March NAC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, March 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Huntington Convention Center of Cleveland - Cleveland, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OLELE Ifechi 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
2 LI Anna 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 35%
3 WU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
3 ANDRUS Allie 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
5 YANG Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 62%
6 FU Shannon 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 63%
7 CHEN Laila 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
8 CHOI Arianna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
9 CARCELLER Bernardita (Tini) 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 52%
10 SUN Milly 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
11 YARBILOVA Aya 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
13 VIJAY Vaishnavi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 17%
14 MIAO Anthea 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 7%
15 XU Aasta 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
16 YOUNG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
17 WANG Nicole 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
18 XIONG Alice 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
19 KIM Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
20 MOKRETSOV Leah 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
21 LI Ariel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
22 TANG Ningyuan 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
23 VINLUAN Emma 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 25% 4%
25 WANG Yvonne 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
26 DAI Sophie 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 7%
27 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
28 YU Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
29 LIAO irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
30 FURMAN Elizabeth 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
31 ZHAO Ellie 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
32 YANG Nina 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
33 YIP Allison 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
34 KIM Kate 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 17% 1%
35 DU Chelsea 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
36 CHEN Madeline 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
37 LI Allison 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 18%
38 KOU Cynthia 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
39 YIN Melody 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
40 URICHECK Julianna 100% 100% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
41 SHI Elle 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
42 SUN Joanna 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
43 REN Harper 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
44 WANG Kercedes Ye 100% 95% 65% 25% 4% -
45 LAI Juliet 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
46 OLVECZKY Camilla 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
47 BOUTSIKARIS Asha 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
48 HAN Emma 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
48 HUANG Jui-An 100% 100% 95% 78% 44% 13% 1%
50 DU Chloe 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 4%
51 VILLER Alice 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15%
52 WANG Phoebe 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 1%
53 ZAVERI Alexis 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1% -
54 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 11% 1%
55 SCHLIEP Camellia 100% 97% 78% 38% 9% 1%
56 YANG Arianna 100% 99% 90% 64% 29% 7% -
57 TAKAWIRA ANESU 100% 100% 94% 74% 40% 11% 1%
58 XI Emily 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
59 WONG Isabelle 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 7% 1%
60 YOUNG Penelope 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 23% 3%
61 TANG Jacquelyn 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
62 CHANG Hannah 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
63 PATEL Agena 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3%
64 SHIH Eva 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
65 WU Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 4%
66 KIM Abigail 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
67 CHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
68 GOFMAN Anastasia 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
69 CHALLAMEL Heloise 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
70 CHEN freya 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 2%
71 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% -
72 JUBILEE Beata 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 34% 5%
73 WANG Katherine 100% 88% 56% 23% 5% 1% -
74 TRUONG Chloe 100% 93% 66% 29% 8% 1% -
75 WANG Hailie 100% 99% 86% 51% 15% 2%
76 SELASSIE Semara 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
77 CHUNG Yenna 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
78 ZHAO Crystal 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
79 FRANGER Emma 100% 98% 82% 44% 11% 1%
80 LEE Zoe 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
80 DEJOY Leilah 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 6%
82 BOBE Arianna 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 11%
83 ZHU YUNXI 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
84 STEPHAN Antje Elisa 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
85 LI zoey 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
86 VOO Evelyn 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% -
87 GURTIN Sasha 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2% -
88 SALUBRO Vivianna 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
89 QI Chelsie 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
90 YIN Elaine 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
91 PEKKER Amina 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
91 DEFENSOR Ella 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
93 CHANEY Evelyn 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
94 CHEN Reina 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
95 PARKE Jaime 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7% -
96 LIU Emma 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
97 MARYAHIN Sophie 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5% -
98 NEGRUT Sabina 100% 98% 79% 40% 10% 1%
99 XIAO Ashley 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
100 HONG Catherine 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5%
101 DACKO Katarina 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
102 MEGGERS Arya 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 3%
103 TRIVULCE Scarlett 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 11% 1%
104 HAN Melody 100% 100% 91% 63% 25% 4%
105 CHOI Noah 100% 98% 81% 47% 17% 3% -
106 ILYAS Daanya 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
107 PATEL Aria 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
108 CAHALANE Alexa 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
109 YUSHCHENKO Ivanka 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
110 VARIPILLI Aanya 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
111 RYU Natalee 100% 99% 88% 59% 25% 6% 1%
112 FLESHER Mia 100% 93% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
113 LOO Samantha 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 7% 1%
113 PAN Zoe 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 12% 2%
115 CHONG Emma 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4% -
116 KWON Allison 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
117 ZHAO Rachel 100% 98% 86% 55% 22% 4% -
118 SRIKUMAR Nikita 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
119 LAU Carys Bella 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
120 ZHANG Joy 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
121 ZHANG Avery 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% -
122 RAJ Indra 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 35% 8%
123 SHEN Isabella 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
124 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
125 MU Jasmine 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
126 XIE ANDREA 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
127 LI Elva 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
128 YULTCHIEVA Julia 100% 53% 13% 2% - - -
129 GLOEDE Juliana 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
130 OZALP Tara 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
131 SIU Mila 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
132 WANG Olivia 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% - -
133 WU Angela 100% 98% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
134 KUANG Isabella 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
136 GORDON Winter 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
137 WANG Jenny wang 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
138 CHERUKU Vihaani 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
139 SU Hermione Su 100% 49% 11% 1% - -
139 BARENSCOTT Elena 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3%
141 TAYLOR Poppy 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
142 KIM Lina 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
143 LIU Zoe 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
144 ECCLESTONE Tara 100% 68% 26% 6% 1% - -
145 ALVAREZ Megan 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
146 LEE Zerah 100% 61% 21% 4% - - -
147 YADAGIRI Aditi 100% 91% 48% 12% 1% - -
148 COONEY Kyla 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
149 VILLER Gabriella 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% 1% -
150 GROMOVA Vlada 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
151 YU Mandy 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
152 HUANG Cynthia 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
154 MAO Faith 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% -
155 BUZZINI Julia 100% 92% 59% 22% 5% - -
156 DAI Amy 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
157 LI Celine 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
158 BONDE Trisha 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
158 TANG Sophie 100% 95% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
160 CHEN Emily 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
161 YOU Nina 100% 94% 64% 24% 4% -
162 HE Joyce 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
163 MRABET Maya 100% 44% 9% 1% - -
164 LOUGH Abbie 100% 51% 12% 2% - - -
165 BIRZ Vivi 100% 30% 4% - - -
166 ERATA Selena 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% - -
167 LUO Xinyue 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
168 CHEUNG SUN Jolene 100% 94% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
169 YAO Astrid 100% 37% 5% - - - -
170 MORTON Penelope 100% 54% 14% 2% - -
171 SOMANI Iam 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.