Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
2 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 13%
3 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
3 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
5 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
6 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
7 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 17%
8 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
9 YANG Boyan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
10 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
11 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
12 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
13 RIGGINS Joshua 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
14 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
15 LEE Samuel Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
16 KOPPENHEFFER Rowan 100% 99% 85% 54% 21% 5% -
17 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
18 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
19 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 2%
20 TRULL A.J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
21 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 11%
22 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
23 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
24 BUI Henry 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11%
25 SONG Troy 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
26 HU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
27 WONG King-Yee 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
28 PAN Tristan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 10%
29 ROBERT Oliver 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
30 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 42% 11%
31 VYSOTSKIY Evan 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
32 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
33 DURKIN Brian 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
34 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 44% 9%
35 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
36 LAM Alan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
37 HULL Liam 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 35% 5%
38 YU Austin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
39 CHA Patrick 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
40 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
41 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
42 KIM Joshua 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
43 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
44 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
45 LIU Adam 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 3%
46 GINZBURG Adam 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
47 WONG Maximus 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
48 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31% 5%
49 XIA Dashan 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
50 CHHU Allen 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
51 KE Sebastian 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
52 CARNALL Hunter 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
53 ZHANG Lucas 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
54 MEGGERS Davin 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 11%
55 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
56 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 11%
57 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
58 HERNDON Liam 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
59 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
60 MARKOWITZ Sam 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7% -
61 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6% -
62 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
63 KARIMOV Amir 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
64 YU Samuel 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2% -
65 PENG Yue 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
66 HUANG Kenneth 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
67 HU Anton 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 4%
68 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
69 MA YIXING (Tiger) 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
70 DONG Haiyi 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 12% 1%
71 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 3%
72 LEE DoWon 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21% 2%
73 SUN Lucas 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 20% 3%
74 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 95% 71% 34% 10% 1% -
75 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
76 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
77 SINGLETON Aman 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
78 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
79 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
80 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
81 LI Tristan 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
82 KIM Henry 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
83 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
84 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
85 TASKIRAN Mete 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4% -
85 LIDSKY Phineas 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
87 YI Nathan 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
88 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
89 ZHAO Pierce 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
90 KONG Brandon 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% - -
91 YU Jason 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
92 AHMED Mohsen 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
93 CHEN Isaac Zhi 100% 92% 62% 23% 4% - -
94 JEONG Arisu 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
95 CHEN Bowen 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
96 SUN Ethan 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
97 WANG Aiden 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% -
98 SHAFFER Tyler 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% -
99 NAEMI Barsam 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15% 1%
100 XIONG Aaron 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
100 CORDOVA Colin 100% 98% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
100 LEE Henry 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
100 KIM Samuel 100% 87% 48% 13% 2% - -
104 TSEN Mason 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
105 RIM Eugene 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
106 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
107 CHENH Justin 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
108 TU Jinqi 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 9% 1%
109 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% - -
110 DOAN Christopher 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
111 TESFAYE Elias 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
112 VENZON Gavin 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
113 DAN Rex 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
114 RVACHEV Michael 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
115 CHOU Benson 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
116 JIANG Matthew 100% 99% 93% 69% 33% 8% 1%
117 HEADRICK Jack 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 1%
118 EVANS George 100% 66% 24% 4% - - -
119 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 98% 66% 26% 6% 1% -
120 LI Jade 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
121 LEE Wyatt 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
122 SODANI Luke 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
123 DELONG Joshua 100% 89% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
124 JIANG Harry 100% 61% 20% 3% - - -
125 BUI Ryan 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
126 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 58% 18% 3% - - -
127 PATHAK Arush 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
128 HUGHES Eamonn 100% 95% 73% 35% 9% 1% -
129 TSANG Aiden 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
130 OCONNOR Paul 100% 76% 32% 6% 1% - -
131 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
132 JIANG Aaron 100% 69% 25% 5% - - -
133 CHEN Edward 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
134 ZHANG Jason 100% 87% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
135 LEE Benjamin 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
136 SHILOV Maxim 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
137 GAO Victor 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% - -
138 HSU Joshua 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
139 REKHI Krish 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
140 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% - -
141 KANG Eunchan 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
142 BAI Brian 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
143 NAM Nathaniel 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
143 WATERS Nathaniel 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
145 CHAN Ryan 100% 17% 1% - - - -
146 SCHIFFHAUER Bram 100% 57% 15% 2% - - -
147 MACTOUGH Ben 100% 36% 6% 1% - - -
147 ROBERTS Phoenix 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
149 KUANG Bryan 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
150 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
150 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.