December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
2 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 20%
3 PO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 24%
3 BING Charles 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
5 TRAUGOT Owen G. 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18%
6 DIERKS Kian 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
7 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
8 LU Yikai 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
9 KLOTZ Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
10 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
11 DESHMUKH Arjun 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
12 ZHANG Yun Isaac 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
13 LIN James G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
14 GERVAIS Joel 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
15 CO Dylan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 17%
16 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 21% 3%
17 SONG Leonardo T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
18 GUO Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
19 DEGROOT Blake 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
20 LEE Chris 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
21 LI Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
22 LEE Jacob 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
23 ELWOOD Sebastian F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 22%
24 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
25 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
26 KRYLTSOV Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 8%
27 MIALL Steven A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
28 LI Arvin 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
29 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
30 RADOSLAVOV Ivan-Asen 100% 99% 75% 35% 8% 1%
31 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
32 REYES Omar 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
33 MATSAKH Philip 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 13%
34 KNIZHNIK David 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
35 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
35 TAN Aidan 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 1%
37 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
38 WONG Adrian 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28%
39 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 3%
40 MILLER Aidan A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 2%
41 MOHAMED Amir 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 13%
42 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
43 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
43 NGUYEN Martin 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
45 PARRISH Evan 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
46 SICHITIU Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 28%
47 RASMUSSEN Sage 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
48 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 92% 59% 18% 2%
49 MARTIN IV Elmer D. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
50 YOON DYLAN 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
51 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 8%
52 JIANG Owen 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 8%
53 WANG Winston 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
54 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
55 LING Eddie 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
56 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 94% 61% 19% 2%
57 HE Patrick 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
58 HAN Changhee 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
59 LE Jacob H. 100% 85% 40% 9% 1% -
60 GATZA Logan 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
61 SENIC Lucas 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
62 FUKUDA Diego 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
63 WU DING-JUN 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 16% 2%
64 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 100% 94% 69% 31% 6%
65 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
66 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
67 ROSE Ben 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 41%
68 PYO Michael M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
69 JIANG Bowang 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 3% -
70 LI Samuel 100% 100% 95% 66% 27% 5% -
71 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
72 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 100% 93% 62% 17%
73 ORR Spencer 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
73 VALOUEV Aleksey 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11%
75 SAGE Michael P. 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
76 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 31% 4%
77 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 14% 2%
78 EDISON Ansel 100% 99% 89% 56% 19% 3% -
79 DORAN Wesley C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
80 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35%
81 CHENG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
82 MCISAAC Finn 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
83 KIM Minhyeok 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
84 BADLANI Dev 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
85 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
86 DETERING Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 43%
87 ZHEN Ethan 100% 98% 78% 39% 9% 1%
88 WU Alber Y. 100% 100% 97% 76% 35% 6%
89 GAO William 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
89 GUTH Joseph 100% 96% 68% 29% 6% 1%
91 LIGOS Alex M. 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
91 KIM Brian 100% 89% 48% 12% 1% -
93 CORTRIGHT Skipper 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 1%
93 LI Aaron 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 4%
95 SONG Austin 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2%
95 RAJ Jay 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
97 PAN Henry 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
