National Championships and July Challenge (Summer Nationals)

Div II Men's Épée

Friday, July 5, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Greater Columbus Convention Center - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 99% 93% 75% 43% 12%
2 LONGSTREET Jeffrey 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 31%
3 WU Steven 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
3 TAI Edison 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
5 ALI Farhan 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 14% 1%
6 YANG Zeph 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
7 HANNON Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
8 CORBIN Bennett 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
9 CHEN Jun Ho 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
10 DESSAUER Tobyn M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 19%
11 ROTHKA Spencer J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
12 ZELIN Sam J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 8%
13 MALLON Jaxson 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 4%
14 GANESAN Mathavan 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 4%
15 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 9%
16 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
17 CHUNG Yeongbin 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
18 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
19 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 24%
20 WONG Baron 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8%
21 SNYDER Ari 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3%
22 AHMED Mohsen 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5%
23 NORWOOD Malik 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
24 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
24 KENT V David 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
26 OLSON Kevin 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
27 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
28 WU Colin 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 3%
29 STENCEL Andrew E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
30 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
31 WU Alistair 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 7%
32 SHULL Marc 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
33 HULL Liam 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
34 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 16% 2%
34 TATE William Isom 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 11% 1%
36 WAI Andreas 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 6% 1%
37 JONES Reilly 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
38 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
39 GOWDA Suyog 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
40 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
41 LI Jade 100% 98% 84% 56% 24% 6% 1%
42 GARCIA-CABRERA Jeffrey 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 8% 1%
43 DALTON Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 27% 5%
44 GAO Victor 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
45 TIEMANN Landen 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
46 FAN Joshua 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
47 LEE Aiden 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 1%
48 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
49 SANKEY Levi 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
50 HINTON Nickolys R. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
51 SIM Ian 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
52 CONKLIN Jim 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
53 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
54 ZENG Andrew 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
55 WONG King-Yee 100% 99% 95% 77% 47% 17% 3%
56 RICHARDSON Ray 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
57 RAMLOW Michael C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 72% 39% 10%
58 SO Lorenzo 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 29% 6%
59 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
60 GEIGER Devin T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
60 BETTS Jr Anthony P. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 5%
62 HELMY Richard 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 2% -
63 ASGARALLY Anthony 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
64 GREEN Logan 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% - -
65 FU Jason 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
66 SIEDOW William 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 15% 2%
67 MAROCHNIK Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 49% 15%
68 KIM Alexander 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
69 WALLACE James 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
70 AYOTTE James 100% 100% 95% 79% 46% 16% 2%
71 NUDELMAN Aleksandr 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
72 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
73 DELISLE Jonas P. 100% 99% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
74 MIZRAHI Michael 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
75 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
76 PARRISH Bryce W. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
77 AGGELER Donovan 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
78 WRIGHT Shawn T. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
78 GUO Woody 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
78 FAICCO Joseph 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 45% 13%
81 SUN Ethan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
82 BRANNON Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
83 HERSH Benjamin 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 15% 2%
84 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 22% 4%
85 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 14% 2%
86 YOUNG Quentin 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
87 ZHAO Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 14%
87 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
89 YU Samuel 100% 99% 89% 63% 28% 7% 1%
90 PAN Anthony 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
91 ZHAO Pierce 100% 92% 67% 34% 11% 2% -
92 JENNINGS Adin 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 5%
93 BAILEY David 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
94 CUMMINGS Kai 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
95 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 13%
96 HERNDON Liam 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 6% 1%
97 COLLINS Kaden 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
98 MARENCIK Miles 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
99 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
100 PETROW Zoryan 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
101 COHEN Henry 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
102 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
103 WANG Kunqi 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
104 EVERETT Taiger 100% 100% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
105 SMITH Troy H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
106 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
107 JONES Jackson 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 2% -
107 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 97% 82% 52% 22% 5% 1%
109 PAN Colin 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
110 YIN Chujun 100% 99% 87% 58% 24% 6% 1%
111 CHALLAGULLA Manu 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
112 SLOTER Lewis E. 100% 99% 95% 78% 47% 17% 2%
113 RIM Eugene 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
114 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
115 SEIKEL Spencer 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
116 DEGENHARDT Zenji 100% 53% 14% 2% - -
117 FERRELL-CARRETEY Elliot 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
118 CARDENAS Nathan A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
119 LAURSEN Logan 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
120 PENG Gregory 100% 100% 95% 79% 50% 19% 3%
