2024 Winter Thrust RYC/RJCC

Junior Men's Épée

Sunday, February 4, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Rockland Community College (Eugene Levy Fieldhouse) - None

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GAO Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
2 CHEN Leonardo 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
3 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
3 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 DOYON - VERDON William 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49%
6 AGAON Shawn 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 37%
7 AGAON Ethan 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20%
8 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
9 KNOX James 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 38%
10 HE Lawrence 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
11 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 23%
12 LI Zachary 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
13 MANN JAKEROD 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
14 ROLLO Emmett H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 6%
15 LIU Adam 100% 99% 90% 60% 22% 3%
16 DAN Rex 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
17 STELTENKAMP Neal 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 1%
18 DOYON - VERDON Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 27%
19 ZHAO Zidong 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 4%
20 BEALS Alden 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
21 SONG Troy 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 14% 1%
22 REPIC Oliver 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
23 GOON Tristan Yang 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
24 PAN Tristan 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
25 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
26 FLECKENSTEIN Benjamin T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 8%
27 ZHANG William 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1%
28 CHAI Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13% 1%
29 HU Anton 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 9% 1%
30 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 4%
31 UPSHAW Micah 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
32 YU Samuel 100% 98% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
33 LEE Stewart S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 35%
34 SAVORETTI Francesco 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
35 JIANG ryan 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
36 WONG King-Yee 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
37 HU Robert J. 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
38 KOYFMAN Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 7%
39 HOWARD Jackson 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
40 ZHANG Roland 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 2% -
41 ZENG Andrew 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
42 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 78% 36% 8% 1% - -
43 KWON Aaron 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
44 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
45 PAN Anthony 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
46 ZOU Xianyang (Max) 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
47 NILSEN Mark 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
48 SUN Lucas 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
49 DUKO Phillip 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 4% -
50 DEGENHARDT Zenji 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
51 GLUSHKOV David 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
52 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 58% 17% 3% - -
53 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
54 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
55 RIM Eugene 100% 94% 67% 27% 5% - -
56 WANG Tony 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1% -
57 LEE Wyatt 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
58 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 78% 29% 5% - - -
59 MANITT Philip 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - -
59 ALAM Rajan 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
61 TESFAYE Elias 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
62 TANG Charles 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
63 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
64 SHONEMAN Sam 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
65 THOMPSON Ian 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
66 YAO Andrew 100% 88% 45% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.