October NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Haoxuan - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
3 SINGH Ravin - - 4% 19% 38% 30% 8%
3 LIPPMAN Jake - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
5 RADENOVIC Vukan - - - - 1% 16% 82%
6 LEHR William D. - - 1% 9% 33% 40% 16%
7 PETERSEN Ephraim - - 2% 12% 33% 39% 14%
8 DALCOURT-GUILLOTTE Léonard - 2% 11% 28% 35% 21% 5%
9 CHOI Joong Kyung - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
10 SALLAM omar - - 1% 10% 31% 39% 18%
11 GLUSHKOV David 13% 36% 34% 14% 2% < 1%
12 PIASIO Jack E. - - 2% 11% 33% 39% 15%
13 ALLEY Everett T - - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
14 KIM Henry - 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
15 BARFORD Giovanni 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
16 GOUCHIE-PROVENCHER Jake 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
17 MULDOON Thomas - 4% 26% 43% 24% 3%
18 XIE Brandon - 4% 18% 40% 33% 5%
19 HEIM Bryce - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
20 BAILEY David 1% 6% 24% 37% 26% 7%
21 JONES Chinua C. - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
22 MOSKOWITZ Martin 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 1%
23 CHU Brandon A. - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14% 1%
24 NUTOVYCH David 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
25 SHAFRITZ Noah 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
26 KOLKER Gregory A. - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
27 SNYDER Michael T. - - 3% 14% 32% 36% 15%
28 PALLADINO Ben T. - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
29 SINGH Rowan - 2% 14% 38% 36% 10%
30 LEE Jake (JiYuen) - 4% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
31 MARTINEZ Joshua - - 4% 18% 38% 31% 9%
32 PARKER Riley D. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
33 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas - 4% 17% 31% 30% 15% 3%
34 HUANG Kenneth 2% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
35 ZUKOFSKY Zachary - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
36 CHEN Jayden - 4% 16% 29% 30% 16% 4%
37 JENNINGS Adin - 2% 12% 29% 35% 18% 3%
38 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 1% 7% 21% 34% 28% 9%
39 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
40 YI Nathan 2% 10% 27% 34% 22% 5%
41 PENG Yue - 2% 14% 32% 35% 15% 2%
42 WANG Charles 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
43 LEE Inwoo - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 25%
44 HUTZ Michael B. 1% 8% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
44 DUKO Phillip - 3% 15% 30% 32% 16% 3%
46 MUENKE Magnus - 4% 16% 30% 31% 16% 3%
47 FENG Du 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 14% 3%
48 KE Sebastian 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
49 LI Tristan - 2% 11% 26% 33% 22% 6%
49 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 4%
51 AGGELER Donovan - 2% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
52 RONG Gordon 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% -
53 ARMSTRONG TyLee 6% 25% 38% 25% 6% -
54 VUILLEMIN Gregoire - 5% 19% 36% 31% 9%
55 SAUNIER Cameron - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
56 HULL Liam - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
57 KELLEY Hayden 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
58 ZWEGERS Alexander - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 18%
58 LEE Aiden - 3% 15% 34% 33% 13% 2%
60 FEINBERG James Y. 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
61 HEGLAND Grady 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3%
62 CHEN YiHeng - 4% 17% 35% 33% 12%
63 WU Jerry 3% 16% 31% 30% 16% 4% -
64 RAY William - 5% 20% 39% 31% 4%
65 ROCKWELL Nolan - 3% 12% 27% 33% 20% 5%
66 BELFIELD Colin - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
67 YU Samuel 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
68 XIAN Andy 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
69 YANG Gary - 1% 9% 25% 35% 24% 6%
70 SURESH NEERAJ - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% -
71 KWON Aaron 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% < 1% -
72 MCNAMARA Scott 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
73 BORATGIS Christopher J. - - - 4% 27% 68%
74 MORTON William - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
75 WONG Maximus 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
76 EMMERT JP - 1% 6% 19% 34% 30% 11%
77 SONG Changze 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
78 ROBINS Brennan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 14%
79 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 3% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
80 MEHROTRA Neel 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% 1%
81 HOWARD Jackson 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 7% 1%
82 PETROVICH Alexandar 1% 6% 19% 31% 28% 13% 2%
83 YANG Alex 5% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
84 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 10% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
85 DALTON Matthew - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
86 CHRISTY Peter C. - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
86 GAMBINO Robert A. - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9%
86 LEE DoWon 2% 12% 32% 36% 17% 2%
86 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% -
90 DECKER Hunter 1% 12% 33% 38% 14% 1%
91 KIM Joshua 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
92 AWAN Saqlain A. 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
93 TATE William Isom - 4% 16% 31% 31% 15% 3%
94 WAI Andreas - 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
95 KIM Remington 1% 30% 43% 22% 5% - -
95 SHEN Orlando 11% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
97 LEECH Braedan 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
97 TIFFANY Maxim 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 2%
99 MCGRATH Sean L. - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
99 AYOTTE James 2% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
99 CUMMINGS Owen 19% 42% 29% 9% 1% - -
