The Battle of the Bay Div1A ROC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, February 3, 2024 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BIDA Sergey 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95%
2 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
3 SPROWLES Cameron D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
3 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
5 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
6 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 10%
7 SOULAIRE Tom 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
8 WESTPHAL David R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
9 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 71%
10 WRIGHT Christopher 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
11 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
12 COHEN Benjamin A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 5%
13 HEINS Dylan 100% 100% 93% 69% 33% 8% -
14 LIU Noah 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
15 NG Biwon 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
16 UVAROV Andrii 100% 98% 83% 50% 15% 1%
17 CHOI Zachary 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
18 NICHOLSON Dimitri E. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 14%
19 CHANG Andrew 100% 86% 43% 9% 1% -
20 SARKAR Agniv 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
21 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16% -
22 WONG Preston 100% 90% 51% 12% 1% - -
23 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
24 ANDERSON Kai 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
25 PHILIPPINE Matthias A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
26 SCHEUERMANN Andrew G. 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 5% -
27 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 6% -
28 CAMPBELL-KRUGER Adam W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% -
28 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
30 WILLIAMS Derek 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
31 GU Aidan 100% 90% 53% 16% 3% - -
32 TANG William 100% 100% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
33 SIM Ian 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
34 LEE Bryson 100% 95% 71% 34% 8% 1%
35 CHAKRAVARTHY Arjun 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
36 LEE Jayden J. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
37 LUONG Allen 100% 95% 72% 32% 7% -
38 MING Nathan 100% 96% 77% 40% 10% 1%
39 MA Victor 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
40 YU Austin 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
41 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
42 BOYCE Samuel H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
43 SARKAR Anish 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 21% 2%
44 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
45 MANA Arnav 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
46 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1%
47 PERKA Michael 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 26% 1%
47 CHAUDHURI Kabir 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
49 ZAYDMAN David M. 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 11%
50 DOWNEY Gerard C. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
51 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 1%
52 CLAES Thomas 100% 85% 48% 14% 2% -
52 PERALTA Christian 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
54 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -
55 DOWDELL Riley 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 6%
56 LIPP Robert (Bob) J. 100% 94% 63% 20% 3% -
56 MARIANI Lou 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
58 SIRBU Dan 100% 96% 73% 36% 9% 1%
59 SODHI Jaco 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
59 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
61 YUEN Nathan 100% 98% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
62 PRAKASH Hari 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
62 LIU Aaron 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
64 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
65 LIU Benjamin 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
66 SITTER Gregoire 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
67 LI Ethan R. 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
68 HSU Joshua 100% 88% 49% 13% 2% - -
69 SLOAN Ryan 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% - -
70 LIPTON Michael D. 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
71 GUO Woody 100% 63% 19% 2% - - -
72 LAI Alexander 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.