Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 WU Jonathan - - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
3 ZHAO kuncheng - - - 5% 23% 47% 25%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
5 ZIEGLER John - 1% 6% 25% 43% 25%
6 MITEV Alexander - - - 3% 19% 46% 31%
7 NORMILE Nicholas - - - 3% 15% 41% 41%
8 SOKOL Luke - 1% 8% 26% 38% 23% 3%
9 BRODSKY Julian - - 3% 20% 44% 32%
9 ATKINS Levi H. - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
11 WANG justin - - - 3% 19% 47% 31%
12 CHEN Leonardo - - - 1% 9% 37% 53%
13 KIM Henry - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
14 TRAN Spencer - 1% 5% 21% 38% 28% 7%
15 SVERDLOV Seth - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
16 TSE Maxwell - - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13%
17 MANN Jake R. - - - 1% 7% 32% 61%
18 LIU Adam - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
19 MARTIN Mason - - 2% 13% 34% 37% 14%
20 LEE Benjamin 6% 25% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
21 LEE Aiden - - 4% 17% 37% 34% 7%
22 YI Nathan - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 1%
23 PARKER Isaiah - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
24 MEHROTRA Neel - 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 2%
25 LI Jade - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
25 RVACHEV Michael - 11% 38% 36% 13% 1%
27 LAI Boden - - - 3% 16% 45% 36%
28 CHEN Tianjun 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
29 REPIC Oliver - 2% 10% 28% 36% 21% 4%
30 SIYANKO Joshua - - 3% 15% 35% 37% 10%
31 ACAR Devin 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 2%
32 CARPENTER Touma S. - 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
33 BORISENKO Samuel - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
34 WOLFE Alex - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
35 KOKENGE Reid - - - 2% 13% 43% 42%
36 MCADOO Declan - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
37 BOUDREAUX James - - 1% 7% 27% 46% 20%
38 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus - 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 3%
39 ANAFI Ari - 3% 18% 38% 32% 9%
40 DOUBOV Andrew - 1% 6% 24% 42% 28%
41 GAO Victor 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
42 WANG Tony - 2% 12% 33% 35% 16% 2%
43 SINGLETON Aman - 1% 8% 27% 38% 22% 4%
44 AHMED Mohsen - 1% 6% 23% 39% 27% 3%
45 GLUSHKOV David - 3% 15% 33% 33% 13% 2%
46 RATUSHNYI Georgii - 2% 18% 40% 32% 8%
47 CUELLAR Markus 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
48 LIU Jeremiah W. 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
49 CHEN Edward 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
50 GUMEDELLI Mohnish - 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
51 BAJAJ Nakul - 5% 21% 37% 28% 8% -
52 XIE Brandon - 1% 12% 36% 39% 12%
53 KABA Elias 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4% -
54 BRADSHAW Carter - - 4% 19% 40% 32% 6%
55 PAN Anthony 3% 19% 37% 29% 10% 1% -
55 SUH Aiden 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
58 LI Ryan 5% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
59 ZHANG Jonathan 6% 28% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
60 YANG Alex 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% -
61 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 48% 40% 11% 1% - -
62 CUMMINGS Owen 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
63 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco - 4% 17% 35% 32% 10% 1%
64 HIGGINS Viktor 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
65 ORESKOVIC Olivier 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 2% -
66 SONG Charlie 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
67 PETERSEN Zachary 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
68 YIN Chujun - 1% 10% 29% 38% 19% 2%
69 KARIMOV Amir - - 2% 10% 30% 41% 18%
70 MANSFIELD Hunter 8% 29% 37% 21% 5% - -
71 LENNON Nicholas - 6% 25% 39% 24% 6% -
72 SUN Lucas 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
73 AU Joshua 6% 44% 36% 12% 2% - -
74 CAFASSO Alexander 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
74 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4% -
76 WU Jerry 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
76 HU HAOYUE - 1% 7% 23% 37% 27% 6%
78 ZHAO Pierce 1% 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
79 CHEN Jayden - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
80 KAPLAN Maddox 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
81 NALLICHERI Ayaan 3% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
82 TSIEN Richard 8% 29% 37% 20% 5% - -
83 BOUCHACOURT Arthur 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
84 PETINO Leonardo 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
85 HE Bronto 4% 20% 34% 28% 12% 2% -
86 YU David 10% 36% 37% 15% 3% - -
87 EMMERT JP 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
88 FRIEDMAN Andres 2% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
89 NOOL Alexander 4% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1% -
90 MILINKOVIC Maksim 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
91 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau - 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 2%
92 RIM Eugene - 5% 22% 37% 27% 7% 1%
93 LEE Anton 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
94 WARD Kofi 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
95 FOGEL Jake 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
95 LEE Ryan 75% 23% 3% - - - -
97 LI Morgan 1% 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
98 GOVOROV Alexander 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% -
99 SAVORETTI Pietro 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 5%
100 LI Ray 13% 42% 32% 10% 1% -
101 THOMAS Ethan 34% 44% 18% 3% - -
102 WHITE Aidan 8% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
103 HEISLER Maxfield 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
104 STEVENS Owen 11% 51% 31% 7% 1% -
105 EVANS Joseph 6% 30% 41% 19% 4% - -
106 NG Rygel 9% 30% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
107 VAN DOREN William 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
108 LI Tyrese 78% 21% 2% - - - -
108 ZHANG Marcus 3% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2% -
110 ROBINSON Garrett 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
111 MA Wilson 18% 41% 30% 10% 1% - -
112 EFFRON Silas 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
113 ROSIELLO Francesco 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
114 OTTAVIANO Aaron 20% 40% 29% 10% 2% - -
115 CHAN Tyler 30% 44% 21% 5% - - -
116 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
117 HOLCOMB Liam 42% 42% 14% 2% - - -
117 JOHNSON Lincoln 8% 33% 39% 17% 3% - -
119 KIM Zac 19% 43% 29% 8% 1% -
120 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
120 ZHENG Jason 10% 37% 38% 13% 2% - -
122 DU Yifan 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
122 XIE Richard 72% 26% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.