October NAC

Div II Men's Épée

Saturday, October 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Atlantic City Convention Center - Atlantic City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Haoxuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
2 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
3 SINGH Ravin 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
3 LIPPMAN Jake 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
5 RADENOVIC Vukan 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
6 LEHR William D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 16%
7 PETERSEN Ephraim 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
8 DALCOURT-GUILLOTTE Léonard 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
9 CHOI Joong Kyung 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
10 SALLAM omar 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
11 GLUSHKOV David 100% 87% 50% 16% 2% < 1%
12 PIASIO Jack E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
13 ALLEY Everett T 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
14 KIM Henry 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 2%
15 BARFORD Giovanni 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
16 GOUCHIE-PROVENCHER Jake 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 2% -
17 MULDOON Thomas 100% 100% 96% 70% 27% 3%
18 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 5%
19 HEIM Bryce 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
20 BAILEY David 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
21 JONES Chinua C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
22 MOSKOWITZ Martin 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%
23 CHU Brandon A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 50% 15% 1%
24 NUTOVYCH David 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
25 SHAFRITZ Noah 100% 99% 92% 71% 38% 12% 2%
26 KOLKER Gregory A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 32%
27 SNYDER Michael T. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
28 PALLADINO Ben T. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
29 SINGH Rowan 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 10%
30 LEE Jake (JiYuen) 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 16% 2%
31 MARTINEZ Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
32 PARKER Riley D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
33 ZOGRAFOS Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
34 HUANG Kenneth 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
35 ZUKOFSKY Zachary 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
36 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 95% 80% 50% 20% 4%
37 JENNINGS Adin 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
38 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
39 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
40 YI Nathan 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
41 PENG Yue 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
42 WANG Charles 100% 97% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
43 LEE Inwoo 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25%
44 HUTZ Michael B. 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
44 DUKO Phillip 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 20% 3%
46 MUENKE Magnus 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
47 FENG Du 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 17% 3%
48 KE Sebastian 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
49 LI Tristan 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
49 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
51 AGGELER Donovan 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 6%
52 RONG Gordon 100% 93% 65% 27% 5% -
53 ARMSTRONG TyLee 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% -
54 VUILLEMIN Gregoire 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
55 SAUNIER Cameron 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
56 HULL Liam 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
57 KELLEY Hayden 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
58 ZWEGERS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
58 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
60 FEINBERG James Y. 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
61 HEGLAND Grady 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
62 CHEN YiHeng 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
63 WU Jerry 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 5% -
64 RAY William 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 4%
65 ROCKWELL Nolan 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 25% 5%
66 BELFIELD Colin 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
67 YU Samuel 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
68 XIAN Andy 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
69 YANG Gary 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
70 SURESH NEERAJ 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 11% -
71 KWON Aaron 100% 90% 55% 18% 3% < 1% -
72 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
73 BORATGIS Christopher J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
74 MORTON William 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
75 WONG Maximus 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
76 EMMERT JP 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
77 SONG Changze 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
78 ROBINS Brennan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 14%
79 O'LONGAIGH Sunkhar 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
80 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
81 HOWARD Jackson 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
82 PETROVICH Alexandar 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
83 YANG Alex 100% 95% 72% 37% 12% 2% -
84 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 90% 55% 18% 2% -
85 DALTON Matthew 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
86 CHRISTY Peter C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
86 GAMBINO Robert A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
86 LEE DoWon 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
86 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% -
90 DECKER Hunter 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
91 KIM Joshua 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
92 AWAN Saqlain A. 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
93 TATE William Isom 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 3%
94 WAI Andreas 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
95 KIM Remington 100% 99% 69% 26% 5% - -
95 SHEN Orlando 100% 89% 58% 25% 6% 1% -
