BladeRunner ROC/RJC

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 8:00 AM

Liontree Arena (RIMAC) @ UC San Diego - La Jolla, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHIRASHNYA Daniel 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 30%
2 ABZHANOV Nurzhan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 30%
3 SHARMA Sanil 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 68% 23%
3 DIECK Logan O. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 31%
5 KHAYAT Ziad N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
6 WANG Joey 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
7 WONG Baron 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
8 KIM Sterling S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 10%
9 BRISLAWN Reilly R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56%
10 CHIEN Brandon 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 17%
11 ERLIKHMAN Adrian 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
11 ROBINSON Samuel 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
13 YAO Geoffrey B. 100% 100% 100% 95% 60% 15%
14 TAI Edison 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
15 WU Steven 100% 99% 85% 45% 10% 1%
16 WILKENS Zach Q. 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 35% 6%
17 CHOI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
18 YAMASAKI Kyle A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 19%
19 KHANNA Nikhil 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
20 KIM Sullivan 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 48% 11%
21 KIM Benjamin I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 26%
22 DILLON Anik 100% 98% 76% 33% 5% -
23 CLAWSON Brian C. 100% 100% 100% 91% 50% 13% 1%
24 DU Shunyu K. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
25 YU Austin 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 16% 2%
26 POLAKOSKI David R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
27 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 6% -
28 JOHNSTON Conner S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 24%
29 LEE Royce 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
30 SANKEY Luka 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
31 ROBITZSKI Daniel A. 100% 100% 100% 92% 64% 24% 3%
31 MORIN-JIANG Jake 100% 100% 96% 74% 31% 6% -
33 GOHEL Dayus T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
34 LOYA Fernando 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 31%
35 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
36 NIXON Mark 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
37 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
38 LINGVAY Laurance (Larry) S. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
39 WU Johnny y. 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
40 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
41 KIM Kevin 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15%
42 MAXU Tiger 100% 93% 54% 9% 1% -
43 JOYCE David 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
44 PETERSON Matthew 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
45 LUCERO-OLSON Aydin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
46 KURITZ Marc M. 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
47 DENG Destin 100% 85% 34% 5% - - -
48 TAYLOR Daryl J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64% 20%
49 SMITH Justin C. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 42% 9%
49 XU Thomas 100% 94% 59% 18% 2% -
51 TSANG Gary 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
52 ALLEN David 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
53 FU Nolan 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
54 FU Leon 100% 100% 100% 97% 69% 22%
55 KLINKNER Richard 100% 88% 40% 4% - -
56 VOO Lucas 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
58 ALI Adam 100% 98% 81% 36% 7% 1% -
59 LEE Damien 100% 97% 67% 15% 1% - -
60 FUNG SHAUN 100% 49% 12% 1% - - -
61 ELLOWAY William 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
62 PARKE Nathaniel 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
63 LIANG Donny 100% 86% 52% 19% 4% - -
64 MCALVANY Dashel 100% 82% 22% 2% - - -
65 KIM Remington 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
66 SANKEY Levi 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
67 HEINS Dylan 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
68 SOUKUP Branden 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
69 TANG William 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5% -
70 BAILEY Creston P. 100% 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1%
71 SETTE Alessandro 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
71 MCLAREN Mason 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
73 HILLSTROM Nathan 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
74 YI David 100% 70% 26% 5% 1% - -
75 CHOI JJ 100% 82% 36% 8% 1% - -
76 ZHENG Haoran 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 18%
77 MARSH Timothy G. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
78 GELNAW William (Gypsy) H. 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 5% -
79 KNIGHT Alex 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
79 HORN Evans 100% 34% 3% - - - -
81 WAGHOLIKAR Prathit 100% 87% 33% 3% - - -
81 CHEONG Cameron 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
83 XUE Chenming 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
84 KOU Mason 100% 40% 5% - - -
85 HEWITT Frank F. 100% 97% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
85 CHAO Warren 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
87 HEISLER Brendan E. 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% - -
88 CREASON Nicholas 100% 41% 6% - - - -
88 GAYLORD Ronan 100% 37% 6% - - -
90 KENO Daniel 100% 33% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.