Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden - - - - 5% 29% 66%
2 PARK Ian C. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
3 SIVAKUMAR Ajit - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
3 CAO Albert - - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
5 HEADRICK Lance - - 3% 13% 32% 36% 15%
6 WOLFE Alex - - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
7 NORTH Alexander M. - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
8 USDIN Anton - - 3% 16% 37% 35% 8%
9 CHEN Brian - - 2% 13% 36% 39% 9%
10 LEONE III Charles D. - - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
11 LI Benjamin - - 1% 6% 23% 41% 28%
12 MEGGERS Davin 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
13 BERNARD Jack B. - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
14 JORDAN Anton - - - 5% 25% 45% 25%
15 LEE JoonWon - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 10%
16 LAI Aedin - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
17 AGARWAL Adheesh - 1% 7% 22% 36% 28% 7%
18 WU Jonathan - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
19 ZHANG Caden - 1% 7% 25% 41% 25%
20 ALI Farhan 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2%
21 SINGH Ravin - 1% 10% 30% 38% 18% 2%
22 HEADRICK Jack 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
23 FISHMAN Rahm - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 2%
24 KIM Joshua 4% 29% 40% 22% 5% - -
25 TIKHONOV Daniel - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
26 LAI Boden - - 2% 12% 32% 39% 16%
27 ZOU Xianyang (Max) - 1% 10% 30% 37% 19% 2%
28 WANG Clayton - 2% 13% 32% 36% 15%
29 RUSSELL James 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1%
30 GLENNON Sebastian J. - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
31 CHUNG Andrew 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1%
32 HU Robert J. - 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
33 AMOLSCH Dylan - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
34 TIKHONOV Iliya - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
35 BOUDREAUX James - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
36 LE BORGNE Matthieu - 1% 8% 27% 40% 22% 3%
37 PETROW Zoryan - 3% 17% 35% 32% 12% 1%
38 YU Samuel 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
39 CLICK Tristan - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
40 DAN Rex 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
41 CHUNG Joshua - - 4% 20% 39% 29% 7%
42 LIN Zizhen 5% 28% 40% 21% 5% - -
43 SZIEDE Kieran 22% 46% 27% 5% < 1% - -
44 MORTIMER Gavin 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
45 ABBOUD Michael - 4% 19% 37% 31% 9%
46 PAL Ian K. 1% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2% -
47 KWOUN Miles S. - 1% 8% 30% 38% 19% 3%
47 MODANLOU Navid 1% 10% 31% 37% 18% 4% -
49 JONES Jackson 4% 34% 39% 18% 4% - -
50 NORMILE Nicholas 3% 16% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
51 DAVIS Jonah - 1% 10% 31% 38% 17% 3%
52 LAPP Oliver 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4%
53 HULL Liam 4% 20% 37% 28% 10% 1%
54 ANAFI Ari 43% 40% 14% 2% - -
55 WALLACE James 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
56 ROTHKA Spencer J. - 4% 19% 36% 31% 10%
57 LEE Aiden 5% 28% 43% 19% 4% - -
58 SAUNIER Cameron - 5% 24% 39% 24% 6% -
59 CHEMEZOV Trent 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
60 CARNALL Hunter - 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
61 CHENH Justin 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
62 HAN Sam 1% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1%
63 RIM Eugene 23% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
64 ARMSTRONG TyLee 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
65 METZLER Calder 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
66 SUNKARA Vishnu 42% 43% 13% 2% - - -
67 WANG Aiden 14% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
67 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% 1%
69 LEE Aiden 3% 18% 36% 31% 12% 2%
70 BANNEN Nicholas 14% 34% 33% 15% 3% -
71 SO Lorenzo 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 3%
72 KE Sebastian 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% -
73 TIRADO Giancarlo 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
74 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1% -
75 LEE DoWon 5% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
76 PENG Yue 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
77 TATE William Isom 1% 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
78 YAO Andrew 8% 29% 36% 21% 5% 1% -
79 YI Nathan 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
80 MANITT Philip 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
81 EVANS George 51% 38% 10% 1% - - -
82 YIN Chujun 42% 40% 15% 3% - -
83 HECHT Chance 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
84 DONNELLY Enzo 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
85 ALEXANDER Jacksen 21% 47% 26% 6% - - -
86 NALLICHERI Ayaan 35% 46% 17% 2% - - -
87 KAPLAN Maddox 68% 27% 4% - - - -
88 MACTOUGH Ben 75% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.