Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CLICK Aiden 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
2 PARK Ian C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 59%
3 SIVAKUMAR Ajit 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 CAO Albert 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 21%
5 HEADRICK Lance 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 15%
6 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
7 NORTH Alexander M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
8 USDIN Anton 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 8%
9 CHEN Brian 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 48% 9%
10 LEONE III Charles D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
11 LI Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
12 MEGGERS Davin 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
13 BERNARD Jack B. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
14 JORDAN Anton 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
15 LEE JoonWon 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
16 LAI Aedin 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
17 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
18 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
19 ZHANG Caden 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
20 ALI Farhan 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
21 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 20% 2%
22 HEADRICK Jack 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
23 FISHMAN Rahm 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 2%
24 KIM Joshua 100% 96% 68% 28% 6% - -
25 TIKHONOV Daniel 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
26 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 16%
27 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 100% 99% 88% 58% 21% 2%
28 WANG Clayton 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
29 RUSSELL James 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1%
30 GLENNON Sebastian J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 6%
31 CHUNG Andrew 100% 99% 89% 62% 28% 7% 1%
32 HU Robert J. 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
33 AMOLSCH Dylan 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
34 TIKHONOV Iliya 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
35 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 2%
36 LE BORGNE Matthieu 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 3%
37 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 1%
38 YU Samuel 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
39 CLICK Tristan 100% 100% 96% 79% 48% 17% 2%
40 DAN Rex 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 7% -
41 CHUNG Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
42 LIN Zizhen 100% 95% 66% 26% 5% - -
43 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 78% 32% 6% < 1% - -
44 MORTIMER Gavin 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
45 ABBOUD Michael 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
46 PAL Ian K. 100% 99% 87% 52% 17% 2% -
47 KWOUN Miles S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3%
47 MODANLOU Navid 100% 99% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
49 JONES Jackson 100% 96% 61% 22% 4% - -
50 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
51 DAVIS Jonah 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3%
52 LAPP Oliver 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
53 HULL Liam 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1%
54 ANAFI Ari 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
55 WALLACE James 100% 99% 86% 55% 20% 3%
56 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
57 LEE Aiden 100% 95% 66% 23% 4% - -
58 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 6% -
59 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 1%
60 CARNALL Hunter 100% 100% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
61 CHENH Justin 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
62 HAN Sam 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
63 RIM Eugene 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% - -
64 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
65 METZLER Calder 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
66 SUNKARA Vishnu 100% 58% 15% 2% - - -
67 WANG Aiden 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
67 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
69 LEE Aiden 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2%
70 BANNEN Nicholas 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% -
71 SO Lorenzo 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3%
72 KE Sebastian 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
73 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
74 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
75 LEE DoWon 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
76 PENG Yue 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
77 TATE William Isom 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 3% -
78 YAO Andrew 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
79 YI Nathan 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% - -
80 MANITT Philip 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
81 EVANS George 100% 49% 11% 1% - - -
82 YIN Chujun 100% 58% 18% 3% - -
83 HECHT Chance 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
84 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
85 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 79% 32% 6% - - -
86 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 65% 20% 2% - - -
87 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 32% 4% - - - -
88 MACTOUGH Ben 100% 25% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.