Premier Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 2:00 PM

Rockland Community College, Eugene Levy Field House - Suffern, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MAO Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 WU Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
3 ZHAO kuncheng 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 25%
3 CHEN Zhengyang (Allen) 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
5 ZIEGLER John 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
6 MITEV Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 31%
7 NORMILE Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
8 SOKOL Luke 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
9 BRODSKY Julian 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
9 ATKINS Levi H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
11 WANG justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
12 CHEN Leonardo 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
13 KIM Henry 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
14 TRAN Spencer 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
15 SVERDLOV Seth 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
16 TSE Maxwell 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 13%
17 MANN Jake R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
18 LIU Adam 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
19 MARTIN Mason 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
20 LEE Benjamin 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
21 LEE Aiden 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 42% 7%
22 YI Nathan 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 1%
23 PARKER Isaiah 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
24 MEHROTRA Neel 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 2%
25 LI Jade 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
25 RVACHEV Michael 100% 100% 89% 51% 14% 1%
27 LAI Boden 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
28 CHEN Tianjun 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
29 REPIC Oliver 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 4%
30 SIYANKO Joshua 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 10%
31 ACAR Devin 100% 99% 87% 54% 18% 2%
32 CARPENTER Touma S. 100% 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% 1%
33 BORISENKO Samuel 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 30%
34 WOLFE Alex 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
35 KOKENGE Reid 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
36 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
37 BOUDREAUX James 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
38 CRESPO Nathaniel Justus 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
39 ANAFI Ari 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
40 DOUBOV Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
41 GAO Victor 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 3%
42 WANG Tony 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 18% 2%
43 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
44 AHMED Mohsen 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 3%
45 GLUSHKOV David 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
46 RATUSHNYI Georgii 100% 100% 98% 80% 39% 8%
47 CUELLAR Markus 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
48 LIU Jeremiah W. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
49 CHEN Edward 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7% -
50 GUMEDELLI Mohnish 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
51 BAJAJ Nakul 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% -
52 XIE Brandon 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 12%
53 KABA Elias 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
54 BRADSHAW Carter 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 37% 6%
55 PAN Anthony 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
55 SUH Aiden 100% 95% 72% 38% 11% 2% -
58 LI Ryan 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
59 ZHANG Jonathan 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
60 YANG Alex 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% -
61 CHALLAMEL Hadrien 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
62 CUMMINGS Owen 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
63 ROSADO Balthazar Francisco 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% 1%
64 HIGGINS Viktor 100% 76% 36% 9% 1% - -
65 ORESKOVIC Olivier 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
66 SONG Charlie 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
67 PETERSEN Zachary 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
68 YIN Chujun 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 2%
69 KARIMOV Amir 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
70 MANSFIELD Hunter 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
71 LENNON Nicholas 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
72 SUN Lucas 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
73 AU Joshua 100% 94% 50% 13% 2% - -
74 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
74 YAMAGUCHI Yuzuki 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
76 WU Jerry 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
76 HU HAOYUE 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
78 ZHAO Pierce 100% 99% 91% 63% 27% 5% -
79 CHEN Jayden 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% 1%
80 KAPLAN Maddox 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
81 NALLICHERI Ayaan 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
82 TSIEN Richard 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
83 BOUCHACOURT Arthur 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
84 PETINO Leonardo 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
85 HE Bronto 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
86 YU David 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
87 EMMERT JP 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
88 FRIEDMAN Andres 100% 98% 77% 38% 10% 1% -
89 NOOL Alexander 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1% -
90 MILINKOVIC Maksim 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
91 CHOU-ESTEBAN Pau 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
92 RIM Eugene 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8% 1%
93 LEE Anton 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6% -
94 WARD Kofi 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
95 FOGEL Jake 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
95 LEE Ryan 100% 25% 3% - - - -
97 LI Morgan 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
98 GOVOROV Alexander 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% -
99 SAVORETTI Pietro 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
100 LI Ray 100% 87% 44% 12% 2% -
101 THOMAS Ethan 100% 66% 22% 4% - -
102 WHITE Aidan 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
103 HEISLER Maxfield 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
104 STEVENS Owen 100% 89% 39% 7% 1% -
105 EVANS Joseph 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% - -
106 NG Rygel 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
107 VAN DOREN William 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
108 LI Tyrese 100% 22% 2% - - - -
108 ZHANG Marcus 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
110 ROBINSON Garrett 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
111 MA Wilson 100% 82% 41% 11% 2% - -
112 EFFRON Silas 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
113 ROSIELLO Francesco 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
114 OTTAVIANO Aaron 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% - -
115 CHAN Tyler 100% 70% 26% 5% - - -
116 CHAN Kyle Si Tin 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2% -
117 HOLCOMB Liam 100% 58% 16% 2% - - -
117 JOHNSON Lincoln 100% 92% 59% 20% 3% - -
119 KIM Zac 100% 81% 38% 9% 1% -
120 SUBRAMANIAM Sahil 100% 93% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
120 ZHENG Jason 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% - -
122 DU Yifan 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
122 XIE Richard 100% 28% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.