National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, July 5, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Maxwell - 1% 6% 18% 33% 31% 12%
2 LONGSTREET Jeffrey - - 1% 6% 22% 41% 31%
3 WU Steven 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
3 TAI Edison - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
5 ALI Farhan 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 1%
6 YANG Zeph - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
7 HANNON Owen - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
8 CORBIN Bennett - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
9 CHEN Jun Ho - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
10 DESSAUER Tobyn M. - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 19%
11 ROTHKA Spencer J. - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
12 ZELIN Sam J. - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
13 MALLON Jaxson - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
14 GANESAN Mathavan - 2% 11% 27% 35% 21% 4%
15 CARDENAS Lucas - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 9%
16 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
17 CHUNG Yeongbin - - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
18 BARFORD Giovanni 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
19 CHRISTY Peter C. - - 1% 7% 26% 41% 24%
20 WONG Baron 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8%
21 SNYDER Ari 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
22 AHMED Mohsen 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 5%
23 NORWOOD Malik - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
24 PAYNE Massimo - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
24 KENT V David - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
26 OLSON Kevin 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
27 DOUBOV Andrew - - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11%
28 WU Colin - 2% 12% 29% 35% 19% 3%
29 STENCEL Andrew E. - - 4% 16% 35% 34% 12%
30 PETERSEN Ephraim - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 10%
31 WU Alistair - 6% 23% 38% 26% 7%
32 SHULL Marc - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
33 HULL Liam - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
34 SAUNIER Cameron 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 14% 2%
34 TATE William Isom 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
36 WAI Andreas 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
37 JONES Reilly - 2% 10% 30% 39% 18%
38 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
39 GOWDA Suyog 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
40 REPIC Oliver - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
41 LI Jade 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 5% 1%
42 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
43 DALTON Matthew - 2% 10% 26% 34% 22% 5%
44 GAO Victor 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
45 TIEMANN Landen - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
46 FAN Joshua 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
47 LEE Aiden 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 1%
48 XIE Brandon - 2% 12% 31% 37% 17%
49 SANKEY Levi 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% -
50 HINTON Nickolys R. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
51 SIM Ian 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
52 CONKLIN Jim - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
53 LEE Aiden - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 3%
54 ZENG Andrew 3% 17% 32% 30% 15% 4% -
55 WONG King-Yee 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
56 RICHARDSON Ray 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% -
57 RAMLOW Michael C. - 1% 7% 20% 34% 29% 10%
58 SO Lorenzo - 2% 10% 25% 34% 23% 6%
59 NAZARIAN Jonah - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
60 GEIGER Devin T. - 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10%
60 BETTS Jr Anthony P. - 3% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
62 HELMY Richard 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 2% -
63 ASGARALLY Anthony - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
64 GREEN Logan 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
65 FU Jason - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
66 SIEDOW William - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
67 MAROCHNIK Daniel - 1% 4% 15% 31% 34% 15%
68 KIM Alexander - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
69 WALLACE James - 2% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
70 AYOTTE James - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
71 NUDELMAN Aleksandr - - 1% 7% 23% 41% 28%
72 NABAVI Matthew R. - - 3% 13% 32% 37% 15%
73 DELISLE Jonas P. 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
74 MIZRAHI Michael - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
75 PETERSEN Zachary 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
76 PARRISH Bryce W. - 1% 8% 27% 40% 24%
77 AGGELER Donovan 2% 12% 30% 34% 19% 4%
78 WRIGHT Shawn T. - 1% 9% 26% 36% 23% 5%
78 GUO Woody 4% 18% 32% 28% 14% 3% -
78 FAICCO Joseph - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 13%
81 SUN Ethan 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
82 BRANNON Nathan - - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
83 HERSH Benjamin 1% 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
84 ROBINSON Samuel - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
85 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 12% 2%
86 YOUNG Quentin 4% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
87 ZHAO Jonathan - - 4% 16% 32% 34% 14%
87 PALLADINO Ben T. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
89 YU Samuel 1% 9% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
90 PAN Anthony 9% 29% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
91 ZHAO Pierce 8% 25% 33% 23% 9% 2% -
92 JENNINGS Adin 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
93 BAILEY David - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
94 CUMMINGS Kai - 3% 16% 34% 34% 13%
95 SINGH Ravin - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
96 HERNDON Liam 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 5% 1%
97 COLLINS Kaden 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
98 MARENCIK Miles 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
99 CHU Brandon A. - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 5%
100 PETROW Zoryan - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
101 COHEN Henry 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1% -
102 DJONOUMA Toyohm 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
103 WANG Kunqi 5% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
104 EVERETT Taiger - 5% 19% 33% 28% 11% 2%
105 SMITH Troy H. - - 3% 15% 34% 34% 13%
106 HE Lingyun Matthew 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
107 JONES Jackson 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
107 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 3% 15% 30% 30% 17% 5% 1%
109 PAN Colin - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
110 YIN Chujun 1% 12% 30% 33% 19% 5% 1%
111 CHALLAGULLA Manu 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
112 SLOTER Lewis E. 1% 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 2%
113 RIM Eugene 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
114 SHAFRITZ Noah 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
115 SEIKEL Spencer 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
116 DEGENHARDT Zenji 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
117 FERRELL-CARRETEY Elliot 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1%
118 CARDENAS Nathan A. - - 2% 13% 32% 37% 16%
119 LAURSEN Logan 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
120 PENG Gregory - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
120 HOWARD Jackson 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 3% -
122 MATHES Caleb - 5% 17% 32% 30% 14% 2%