120 HOWARD Jackson 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
122 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 2%
123 RAHMAN Yousef 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
124 HENSLEY Roran 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
125 KLINKNER Richard 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
126 XIAN Andy 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
127 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 19% 3%
128 JOHNSON Soren 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
129 SEBASTIAN Alexander P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 26%
130 ZIMINSKY Karel M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
131 GARBER Robert A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
132 LI Tristan 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
133 TAKATA Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 10%
133 CHEW Aedan 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
135 WONG Preston 100% 99% 91% 70% 38% 12% 2%
136 WU Eric 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2%
137 BUCCELLATO Joel S. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
138 RUSSELL James 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
139 JOHNSON Jay 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
140 EMMERT JP 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
141 TIFFANY Maxim 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
142 SHIVELY Cole T. 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
143 BHATT Arjun 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
144 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 46%
145 JOBE Connor 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 10% 1%
146 GILSBACH Ben 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
147 COETZEE Frans M. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
148 DILLON Anik 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
149 CHHU Allen 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
150 GREEN Noah J. 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
151 SANKEY Luka 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 23% 4%
152 KIM Jeff 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
152 BRASSARD Calvin 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
154 NILSEN Mark 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
154 CHAKRABORTY Zorian 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
156 LOMIO Nicholas A. 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
157 DOWD Peter L. 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
157 EVERT Todd 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 22% 4%
159 FREER Sean L. 100% 99% 89% 65% 33% 10% 1%
160 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
161 ZHANG Michael 100% 95% 67% 28% 7% 1% -
162 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
163 REID Wesley 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
164 CHRISTIAN John R. 100% 100% 96% 79% 49% 18% 3%
164 ALI Adam 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
166 JANYSKA Allen 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
167 GREGORY Dean 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 12%
168 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 2%
169 TURNER Joshua 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
170 WIEGAND-SHAHANI Braden M. 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
171 CHAWLA Aarav 100% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
172 WU Johnny y. 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
173 DAVIS Jonah 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
174 PRAKASH Hari 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
174 GUILFORD Corey 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
176 MUENKE Magnus 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
177 DADE MAXIMUS 100% 92% 64% 30% 9% 1% -
177 MILLSON Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
179 SHILOV Maxim 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
180 MASSE Jack 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
181 SPITLER Ansel 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
181 BOZARTH Alex 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
183 KELLEY Hayden 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
184 PAINTER Noah 100% 98% 84% 52% 21% 5% -
184 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
186 SOZANSKI Kyle S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
186 YU Jason 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 4%
186 PEI Suyang 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
189 KIM Teo 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
190 OSBORN Hunter 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
191 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 99% 89% 60% 26% 6% 1%
192 SENECHAL Alexander 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
193 ZHANG James 100% 98% 86% 59% 27% 7% 1%
194 HAYS Arthur 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
194 KOUTSOUKOS James 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
196 ZANKOWSKI Brendan 100% 98% 82% 49% 18% 4% -
196 MORALES Diego 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
198 TENHUNDFELD Jack 100% 85% 50% 18% 3% - -
199 GILES Donald R. 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
200 HERTZOG Ben 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
201 FISCHER Maximilien 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
202 CUI Franklin 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
203 EMERSON Zachary 100% 76% 37% 11% 2% - -
204 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% - -
204 COHEN Nathan 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
206 STEFANOV Michael A. 100% 97% 83% 50% 18% 3%
207 LIN Nathan 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1%
208 IGNATIK Piotr 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
209 THOMPSON Ian 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
210 MILLER Brent 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
211 LITTLE Alex 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% -
212 KENT IV David 100% 96% 74% 39% 11% 1%
213 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
214 CARNALL Hunter 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1%
215 ZHANG Roland 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
215 KOENIGSKNECHT Julian 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
217 STRACUZZI Hudson 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
218 AUSTIN Atlas 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
219 WEBB Jacob T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 5%
220 CHUTKAY Pratham 100% 92% 65% 31% 8% 1% -
220 KE Sebastian 100% 99% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
220 TALLEY Blake 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
223 NGUYEN Peyton 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
223 POHL Philip 100% 71% 30% 8% 1% - -
223 WEHMEYER Devin 100% 92% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
226 WANG Tony 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
227 DESAI Aadi 100% 65% 24% 5% 1% - -
228 WORLEY Aren R. 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
229 DONG Joshua 100% 97% 84% 56% 25% 6% 1%
230 LI Jaden 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
231 WHITE Jacob 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
232 LAWRENCE Brady 100% 63% 22% 5% 1% - -
232 KOSTUSIAK Evan 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
234 HUFFMASTER Mason 100% 96% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
235 LEE DoWon 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1%
236 VILLAREAL Quentin 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
237 WARD Kofi 100% 72% 31% 7% 1% - -
238 MALLON Scooter 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
239 ARZT Nicholas 100% 90% 61% 26% 7% 1% -
240 ZAHRAN Aiden 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
241 FRASSETTO Marcus A. 100% 86% 52% 20% 4% - -
242 VEERAVALLI Vivek 100% 95% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
243 RAHMAN Zayd 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
244 WANG Charles 100% 79% 39% 10% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.