BladeRunner ROC/RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
2 ABZHANOV Nurzhan - - - 3% 21% 45% 30%
3 SHARMA Sanil - - - 5% 27% 45% 23%
3 DIECK Logan O. - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 31%
5 KHAYAT Ziad N. - - - 3% 16% 42% 40%
6 WANG Joey - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
7 WONG Baron - 1% 9% 26% 37% 23% 4%
8 KIM Sterling S. - - 2% 13% 39% 37% 10%
9 BRISLAWN Reilly R. - - - 1% 8% 35% 56%
10 CHIEN Brandon - - 1% 9% 31% 42% 17%
11 ERLIKHMAN Adrian - 1% 8% 27% 38% 21% 4%
11 ROBINSON Samuel - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
13 YAO Geoffrey B. - - 4% 36% 45% 15%
14 TAI Edison - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
15 WU Steven 1% 14% 39% 36% 9% 1%
16 WILKENS Zach Q. - < 1% 4% 19% 40% 30% 6%
17 CHOI Zachary - - 2% 14% 39% 36% 9%
18 YAMASAKI Kyle A. - - 1% 8% 28% 44% 19%
19 KHANNA Nikhil - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
20 KIM Sullivan - - 1% 13% 39% 37% 11%
21 KIM Benjamin I. - - 3% 20% 51% 26%
22 DILLON Anik 2% 22% 43% 28% 5% -
23 CLAWSON Brian C. - - 9% 41% 37% 12% 1%
24 DU Shunyu K. - 5% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1%
25 YU Austin - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
26 POLAKOSKI David R. - - - 2% 15% 43% 40%
27 MENDOZA Zandro - 3% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
28 JOHNSTON Conner S. - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
29 LEE Royce 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% 1% -
30 SANKEY Luka 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
31 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. - - 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
31 MORIN-JIANG Jake - 4% 22% 43% 25% 5% -
33 GOHEL Dayus T. - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
34 LOYA Fernando - - 2% 20% 47% 31%
35 STEPHAN Jens - - 1% 9% 27% 40% 23%
36 NIXON Mark - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
37 LI Yunji (Rain) 3% 18% 37% 30% 10% 2% -
38 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
39 WU Johnny y. 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
40 PIVOVAROV Lucas 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
41 KIM Kevin - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
42 MAXU Tiger 7% 39% 46% 8% 1% -
43 JOYCE David - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
44 PETERSON Matthew 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
45 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin - - 3% 15% 36% 37% 9%
46 KURITZ Marc M. 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 6% -
47 DENG Destin 15% 51% 28% 5% - - -
48 TAYLOR Daryl J. - - - 6% 29% 44% 20%
49 SMITH Justin C. - - 3% 17% 38% 33% 9%
49 XU Thomas 6% 34% 41% 16% 2% -
51 TSANG Gary - - 1% 10% 44% 45%
52 ALLEN David 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
53 FU Nolan 26% 42% 25% 6% 1% - -
54 FU Leon - - 3% 28% 47% 22%
55 KLINKNER Richard 12% 48% 36% 4% - -
56 VOO Lucas 15% 39% 33% 11% 2% - -
58 ALI Adam 2% 18% 45% 29% 7% 1% -
59 LEE Damien 3% 30% 52% 14% 1% - -
60 FUNG SHAUN 51% 37% 10% 1% - - -
61 ELLOWAY William - 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 3%
62 PARKE Nathaniel 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
63 LIANG Donny 14% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
64 MCALVANY Dashel 18% 60% 19% 2% - - -
65 KIM Remington 30% 44% 21% 4% - - -
66 SANKEY Levi 1% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
67 HEINS Dylan - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
68 SOUKUP Branden 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 2% -
69 TANG William 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 5% -
70 BAILEY Creston P. - 3% 24% 41% 25% 6% 1%
71 SETTE Alessandro 16% 37% 32% 12% 2% - -
71 MCLAREN Mason 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
73 HILLSTROM Nathan 1% 13% 34% 34% 14% 3% -
74 YI David 30% 43% 21% 5% - - -
75 CHOI JJ 18% 46% 28% 7% 1% - -
76 ZHENG Haoran - < 1% 1% 8% 29% 43% 18%
77 MARSH Timothy G. - 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
78 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. 1% 11% 30% 34% 19% 4% -
79 KNIGHT Alex 15% 39% 32% 12% 2% - -
79 HORN Evans 66% 30% 3% - - - -
81 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 13% 54% 30% 3% - - -
81 CHEONG Cameron 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
83 XUE Chenming 46% 41% 11% 1% - - -
84 KOU Mason 60% 34% 5% - - -
85 HEWITT Frank F. 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
85 CHAO Warren 10% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
87 HEISLER Brendan E. 5% 27% 41% 22% 5% - -
88 CREASON Nicholas 59% 35% 6% - - - -
88 GAYLORD Ronan 63% 32% 5% - - -
90 KENO Daniel 67% 30% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.