123 RAHMAN Yousef 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
124 HENSLEY Roran 1% 8% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
125 KLINKNER Richard 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
126 XIAN Andy 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
127 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
128 JOHNSON Soren 8% 26% 34% 23% 8% 2% -
129 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. - - 1% 8% 25% 40% 26%
130 ZIMINSKY Karel M. - 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 7%
131 GARBER Robert A. - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 10%
132 LI Tristan 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 6% 1%
133 TAKATA Benjamin - - 3% 16% 35% 36% 10%
133 CHEW Aedan 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
135 WONG Preston 1% 8% 22% 32% 25% 10% 2%
136 WU Eric 4% 20% 35% 29% 11% 2%
137 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
138 RUSSELL James 4% 20% 36% 29% 11% 1%
139 JOHNSON Jay - 4% 16% 34% 33% 12%
140 EMMERT JP 1% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
141 TIFFANY Maxim - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
142 SHIVELY Cole T. 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
143 BHATT Arjun 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
144 CHAN Matthew - - - 2% 12% 40% 46%
145 JOBE Connor 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
146 GILSBACH Ben 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
147 COETZEE Frans M. - 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
148 DILLON Anik 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
149 CHHU Allen 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
150 GREEN Noah J. 4% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
151 SANKEY Luka - 3% 13% 28% 33% 19% 4%
152 KIM Jeff - 1% 5% 20% 36% 29% 9%
152 BRASSARD Calvin 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
154 NILSEN Mark 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
154 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
156 LOMIO Nicholas A. 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
157 DOWD Peter L. 4% 18% 31% 29% 14% 4% -
157 EVERT Todd - 2% 11% 30% 36% 19% 4%
159 FREER Sean L. 1% 9% 24% 32% 23% 8% 1%
160 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. - - 1% 9% 30% 42% 17%
161 ZHANG Michael 5% 28% 39% 22% 6% 1% -
162 RAPALSKI Thomas 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
163 REID Wesley 30% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
164 CHRISTIAN John R. - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
164 ALI Adam - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
166 JANYSKA Allen 3% 15% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
167 GREGORY Dean - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
168 CHEMEZOV Trent 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 2%
169 TURNER Joshua - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
170 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 1% 8% 25% 35% 24% 6%
171 CHAWLA Aarav 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
172 WU Johnny y. 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1%
173 DAVIS Jonah 2% 15% 33% 33% 15% 2%
174 PRAKASH Hari 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
174 GUILFORD Corey 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
176 MUENKE Magnus 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1% -
177 DADE MAXIMUS 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
177 MILLSON Daniel - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
179 SHILOV Maxim 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
180 MASSE Jack 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
181 SPITLER Ansel 1% 5% 16% 30% 30% 15% 3%
181 BOZARTH Alex 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
183 KELLEY Hayden 7% 25% 34% 23% 9% 2% -
184 PAINTER Noah 2% 14% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
184 RODDENBERRY Steven 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
186 SOZANSKI Kyle S. - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
186 YU Jason - 2% 12% 28% 35% 20% 4%
186 PEI Suyang 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% -
189 KIM Teo 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
190 OSBORN Hunter - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
191 FEINBERG James Y. 1% 10% 28% 34% 20% 5% 1%
192 SENECHAL Alexander 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
193 ZHANG James 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
194 HAYS Arthur 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
194 KOUTSOUKOS James 9% 28% 34% 21% 6% 1% -
196 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
196 MORALES Diego 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
198 TENHUNDFELD Jack 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
199 GILES Donald R. 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
200 HERTZOG Ben 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
201 FISCHER Maximilien 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
202 CUI Franklin 6% 23% 34% 25% 10% 2% -
203 EMERSON Zachary 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
204 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 15% 37% 32% 13% 3% - -
204 COHEN Nathan 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
206 STEFANOV Michael A. 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 3%
207 LIN Nathan 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
208 IGNATIK Piotr 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
209 THOMPSON Ian 30% 41% 22% 6% 1% -
210 MILLER Brent 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
211 LITTLE Alex 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% -
212 KENT IV David 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 1%
213 MOSKOWITZ Martin 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% -
214 CARNALL Hunter 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1%
215 ZHANG Roland 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
215 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
217 STRACUZZI Hudson 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
218 AUSTIN Atlas 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
219 WEBB Jacob T. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 5%
220 CHUTKAY Pratham 8% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1% -
220 KE Sebastian 1% 8% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
220 TALLEY Blake 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
223 NGUYEN Peyton 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
223 POHL Philip 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
223 WEHMEYER Devin 8% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
226 WANG Tony 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% 1%
227 DESAI Aadi 35% 41% 19% 4% 1% - -
228 WORLEY Aren R. - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
229 DONG Joshua 3% 13% 28% 31% 18% 6% 1%
230 LI Jaden 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
231 WHITE Jacob 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
232 LAWRENCE Brady 37% 40% 18% 4% 1% - -
232 KOSTUSIAK Evan 17% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
234 HUFFMASTER Mason 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
235 LEE DoWon 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1%
236 VILLAREAL Quentin 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
237 WARD Kofi 28% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
238 MALLON Scooter 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
239 ARZT Nicholas 10% 30% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
240 ZAHRAN Aiden 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
241 FRASSETTO Marcus A. 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
242 VEERAVALLI Vivek 5% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
243 RAHMAN Zayd 34% 42% 19% 4% - - -
244 WANG Charles 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.