98 ELKOUSY Laith H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
99 LEUNG Chu Ming Aiden 100% 100% 96% 78% 46% 15% 2%
100 WU Trevor 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 3%
101 PARK Steve (Sangmin) 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
102 NICOLETTI Luca 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 16% 1%
103 PARK Jason B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
103 LEE Eugene 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
105 CHENG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
105 MARTIN Darius 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
107 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
108 MOHAMED Murad 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 31% 4%
108 YAP Nathan 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
110 WONG Antonio 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 12% 1%
111 MA Bryant 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
112 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
113 FENG Michael 100% 93% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
114 HE Kyle 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
115 LIU Ethan 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
116 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
117 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% 1%
118 GOGOI Vir K. 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
119 LEE Jonah 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
120 GATRELL Mitchell E. 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
121 XIE Buster 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
122 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
123 XU Ethan 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
124 AHN Jun 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
125 GAO Payton 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
126 SUAREZ Adrian 100% 93% 65% 25% 4% -
127 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
128 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
129 LOVE Aaron 100% 100% 99% 91% 58% 13%
130 TANG Albert 100% 100% 94% 68% 24% 3%
131 JURMAN Therin 100% 78% 28% 4% - - -
132 QIU Zhaocheng 100% 93% 56% 18% 3% - -
133 LIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
134 MAO Lucas 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
135 MEJIA MATTHEW D. 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 4%
136 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
137 BRAIZINHA Thomas 100% 96% 53% 15% 2% -
137 MA Andrew 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
137 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 100% 94% 73% 34% 6%
140 KLYCZEK Andrew 100% 100% 92% 61% 22% 3%
141 STRINGER David 100% 99% 76% 35% 8% 1%
142 SONG Noel 100% 99% 91% 60% 23% 3%
143 WANG Brian 100% 98% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
144 LEVY Jacob 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
144 YU William 100% 72% 27% 5% - - -
146 KALIPERSAD Neil A. 100% 97% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
146 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 3% -
148 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 54% 12% 1% - - -
149 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
150 LORENZO Alejandro 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
151 DERRICK Blake 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
152 SMOLICH Marat 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
153 SEIB-LEVINSON Conrad 100% 89% 43% 10% 1% - -
154 GNEUHS Sam 100% 96% 67% 19% 2% - -
155 YU Stephen 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
156 SHANNON Jack 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
157 PARK Rion 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2%
158 TANG Alexander L. 100% 94% 55% 16% 2% -
159 SHAO Eric 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
160 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
161 TANG August L. 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 1%
162 WANG Mason 100% 99% 83% 44% 12% 1%
163 BAI Brian 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
164 SHENG Dalton 100% 95% 66% 23% 3% -
165 SEMP Iain 100% 71% 28% 5% - -
166 KRAMER Ryan 100% 58% 11% 1% - -
167 SUN Ryan 100% 92% 55% 17% 3% - -
168 SHAPIRO Leon 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
169 ZAIDI Adil 100% 82% 24% 3% - - -
170 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
171 CLARK Benjamin 100% 88% 40% 6% - - -
172 YANG Dylan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
173 NICOLSON William 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
173 GRIEB Oliver 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
175 CHUANG Oscar 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
175 GUEVARA Isaac 100% 71% 26% 5% - - -
177 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 97% 76% 31% 6% - -
178 CHO Xzander 100% 98% 67% 26% 5% - -
179 ORNELAS Matteo 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
180 ZOU Michael 100% 39% 6% - - - -
181 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
182 CHANG Nathan 100% 34% 5% - - -
183 MODADUGU Aryan 100% 12% 1% - - -
184 KOVACS Wyatt 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
185 BAE Eugene 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% -
186 VISHAWADIA Jaimin 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
187 MCKEE Calvin 100% 24% 2% - - -
188 TSAI Caleb 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
188 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 14% 2%
188 ZMUDA Aiden 100% 36% 5% - - - -
191 DHANOA Kian 100% 12% - - - -
191 HOLLIS Sean 100% 34% 5% - - -
193 MCCOWN Ronan 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
194 TAM Kyle 100% 36% 6% - - -
194 LIM Charlie 100% 68% 17% 2% - -
196 POWELL Sean 100% 39% 6% - - - -
196 NADOL Sam 100% 35% 3% - - - -
198 REAUME Nate 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
199 KRZYWON Dylan 100% 16% 1% - - -
200 EGE Nathan 100% 13% 1% - - - -
201 KUE Temujin 100% 53% 13% 1% - -
202 PETROV Mikhail 100% 43% 9% 1% - - -
202 BLACK Zachary 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
204 COSSROW Alex 100% 24% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.