March NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLELE Ifechi - - - - 1% 15% 84%
2 LI Anna - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
3 WU Jessica - - - - 1% 13% 87%
3 ANDRUS Allie - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
5 YANG Hannah - - - 1% 6% 31% 62%
6 FU Shannon - - - - 5% 31% 63%
7 CHEN Laila - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
8 CHOI Arianna - - - 1% 11% 38% 49%
9 CARCELLER Bernardita (Tini) - - - 1% 9% 38% 52%
10 SUN Milly - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 18%
11 YARBILOVA Aya - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
13 VIJAY Vaishnavi - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
14 MIAO Anthea - 3% 18% 39% 33% 7%
15 XU Aasta - - 1% 7% 25% 42% 25%
16 YOUNG Nicole - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
17 WANG Nicole - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
18 XIONG Alice - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
19 KIM Charlotte - 1% 8% 26% 38% 22% 4%
20 MOKRETSOV Leah - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
21 LI Ariel - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
22 TANG Ningyuan - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
23 VINLUAN Emma - 1% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
25 WANG Yvonne - - 4% 20% 40% 30% 6%
26 DAI Sophie - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
27 ZHANG Ashley - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
28 YU Chloe - - 3% 13% 33% 37% 14%
29 LIAO irene - - 1% 5% 22% 44% 29%
30 FURMAN Elizabeth - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
31 ZHAO Ellie - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
32 YANG Nina 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
33 YIP Allison - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
34 KIM Kate - 2% 13% 32% 36% 16% 1%
35 DU Chelsea - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
36 CHEN Madeline - - 2% 11% 31% 40% 17%
37 LI Allison - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 18%
38 KOU Cynthia - 1% 5% 21% 42% 31%
39 YIN Melody 5% 22% 34% 27% 10% 2% -
40 URICHECK Julianna - 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
41 SHI Elle - 2% 12% 32% 38% 17%
42 SUN Joanna - 2% 11% 32% 39% 16%
43 REN Harper 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
44 WANG Kercedes Ye 5% 29% 40% 21% 4% -
45 LAI Juliet - 4% 19% 39% 32% 7%
46 OLVECZKY Camilla - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 2%
47 BOUTSIKARIS Asha - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
48 HAN Emma - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
48 HUANG Jui-An - 4% 18% 34% 31% 12% 1%
50 DU Chloe - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 4%
51 VILLER Alice - - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
52 WANG Phoebe 1% 14% 36% 35% 13% 1%
53 ZAVERI Alexis 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
54 LIU Brinley - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
55 SCHLIEP Camellia 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
56 YANG Arianna 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
57 TAKAWIRA ANESU - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
58 XI Emily - 3% 16% 32% 32% 15% 2%
59 WONG Isabelle 1% 7% 25% 36% 23% 6% 1%
60 YOUNG Penelope - 1% 10% 28% 37% 20% 3%
61 TANG Jacquelyn 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
62 CHANG Hannah - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
63 PATEL Agena 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
64 SHIH Eva 6% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
65 WU Evelyn - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 4%
66 KIM Abigail 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
67 CHEN Stephanie - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
68 GOFMAN Anastasia - 1% 11% 31% 39% 17%
69 CHALLAMEL Heloise 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2%
70 CHEN freya 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2%
71 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% -
72 JUBILEE Beata - - 4% 21% 41% 29% 5%
73 WANG Katherine 12% 32% 33% 17% 5% 1% -
74 TRUONG Chloe 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
75 WANG Hailie 1% 13% 35% 35% 14% 2%
76 SELASSIE Semara 1% 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
77 CHUNG Yenna 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
78 ZHAO Crystal 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
79 FRANGER Emma 2% 16% 38% 33% 10% 1%
80 LEE Zoe - 1% 7% 24% 36% 26% 6%
80 DEJOY Leilah 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
82 BOBE Arianna - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
83 ZHU YUNXI - 4% 22% 40% 27% 7% -
84 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
85 LI zoey 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
86 VOO Evelyn 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
