March NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HE Anna - - - 1% 8% 36% 55%
2 WU Jessica - - - - 1% 18% 81%
3 ADYANTHAYA Anika - - - 2% 22% 71% 4%
3 OLELE Ifechi - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
5 LEE Eden - - 5% 24% 43% 27%
6 WANG Chantal - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
7 DHAIYA Tanya - - - 6% 32% 61%
8 HALE Reagan - 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
9 DYMAR Anna - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
10 ZHONG Evelyn - 1% 9% 28% 41% 21%
11 CHEN Alina - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
12 YAN Ximei (Alicia) - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 19%
13 YANG Hannah - - 3% 14% 34% 36% 12%
14 CHO Jacey - 3% 13% 28% 32% 19% 4%
15 XU Amy(Chenyu) - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
16 KANE Alexa - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
17 WANG Chloe - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
18 WANG Angelina - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
19 FU Shannon - - - 4% 17% 40% 39%
20 VIJAY Vaishnavi - 1% 4% 15% 32% 34% 14%
21 CHEN Laila - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
22 XU Aasta 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
23 XIONG Alice - 4% 17% 33% 31% 12% 2%
24 WANG Lihong - - - - - 7% 93%
25 ARULKUMAR Lashia - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
26 JIANG chenxi - 2% 16% 37% 34% 10%
27 CHI Zoe - - 3% 16% 41% 40%
28 LI Ariel 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
29 WANG Olivia - 4% 17% 33% 30% 12% 2%
30 CHEN Madeline - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
31 WANG Nicole - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
32 YARBILOVA Aya - 1% 5% 18% 35% 31% 10%
33 NING Miranda - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
34 HABEK Sophia - - - 1% 17% 82%
35 LI Anna - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
36 KOUAME Candice 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 10% 1%
37 YOUNG Nicole - - 1% 10% 36% 41% 12%
38 NGUYEN Renee - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
39 CAYETANO Audrey - - 1% 11% 33% 39% 15%
40 KAKANI Aditi - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
40 ZHANG Ashley - 5% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
42 YIP Allison - 6% 25% 38% 25% 6%
43 LI Carlie - 4% 21% 42% 29% 4%
44 BOBE Arianna - 2% 16% 43% 36% 3%
45 WANG Ailly - 3% 17% 38% 33% 8%
46 SUN Milly - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 1%
47 YU Chloe - - 1% 8% 29% 42% 21%
48 CHOI Arianna - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
49 LIN Alexis - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
50 MAENG Gloria - 4% 19% 37% 31% 8% 1%
51 YIN Melody 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
52 LAW Mila - 4% 18% 36% 30% 10% 1%
53 CARCELLER Bernardita (Tini) - - 1% 5% 22% 42% 30%
54 MIXON Ivory 1% 8% 23% 33% 24% 9% 1%
55 KOU Cynthia - - 3% 16% 36% 34% 11%
56 PEKKER Adel - - 3% 20% 43% 28% 5%
57 BERESTOVITSKY Eva 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
58 LI Xier - 3% 17% 36% 33% 11%
59 ANDRUS Allie - 4% 19% 41% 31% 5%
60 ALLIEVI Simone - 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
61 CHEN Stephanie - 4% 22% 45% 27% 2%
62 JU Jennifer - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
63 LEE Zoe 9% 41% 36% 12% 2% -
64 YANG Arianna 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
65 HAN Emma - 3% 14% 32% 34% 15% 2%
66 VARIPILLI Aanya 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
67 YOON Claire 22% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
68 LI Katherine - 3% 21% 40% 27% 8% 1%
69 WU Evelyn 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1% -
70 BURKS Madison - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
71 GOFMAN Anastasia - 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 5%
72 FURMAN Elizabeth - - 2% 15% 37% 34% 10%
73 KIM Abigail - 5% 20% 35% 30% 10% -
74 XIE ANDREA 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
75 GU Ella 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
76 HOWARD Katherine - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
77 CORDOVA Joscelyn 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
78 QI Chelsie - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
78 KIM Vivian - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 13%
80 YOUN Emily 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1% -
81 NG Allie - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
82 ZENG Joy 16% 36% 32% 13% 3% - -
83 LOO Samantha 1% 12% 39% 35% 12% 2% -
84 XI Emily - 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% -
