Fortune Fencing SYC /RJCC & Y8

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, March 23, 2024 at 4:00 PM

Ontario Convention Center - Hall A&B - Ontario, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LO Jake 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 64%
2 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
3 GAO Chaney C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
3 SINGHA Orion 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
5 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
6 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
7 MENDOZA Zachari 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
8 KIM Ian 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
9 WONG Chi Ho 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
10 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34% 4%
11 CARRIER Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
12 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
13 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 7%
14 LIU Yikun 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
15 KIM Jayden 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
16 SEO Shawn 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
17 GALLO James 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
18 ALVAREZ Ian T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 66% 14%
19 KNUDSEN Travis 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
20 HE Zhiheng 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 8%
21 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 12%
22 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
23 KIM Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
24 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
25 MODANLOU Navid 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1%
26 EVERS Gabriel 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
27 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
28 AGARWAL Adheesh 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31% 3%
29 WANG owen 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
30 PAK Elliot 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
31 YUEN Nathan 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 2%
32 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
33 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
34 LIN Kyran 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
35 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
36 SIM Ian 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
37 MULCAHY Olaf 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 19%
38 MIAO Quentin 100% 99% 91% 61% 22% 3%
39 KIM Teddy 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
40 SHIRLEY Kai 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 9% -
41 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
42 MCDONALD Ethan 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
43 HIGGINS Branford 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
44 MILEY Walker 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
45 KUO Rylan 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
46 LEE Damien 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 5% -
47 TANG William 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
48 DONG Haiyi 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
49 CROSSMAN Brandon 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
50 JAIN Samyak 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 1%
51 KIM Alexander 100% 99% 91% 62% 25% 5% -
52 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
53 AVETISIAN Alexander 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
54 PAINTER Noah 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
55 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
56 TAI Edison 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
57 WONG Preston 100% 92% 62% 22% 3% -
58 GOROZA Eric 100% 87% 45% 12% 1% -
59 PUTTAMRAJU Nikhil 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
60 YOUNG Quentin 100% 84% 42% 11% 2% - -
61 KIM Tristan 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
62 PARK Sky 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
63 DENISON Declan 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 3% -
64 XU Wangzitai 100% 99% 86% 50% 15% 1% -
65 NAEMI Barsam 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
66 LIU Yueri 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6% -
67 YAO Derek (Shunyu) 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
68 VILLALOBOSKOWALSKI Demetrious C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
69 WU Johnny y. 100% 97% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
70 SATISHKUMAR Pranav 100% 84% 43% 11% 1% - -
71 WU Steven 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
72 PALMARES Xavier 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
73 DILLON Anik 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
74 WONG Baron 100% 98% 85% 49% 13% 1%
75 THOMAS Michael 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
75 XIE Steven 100% 98% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
77 AHMED Mohsen 100% 98% 86% 52% 17% 2% -
78 JU Hanul 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
79 CHENG Trevor 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% 1% -
80 GUO Woody 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
81 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
82 LI zerong 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
83 SHEN Jiayi 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
84 MAXU Tiger 100% 69% 26% 4% - -
85 KIM Remington 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
86 HIGGINS Calvin 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
87 LI Gen 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
88 LEE Royce 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
89 FERRIERE Joshua 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 11% 1%
90 LIN Andrew 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
91 SHOUSHA Yassin 100% 99% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
92 TOYOFUKU Ethan 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2% -
92 LEWIS Parker 100% 92% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
94 WANG aaron 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
95 GADHVI Darius 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
95 FU Adrian 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
97 BHATT Arjun 100% 95% 69% 29% 6% - -
97 HWANG Jayden 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
99 SHIN Ryan 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% -
100 LIN Jason 100% 27% 3% - - - -
101 RAMOS Max 100% 90% 57% 22% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.