87 GURTIN Sasha 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
88 SALUBRO Vivianna 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 4% -
89 QI Chelsie - 3% 13% 31% 36% 16% 2%
90 YIN Elaine - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 2%
91 PEKKER Amina - 2% 10% 26% 35% 22% 5%
91 DEFENSOR Ella 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
93 CHANEY Evelyn - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
94 CHEN Reina - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
95 PARKE Jaime 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% -
96 LIU Emma 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
97 MARYAHIN Sophie 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
98 NEGRUT Sabina 2% 18% 39% 31% 9% 1%
99 XIAO Ashley - 2% 14% 33% 37% 14%
100 HONG Catherine - 7% 27% 38% 23% 5%
101 DACKO Katarina 1% 11% 30% 36% 19% 3%
102 MEGGERS Arya 1% 7% 27% 40% 22% 3%
103 TRIVULCE Scarlett - 5% 19% 35% 29% 10% 1%
104 HAN Melody - 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
105 CHOI Noah 2% 17% 34% 30% 14% 3% -
106 ILYAS Daanya 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
107 PATEL Aria 3% 14% 31% 32% 17% 4% -
108 CAHALANE Alexa 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4% -
109 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
110 VARIPILLI Aanya 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 8% -
111 RYU Natalee 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
112 FLESHER Mia 7% 31% 37% 19% 5% 1% -
113 LOO Samantha 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% 1%
113 PAN Zoe 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
115 CHONG Emma 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
116 KWON Allison 3% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
117 ZHAO Rachel 2% 12% 30% 34% 17% 4% -
118 SRIKUMAR Nikita 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
119 LAU Carys Bella 13% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
120 ZHANG Joy 11% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
121 ZHANG Avery 4% 31% 40% 20% 5% -
122 RAJ Indra - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
123 SHEN Isabella 4% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
124 AINSWORTH Esme 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
125 MU Jasmine 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
126 XIE ANDREA - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
127 LI Elva 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
128 YULTCHIEVA Julia 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
129 GLOEDE Juliana 2% 11% 27% 33% 21% 6% 1%
130 OZALP Tara 15% 36% 33% 14% 3% - -
131 SIU Mila - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
132 WANG Olivia 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
133 WU Angela 2% 17% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
134 KUANG Isabella 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% -
136 GORDON Winter 19% 39% 30% 10% 2% - -
137 WANG Jenny wang 22% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
138 CHERUKU Vihaani 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% -
139 SU Hermione Su 51% 38% 10% 1% - -
139 BARENSCOTT Elena 1% 12% 33% 36% 16% 3%
141 TAYLOR Poppy 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% -
142 KIM Lina 25% 41% 26% 8% 1% - -
143 LIU Zoe 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
144 ECCLESTONE Tara 32% 42% 20% 5% 1% - -
145 ALVAREZ Megan 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
146 LEE Zerah 39% 40% 17% 4% - - -
147 YADAGIRI Aditi 9% 43% 36% 11% 1% - -
148 COONEY Kyla 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
149 VILLER Gabriella 8% 30% 37% 19% 5% - -
150 GROMOVA Vlada 7% 29% 37% 21% 6% 1% -
151 YU Mandy - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
152 HUANG Cynthia 34% 41% 19% 4% - - -
154 MAO Faith 5% 30% 40% 21% 4% -
155 BUZZINI Julia 8% 33% 37% 18% 4% - -
156 DAI Amy 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
157 LI Celine 31% 43% 21% 4% - -
158 BONDE Trisha 22% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
158 TANG Sophie 5% 24% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
160 CHEN Emily 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
161 YOU Nina 6% 30% 40% 20% 4% -
162 HE Joyce 10% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
163 MRABET Maya 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
164 LOUGH Abbie 49% 39% 11% 1% - - -
165 BIRZ Vivi 70% 26% 3% - - -
166 ERATA Selena 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% - -
167 LUO Xinyue 12% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
168 CHEUNG SUN Jolene 6% 29% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
169 YAO Astrid 63% 32% 5% - - - -
170 MORTON Penelope 46% 40% 12% 1% - -
171 SOMANI Iam 53% 36% 9% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.