Fairfax Challenge SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg, VA - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
2 GRAHAM Roy J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
3 RUSADZE Nickolas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 53%
3 YANG Luao 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
5 CATINO Brennen 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 22%
6 TOLBA Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 35%
7 LEE Aidan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 37%
8 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
9 XU Andy P. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
10 TANG Owen S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74% 21%
11 PO Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
12 GOOR Julian 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 29%
13 LEE Jacob J 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
14 ZHEN Ethan 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 37% 7%
15 REEVES Liam 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
16 MARX Jackson L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 22%
17 CULLIVAN Justice 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
18 WECHSLER Jacob 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 28% 3%
19 TANG August L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 33% 5%
20 TIYA BIAYA K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 3%
21 CHEN Kyle P. 100% 100% 98% 79% 38% 7% -
22 LI Jinghua E. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
23 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 98% 81% 44% 13% 2% -
24 QIAN Jason H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 18% 1%
24 GUO Justin 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
26 MATSAKH Philip 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2% -
27 SONG Austin 100% 99% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
28 ZHAI Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
29 LI Matthew 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
30 XIANG Derrick 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13% 1%
31 LIN Michael 100% 100% 94% 59% 19% 3% -
32 TANG Albert 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
33 TIKHAEV Alexander 100% 98% 83% 46% 13% 2% -
34 YAO Bradley 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 30% 5%
35 HUTH Trevor 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38% 5%
36 KOKE Matthew C. 100% 80% 32% 5% - - -
37 ZHANG Alex 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
38 STONE Adam 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
39 METTAPALLI Tarun 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1%
40 TANG Alexander L. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
41 WANG Winston 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
42 TAN Aidan 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% - -
43 HUANG Eythan 100% 98% 80% 37% 7% - -
43 SIMON Luke 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
45 CHO Ethan H. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 6%
46 ZHAO Adam 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% - -
47 DANIZ T FERNANDO A. 100% 92% 64% 28% 6% 1% -
47 ROSE Ben 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
49 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
50 MAO Lucas 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
51 QUINTERO Julian 100% 72% 23% 3% - - -
51 XU Dinghui Ryan 100% 62% 18% 2% - - -
53 SENIC Lucas 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
53 WONG Jackson 100% 96% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
55 SHIPMAN Andrew 100% 7% - - - - -
55 PAN Henry 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
57 CAO Vincent 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
58 HIGGIN Matthew 100% 96% 36% 6% - - -
59 GONZALEZ ARRIETA Orlando Javier 100% 95% 43% 8% 1% - -
60 JONES Jackson 100% 38% 6% - - - -
60 KOE Beckett 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
62 SELLERY William M. 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% - -
62 HOSANAGAR Ninad 100% 98% 84% 44% 7% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.