Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Stewart S. - - - - 2% 20% 78%
2 LE BORGNE Matthieu - - 1% 10% 33% 42% 13%
3 HU Robert J. - - 3% 16% 35% 34% 11%
3 SOKOL Luke - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 6%
5 MAO Benjamin - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
6 WANG Clayton - - - 4% 21% 45% 30%
7 MITEV Alexander - 2% 10% 31% 40% 17%
8 GLENNON Sebastian J. - - 1% 6% 25% 42% 26%
9 YANG Boyan - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
10 TIKHONOV Daniel - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
11 CHEN Brian - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
12 CHOI Kaiden I. - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
13 RIGGINS Joshua - - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
14 CAO Albert - - - 1% 9% 37% 54%
15 LEE Samuel Y. - - - 1% 6% 32% 62%
16 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 1% 13% 32% 32% 17% 4% -
17 HEADRICK Lance - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
18 WOLFE Alex - - - - 5% 29% 66%
19 PETROW Zoryan - 1% 9% 30% 39% 19% 2%
20 TRULL A.J. - - 3% 15% 42% 40%
21 ZIEGLER John - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 11%
22 LEE JoonWon - - - 2% 13% 41% 45%
23 DUKO Phillip - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
24 BUI Henry - - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
25 SONG Troy - - 4% 18% 39% 32% 6%
26 HU Lucas - - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15%
27 WONG King-Yee - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
28 PAN Tristan - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
29 ROBERT Oliver - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
30 BOUDREAUX James - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
31 VYSOTSKIY Evan - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
32 TSE Maxwell - - 3% 17% 40% 32% 8%
33 DURKIN Brian - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
34 CHEN Leonardo - - 3% 15% 38% 35% 9%
35 TIKHONOV Iliya - - - 3% 14% 39% 44%
36 LAM Alan - - 1% 5% 19% 41% 34%
37 HULL Liam - 1% 5% 21% 38% 30% 5%
38 YU Austin - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
39 CHA Patrick 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 2%
40 BORISENKO Samuel - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
41 SAVORETTI Francesco - - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
42 KIM Joshua 2% 13% 33% 34% 15% 3% -
43 SAVORETTI Pietro - - 4% 18% 35% 31% 10%
44 DOUBOV Andrew - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
45 LIU Adam - 1% 7% 24% 39% 25% 3%
46 GINZBURG Adam - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
47 WONG Maximus 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
48 MIDYANY Evan - 1% 5% 22% 40% 27% 5%
49 XIA Dashan - 1% 8% 25% 38% 23% 5%
50 CHHU Allen 1% 8% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
51 KE Sebastian 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
52 CARNALL Hunter 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
53 ZHANG Lucas 1% 7% 25% 36% 25% 6%
54 MEGGERS Davin - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
55 BRADSHAW Carter - 4% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
56 SINGH Ravin - - 3% 15% 35% 36% 11%
57 CHEN Jayden - 2% 9% 27% 37% 22% 3%
58 HERNDON Liam - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
59 LEE Aiden - 5% 24% 41% 24% 5% -
60 MARKOWITZ Sam 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% -
61 PETROVICH Alexandar 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
62 FISHMAN Rahm - 1% 6% 23% 43% 27%
63 KARIMOV Amir 5% 22% 37% 27% 8% 1%
64 YU Samuel 3% 17% 35% 31% 13% 2% -
65 PENG Yue 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
66 HUANG Kenneth - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
67 HU Anton - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 4%
68 LEE Aiden - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
69 MA YIXING (Tiger) 4% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
70 DONG Haiyi 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 1%
71 SAUNIER Cameron - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 3%
72 LEE DoWon - 2% 10% 29% 38% 20% 2%
73 SUN Lucas - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
74 PETERSEN Zachary 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
75 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3% -
76 ARMSTRONG TyLee 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
77 SINGLETON Aman 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
78 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
79 BAJAJ Nakul 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
80 NORMILE Nicholas - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
81 LI Tristan 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
82 KIM Henry - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
83 MEHROTRA Neel 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
84 RAPALSKI Thomas 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
85 TASKIRAN Mete 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
85 LIDSKY Phineas - 5% 22% 38% 27% 7% 1%
87 YI Nathan 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
88 ALEXANDER Jacksen 9% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
89 ZHAO Pierce 10% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
90 KONG Brandon 10% 37% 36% 14% 3% - -
91 YU Jason 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 7% 1%
92 AHMED Mohsen 2% 12% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
93 CHEN Isaac Zhi 8% 30% 39% 19% 4% - -
94 JEONG Arisu 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
95 CHEN Bowen 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
96 SUN Ethan 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
97 WANG Aiden 11% 33% 35% 17% 3% -
98 SHAFFER Tyler 19% 40% 29% 10% 2% -
99 NAEMI Barsam - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
100 XIONG Aaron - 5% 23% 40% 25% 6% -
100 CORDOVA Colin 2% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
100 LEE Henry 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
100 KIM Samuel 13% 40% 35% 11% 2% - -
104 TSEN Mason 17% 40% 32% 10% 1% - -
105 RIM Eugene 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
106 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar - 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
107 CHENH Justin - 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
108 TU Jinqi 1% 8% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
109 NALLICHERI Ayaan 5% 27% 43% 22% 4% - -
110 DOAN Christopher 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
111 TESFAYE Elias 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
112 VENZON Gavin 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% - -
113 DAN Rex - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
114 RVACHEV Michael 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
115 CHOU Benson 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 4% -
116 JIANG Matthew 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
117 HEADRICK Jack - 2% 14% 36% 34% 12% 1%
118 EVANS George 34% 43% 19% 4% - - -
119 SZIEDE Kieran 2% 31% 40% 20% 5% 1% -
120 LI Jade 4% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
121 LEE Wyatt 30% 43% 22% 5% 1% - -
122 SODANI Luke 17% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
123 DELONG Joshua 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
124 JIANG Harry 39% 41% 16% 3% - - -
125 BUI Ryan 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
126 SUNKARA Vishnu 42% 40% 15% 3% - - -
127 PATHAK Arush 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
128 HUGHES Eamonn 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1% -
129 TSANG Aiden 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
130 OCONNOR Paul 24% 44% 26% 6% 1% - -
131 DONNELLY Enzo 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
132 JIANG Aaron 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
133 CHEN Edward 38% 41% 17% 3% - - -
134 ZHANG Jason 13% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
135 LEE Benjamin 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% - -
136 SHILOV Maxim 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
137 GAO Victor 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
138 HSU Joshua 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
139 REKHI Krish 16% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
140 CHAWLA Aarav 18% 42% 30% 9% 1% - -
141 KANG Eunchan 2% 14% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
142 BAI Brian 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
143 NAM Nathaniel 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
143 WATERS Nathaniel 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
145 CHAN Ryan 83% 16% 1% - - - -
146 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
147 MACTOUGH Ben 64% 30% 6% 1% - - -
147 ROBERTS Phoenix 8% 31% 39% 19% 4% - -
149 KUANG Bryan 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
150 ROSIELLO Francesco 47% 40% 12% 2% - - -
150 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 13% 34% 33% 15% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.