97 LEECH Braedan 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
97 TIFFANY Maxim 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
99 MCGRATH Sean L. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
99 AYOTTE James 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
99 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% - -
102 PAN Anthony 100% 94% 65% 28% 7% 1% -
103 ZHAO Pierce 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 8% 1%
104 KIM Tae 100% 89% 59% 24% 6% 1% -
105 ACAR Devin 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
106 MIDYANY Evan 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 36% 9%
107 WANG Marcus 100% 93% 68% 34% 10% 2% -
108 RVACHEV Michael 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 1%
109 SZIEDE Kieran 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2%
110 ANAFI Ari 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
111 PAYNE Massimo 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
112 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% -
112 JEONG Arisu 100% 100% 92% 59% 18% 2%
114 MCDONNELL Nathaniel 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
115 DELONG Joshua 100% 68% 25% 4% - -
116 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 23%
117 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 94% 72% 37% 11% 1%
118 AGROMAYOR Benjamin 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
119 FERRAIOLO James D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5%
120 PERILLO Edoardo Filippo Mihai 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
121 LI Ray 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
122 ESPINAL DAPIC Nicolas 100% 98% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
123 HAUCK Samuel J. 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 5%
124 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 81% 42% 12% 1% -
125 ALEXANDER Christopher 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
126 ELTERMAN Lev 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
127 O'DOWD Andrew J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
128 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% -
129 CHEN Bowen 100% 94% 68% 29% 6% -
130 WHITELOCK James R. 100% 99% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
131 TOMASZEWSKI Joshua 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
132 BIROAN Chaz 100% 99% 93% 73% 41% 14% 2%
133 MARRAN Erik R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
134 NABAVI Matthew R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
134 LENNON Nicholas 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
136 PESSIN Nadav 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 4% -
137 CHEN Edward 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
138 BLAKESLEE Ian 100% 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% -
139 PARCELEWICZ John M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
140 FREER Sean L. 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
141 ANDERSON Riley 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
142 CARDENAS Lucas 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 5% -
143 RAPALSKI Thomas 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
143 DONNELLY Enzo 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
145 NILSEN Mark 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
146 SIEDOW Jeffrey 100% 97% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
147 PONDACO Frankee 100% 73% 32% 9% 1% - -
148 PAN Colin 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
149 WALTHER Bryan M. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 9%
150 GU Eric 100% 67% 21% 3% - - -
151 STERR Eric 100% 97% 81% 50% 18% 3%
152 BOGARD Matt J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
153 GAO Victor 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
154 ZHAI Junqi 100% 89% 55% 20% 3% -
155 MORET Eric N. 100% 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
156 CHEMEZOV Trent 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 23% 5%
157 SOLARZ Arthur 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
158 LATORA Nicholas A. 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
159 SUN Lucas 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
160 LEE Matthew 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
160 MATHES Caleb 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
162 MCGOVERN Patrick 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 2% -
162 WHITE Aidan 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
162 LAWLOR Lee 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
165 JOEL Irenov 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
166 LEE Henry 100% 77% 32% 7% 1% - -
167 POCHATKO Christian 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
168 VARHAUL Michael 100% 52% 14% 2% - - -
169 LEE Anton 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% -
170 DAGLI Sai 100% 74% 22% 3% - -
171 LEVESQUE Gabriel 100% 91% 63% 27% 6% 1%
172 CANDELARIA Armando 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% -
173 IVANUSHKIN Daniel 100% 52% 9% 1% - -
174 CHEN Luowen 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
175 LIN Yufei 100% 76% 36% 10% 2% - -
176 ALEXANDER Jacksen 100% 83% 48% 17% 4% - -
177 SCHIAVONE Oreste 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% 1%
178 CHENG Zijun 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
179 ADDYSON Aidan 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
180 MILLIGAN Bruce C. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 1%
181 WU Shaochi 100% 90% 56% 17% 2% - -
182 OSHIMA Robert 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
183 NOOL Alexander 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
184 ZHANG Jason 100% 95% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
184 SOPER Adam 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
186 DENG Destin 100% 53% 15% 2% - - -
187 FENG Xinmin 100% 57% 17% 2% - - -
188 IANNO Alex 100% 100% 92% 60% 17% 2% -
189 HENNESSY Levon 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
190 GREGORY Dean 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 13% 2%
191 CHANEY Charles 100% 83% 47% 17% 4% - -
192 WELCH Sebastian 100% 9% - - - - -
192 STRACUZZI Hudson 100% 89% 55% 21% 4% - -
194 MIKHAYLOV Dmitry 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
195 SHILOV Maxim 100% 94% 68% 29% 5% -
196 KORMANN Joseph 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
197 LEE Kevin 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
198 HERTZEL Lucas 100% 92% 54% 18% 3% - -
199 HE Lingyun Matthew 100% 95% 73% 40% 14% 3% -
200 MANDELL Jake 100% 9% - - - - -
201 BJERKNESS Riley 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.