Neil Lazar Div1A/Div2/Veteran ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 8:00 AM

NYA Sports and Fitness Center - Newtown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 THAKUR Om S. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
3 MELCHER Jack H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 9%
5 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 30%
6 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
7 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
8 KRISHNAN Skanda 100% 98% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
9 RICHARD Owen 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
10 SUN Jeffery 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
11 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
12 SETO Jing 100% 99% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
13 PRIHODKO Max 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
14 BEDOR William J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
15 SONG Troy 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 9% 1%
16 TIRRELL Justin J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 13%
17 SANDERS Ian W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
18 CARPENTER Liam 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
19 ZHANG William 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1%
20 LAI Aedin 100% 97% 81% 43% 10%
20 BUSH Thomas 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
22 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
23 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
24 SUN Jason 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 34% 7%
25 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
26 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
27 PARK Frederick 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
27 UNG Kai 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1% -
29 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
30 ZEBROSE Cordell B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 8%
31 KARIMOV Amir 100% 91% 57% 20% 3% - -
32 COHEN Jared E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
33 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% < 1%
34 GREGORY Abram 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
35 JENNINGS Adin 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 2%
36 WANG justin 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
37 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 9%
38 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
39 PARK Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 3%
40 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
41 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
42 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 21%
43 LIU Adam 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
44 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 5%
45 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
46 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
47 JIANG Matthew 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
48 SWENSON Keane J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 11%
49 MEN Junda 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
50 DORASZELSKI Mark 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
51 WU Colin 100% 99% 86% 47% 13% 2% -
52 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 98% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
53 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
54 REPIC Oliver 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1%
55 FUSSMAN Yuval 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
56 AYALA Jaime 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
57 BASOK Nikita 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
58 OSTIGUY Cameron 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 1%
59 NILSEN Mark 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
60 DOWD Peter L. 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
61 WANG Xiangdong 100% 91% 53% 17% 3% - -
62 ZHANG Roland 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
63 PAQUET Mathieu 100% 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
64 WHITE Aidan 100% 32% 5% - - - -
65 SPRINGER Michael 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
66 CHAO Warren 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
67 SHA Michael 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 7% 1%
68 STEVENSON Ryan 100% 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
69 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
70 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 98% 82% 45% 13% 1%
71 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
72 RUSSELL Edward 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 13% 1%
73 CHU Brandon A. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
74 GREEN Noah J. 100% 98% 88% 60% 26% 5% -
75 AHMED Mohsen 100% 95% 57% 18% 3% - -
76 ZHANG Dinghao 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3% -
77 WONG King-Yee 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
78 MCMILLAN Jackson V. 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
79 LENAR David 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
80 GAO "George" Xiaojiang 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
81 PEDICONE Joseph 100% 33% 5% - - - -
82 HU Robert J. 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
83 TESFAYE Elias 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
84 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18% 1%
85 SOSNICK Samuel 100% 59% 14% 1% - - -
85 YIN Chujun 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
87 HSIEN Hong-yu 100% 66% 19% 2% - - -
88 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
89 PAN Anthony 100% 41% 8% 1% - -
90 WARD Carrington R. 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
91 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 77% 34% 8% 1%
92 WANG Zhenhai 100% 14% 1% - - - -
92 HELMY Richard 100% 74% 25% 4% - - -
94 ALAM Rajan 100% 18% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.