102 PAN Anthony 6% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
103 ZHAO Pierce 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
104 KIM Tae 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
105 ACAR Devin 3% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
106 MIDYANY Evan - 1% 8% 22% 34% 27% 9%
107 WANG Marcus 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
108 RVACHEV Michael 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
109 SZIEDE Kieran 3% 18% 34% 31% 13% 2%
110 ANAFI Ari 1% 5% 19% 34% 31% 11%
111 PAYNE Massimo - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
112 ORESKOVIC Olivier 30% 43% 21% 5% 1% -
112 JEONG Arisu - 7% 34% 40% 17% 2%
114 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 2% 11% 28% 34% 21% 5%
115 DELONG Joshua 32% 43% 21% 4% - -
116 CHEN Allen - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
117 PETERSEN Zachary 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
118 AGROMAYOR Benjamin - 4% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
119 FERRAIOLO James D. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
120 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai - 1% 9% 25% 35% 23% 6%
121 LI Ray 6% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
122 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 2% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
123 HAUCK Samuel J. 1% 6% 23% 38% 27% 5%
124 NALLICHERI Ayaan 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
125 ALEXANDER Christopher 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
126 ELTERMAN Lev - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
127 O'DOWD Andrew J. - < 1% 1% 8% 31% 42% 18%
128 MILINKOVIC Maksim 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% -
129 CHEN Bowen 6% 26% 38% 24% 5% -
130 WHITELOCK James R. 1% 20% 38% 28% 10% 2% -
131 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16%
132 BIROAN Chaz 1% 6% 20% 32% 27% 12% 2%
133 MARRAN Erik R. - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
134 NABAVI Matthew R. - - 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
134 LENNON Nicholas 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
136 PESSIN Nadav 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
137 CHEN Edward 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
138 BLAKESLEE Ian - 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
139 PARCELEWICZ John M. - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
140 FREER Sean L. 5% 21% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
141 ANDERSON Riley - 1% 8% 23% 34% 26% 8%
142 CARDENAS Lucas 1% 7% 26% 39% 21% 5% -
143 RAPALSKI Thomas 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
143 DONNELLY Enzo 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
145 NILSEN Mark 4% 18% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
146 SIEDOW Jeffrey 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
147 PONDACO Frankee 27% 40% 24% 7% 1% - -
148 PAN Colin - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
149 WALTHER Bryan M. - 1% 6% 19% 35% 30% 9%
150 GU Eric 33% 46% 18% 3% - - -
151 STERR Eric 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3%
152 BOGARD Matt J. - - < 1% 3% 26% 71%
153 GAO Victor 4% 21% 38% 29% 9% 1%
154 ZHAI Junqi 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
155 MORET Eric N. - 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 1%
156 CHEMEZOV Trent - 4% 14% 28% 31% 19% 5%
157 SOLARZ Arthur 12% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
158 LATORA Nicholas A. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
159 SUN Lucas 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
160 LEE Matthew - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5%
160 MATHES Caleb - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
162 MCGOVERN Patrick 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
162 WHITE Aidan 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
162 LAWLOR Lee 1% 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% -
165 JOEL Irenov 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
166 LEE Henry 23% 45% 26% 6% 1% - -
167 POCHATKO Christian 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 6% 1%
168 VARHAUL Michael 48% 38% 12% 2% - - -
169 LEE Anton 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
170 DAGLI Sai 26% 52% 19% 3% - -
171 LEVESQUE Gabriel 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1%
172 CANDELARIA Armando 14% 38% 33% 13% 2% -
173 IVANUSHKIN Daniel 48% 43% 9% 1% - -
174 CHEN Luowen - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
175 LIN Yufei 24% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
176 ALEXANDER Jacksen 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
177 SCHIAVONE Oreste - 6% 26% 39% 23% 6% 1%
178 CHENG Zijun 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
179 ADDYSON Aidan 25% 43% 25% 7% 1% - -
180 MILLIGAN Bruce C. - 2% 11% 31% 38% 17% 1%
181 WU Shaochi 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
182 OSHIMA Robert 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
183 NOOL Alexander 32% 44% 20% 4% - - -
184 ZHANG Jason 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
184 SOPER Adam - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
186 DENG Destin 47% 38% 12% 2% - - -
187 FENG Xinmin 43% 40% 14% 2% - - -
188 IANNO Alex - 7% 32% 43% 15% 2% -
189 HENNESSY Levon 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
190 GREGORY Dean 1% 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
191 CHANEY Charles 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
192 WELCH Sebastian 91% 8% - - - - -
192 STRACUZZI Hudson 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
194 MIKHAYLOV Dmitry 4% 21% 37% 27% 10% 1% -
195 SHILOV Maxim 6% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
196 KORMANN Joseph 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% -
197 LEE Kevin 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
198 HERTZEL Lucas 8% 38% 36% 15% 3% - -
199 HE Lingyun Matthew 5% 22% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
200 MANDELL Jake 91% 8% - - - - -
201 BJERKNESS Riley 36% 42% 18% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.