85 AGARWAL Keya 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
86 MISHIMA Olivia 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
87 XIAO Ashley 3% 16% 31% 30% 15% 4% -
88 LI Wan-Tao - 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% -
89 CHEN freya - - 2% 16% 40% 34% 8%
90 REN Harper 11% 30% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
91 WANG Yvonne - 3% 21% 43% 26% 6% -
91 HUANG Jui-An 19% 37% 30% 12% 3% - -
93 NIKOLLA Vivienne 5% 21% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
94 ARNOLD Evangeline - 4% 20% 39% 28% 8% 1%
95 GRUDZINSKI Josephine 16% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
96 PEKKER Amina 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
97 ZHANG Audrey A. - 4% 20% 39% 30% 8%
98 ROMANOV Mia 4% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
99 RAJ Indra 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
100 FAN Joy 1% 10% 28% 37% 21% 4%
101 DU Chelsea 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2%
102 MARKS Madeline 1% 11% 34% 36% 16% 2%
103 JIANG Alexandra 3% 19% 38% 29% 10% 1%
104 KUO Stella 9% 34% 40% 15% 2% -
105 PEI Claire - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
106 MOKRETSOV Leah - - 2% 14% 36% 39% 9%
107 CHEN Julia Z. - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
108 HUFF Elizabeth 2% 14% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
109 LI Allison 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
110 RAJPUT Mahek - 4% 16% 33% 32% 13% 2%
111 SUN Joanna 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
112 SIU Mila 1% 7% 21% 33% 27% 10% 1%
113 EDGAR Koko 1% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
114 CAI Melody - 4% 21% 41% 30% 4% -
114 CHEN Reina 5% 28% 41% 21% 4% - -
116 DU Chloe - - 3% 15% 34% 36% 12%
117 VILLER Alice 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
118 LEE Iona - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% -
119 CHO Josephine 25% 45% 25% 5% - -
120 JUBILEE Beata 5% 21% 36% 28% 9% 1%
121 MIAO Anthea 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
122 YOUNG Penelope 6% 29% 41% 20% 4% -
123 ZHANG Joy 5% 27% 39% 23% 6% 1%
124 SRIKUMAR Nikita 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
125 FAN Olivia 17% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
126 TAYLOR Poppy 10% 34% 37% 16% 2% - -
127 YAO Astrid 56% 36% 7% - - - -
128 MENDIRATTA Olivia 52% 38% 9% 1% - -
129 ZHAO Rachel 9% 37% 37% 14% 2% -
130 FENG Esther 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
131 SHI Elle 3% 19% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
132 SELASSIE Semara 6% 33% 43% 16% 2% - -
133 ZHU Danielle Jade 3% 16% 31% 31% 15% 4% -
134 TRIVULCE Scarlett 5% 20% 33% 27% 12% 3% -
134 NEGRUT Sabina 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
136 LI Elva 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
137 BRINDAVAN Vyahriti 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
138 PATEL Aria 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
139 XIE Zhiran (Celine) 16% 43% 30% 9% 1% - -
140 JERDEE Saige 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
141 PATEL Agena 10% 38% 37% 13% 2% - -
142 LIU Brinley 1% 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
143 BUZZINI Julia 12% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
143 CHU Brianna 42% 41% 15% 3% - - -
145 HUANG Cynthia 17% 51% 26% 5% - - -
146 DIAZ Amber 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 1%
147 ZHAO Crystal 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
148 CHALLAMEL Heloise 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
149 HE Elsa 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
150 REN Ivanka 6% 27% 37% 22% 7% 1% -
151 WANG Hailie 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
152 KWAK Olivia 6% 28% 39% 21% 5% 1% -
153 GURTIN Sasha 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% - -
154 YANG Nina 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
155 WANG Phoebe 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
156 WANG Jenny wang 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
157 CHUNG Yenna 13% 34% 34% 16% 4% - -
158 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 32% 44% 20% 3% - -
159 CHONG Emma 17% 38% 31% 12% 2% - -
159 MISHIMA Quinn 8% 38% 40% 13% 2% - -
159 CHERUKU Vihaani 43% 42% 13% 2% - - -
159 WILLIAMS Valentina 43% 43% 13% 2% - - -
163 PARKE Jaime 21% 44% 28% 6% - -
163 GORDON Winter 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
165 YADAGIRI Aditi 61% 33% 6% - - -
166 LOUGH Abbie 57% 36% 6% - - - -
167 WANG Yuette 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
168 DEFENSOR Ella 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.