Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - 2% 20% 79%
2 GRAHAM Roy J. - - - - 5% 31% 63%
3 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - - 7% 40% 53%
3 YANG Luao - - - 1% 9% 36% 53%
5 CATINO Brennen - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
6 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
7 LEE Aidan - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
8 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
9 XU Andy P. - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
10 TANG Owen S. - - - 3% 24% 53% 21%
11 PO Oliver - 1% 7% 24% 39% 26% 4%
12 GOOR Julian - - 1% 5% 22% 43% 29%
13 LEE Jacob J - 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
14 ZHEN Ethan - - 4% 20% 38% 30% 7%
15 REEVES Liam - - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
16 MARX Jackson L. - - 1% 6% 26% 45% 22%
17 CULLIVAN Justice - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
18 WECHSLER Jacob - - 3% 19% 50% 25% 3%
19 TANG August L. - - 4% 21% 42% 29% 5%
20 TIYA BIAYA K. - - 3% 19% 42% 32% 3%
21 CHEN Kyle P. - 2% 19% 41% 30% 7% -
22 LI Jinghua E. - 4% 18% 37% 30% 10% 1%
23 ORLOV Dmitriy 2% 17% 37% 31% 12% 2% -
24 QIAN Jason H. - 1% 9% 32% 40% 17% 1%
24 GUO Justin 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
26 MATSAKH Philip 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
27 SONG Austin 1% 11% 34% 35% 16% 3% -
28 ZHAI Jeffrey - 1% 9% 28% 39% 21% 2%
29 LI Matthew - 2% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
30 XIANG Derrick - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
31 LIN Michael - 6% 34% 40% 17% 3% -
32 TANG Albert 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
33 TIKHAEV Alexander 2% 15% 37% 33% 11% 2% -
34 YAO Bradley - 1% 6% 24% 40% 25% 5%
35 HUTH Trevor - - 3% 18% 40% 33% 5%
36 KOKE Matthew C. 20% 47% 27% 5% - - -
37 ZHANG Alex 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
38 STONE Adam 13% 35% 34% 14% 3% - -
39 METTAPALLI Tarun - 4% 23% 41% 25% 6% 1%
40 TANG Alexander L. - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
41 WANG Winston 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
42 TAN Aidan 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% - -
43 HUANG Eythan 2% 18% 44% 30% 6% - -
43 SIMON Luke 10% 35% 37% 16% 3% - -
45 CHO Ethan H. - - 5% 21% 39% 28% 6%
46 ZHAO Adam 17% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
47 DANIZ T FERNANDO A. 8% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
47 ROSE Ben 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
49 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 9% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -
50 MAO Lucas 3% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
51 QUINTERO Julian 28% 48% 21% 3% - - -
51 XU Dinghui Ryan 38% 44% 16% 2% - - -
53 SENIC Lucas 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
53 WONG Jackson 4% 25% 39% 24% 7% 1% -
55 SHIPMAN Andrew 93% 7% - - - - -
55 PAN Henry 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
57 CAO Vincent 61% 32% 6% 1% - - -
58 HIGGIN Matthew 4% 60% 31% 5% - - -
59 GONZALEZ ARRIETA Orlando Javier 5% 52% 35% 7% 1% - -
60 JONES Jackson 62% 32% 6% - - - -
60 KOE Beckett 19% 40% 30% 9% 1% - -
62 SELLERY William M. 8% 30% 38% 20% 4% - -
62 HOSANAGAR Ninad 2% 14% 39% 37% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.