 15% 42% 41%
19 ZHANG William 3% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1%
20 LAI Aedin 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
20 BUSH Thomas 2% 14% 35% 36% 13%
22 MAO Benjamin - - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
23 XIE Brandon - 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
24 SUN Jason - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
25 KOYFMAN Benjamin - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
26 PALLADINO Ben T. 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
27 PARK Frederick - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
27 UNG Kai 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
29 XIA Dashan - 8% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
30 ZEBROSE Cordell B. - - 2% 13% 37% 39% 8%
31 KARIMOV Amir 9% 34% 37% 17% 3% - -
32 COHEN Jared E. - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
33 PAN Tristan - 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% < 1%
34 GREGORY Abram - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 16%
35 JENNINGS Adin 1% 12% 34% 36% 15% 2%
36 WANG justin - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 2%
37 SVERDLOV Seth - - 4% 17% 37% 32% 9%
38 DOUBOV Andrew 1% 18% 37% 31% 11% 2% -
39 PARK Nicholas - - 4% 20% 41% 31% 3%
40 STELTENKAMP Neal 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
41 PHO Eric - - 1% 7% 25% 44% 23%
42 LIOU Solomon - 1% 8% 28% 42% 21%
43 LIU Adam 3% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1%
44 BEALS Alden - 5% 21% 39% 29% 5%
45 NABAVI Matthew R. - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3%
46 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 2% 12% 31% 34% 17% 4% -
47 JIANG Matthew 2% 17% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
48 SWENSON Keane J. - - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
49 MEN Junda 1% 7% 30% 40% 18% 3% -
50 DORASZELSKI Mark - 2% 12% 29% 34% 18% 4%
51 WU Colin 1% 13% 38% 35% 11% 1% -
52 NORMILE Nicholas 2% 13% 33% 35% 15% 3% -
53 LIU Jeremiah W. 1% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
54 REPIC Oliver 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
55 FUSSMAN Yuval 1% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1% -
56 AYALA Jaime - 2% 14% 36% 35% 12% 1%
57 BASOK Nikita - - 5% 20% 38% 29% 7%
58 OSTIGUY Cameron - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 1%
59 NILSEN Mark 56% 36% 8% 1% - - -
60 DOWD Peter L. 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
61 WANG Xiangdong 9% 38% 36% 14% 3% - -
62 ZHANG Roland 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
63 PAQUET Mathieu - 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
64 WHITE Aidan 68% 27% 4% - - - -
65 SPRINGER Michael - 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6%
66 CHAO Warren 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
67 SHA Michael - 6% 24% 39% 25% 6% 1%
68 STEVENSON Ryan - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
69 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 14% 37% 34% 14% 2% -
70 CHEN Jun Ho 2% 16% 37% 32% 11% 1%
71 MARTINEZ Joshua - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
72 RUSSELL Edward - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
73 CHU Brandon A. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3% -
74 GREEN Noah J. 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5% -
75 AHMED Mohsen 5% 38% 38% 15% 3% - -
76 ZHANG Dinghao 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 3% -
77 WONG King-Yee 1% 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% -
78 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 12% 37% 35% 13% 2% - -
79 LENAR David 36% 42% 18% 3% - - -
80 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 22% 40% 27% 9% 2% - -
81 PEDICONE Joseph 67% 28% 4% - - - -
82 HU Robert J. 17% 40% 32% 11% 1%
83 TESFAYE Elias 30% 47% 20% 3% - - -
84 JIANG ryan - 1% 10% 31% 40% 17% 1%
85 SOSNICK Samuel 41% 45% 12% 1% - - -
85 YIN Chujun 38% 43% 17% 3% - - -
87 HSIEN Hong-yu 34% 47% 16% 2% - - -
88 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6% 1%
89 PAN Anthony 59% 33% 7% 1% - -
90 WARD Carrington R. 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
91 ZELIN Sam J. 23% 43% 27% 7% 1%
92 WANG Zhenhai 86% 14% 1% - - - -
92 HELMY Richard 26% 49% 21% 4% - - -
94 ALAM Rajan 82% 16% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.