USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Foil

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN James P. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
2 YU Eric W. - - - 1% 6% 32% 61%
3 AYUPOV Ilya - - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
3 CHUNG Andrew N. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
5 PRILUTSKY David B. - - - 2% 14% 42% 41%
6 GRIFFIN John O. - - - - 2% 27% 70%
7 UM Ethan A. - - 1% 6% 23% 44% 27%
8 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) - - 2% 12% 30% 37% 19%
9 TULYAG Fyze A. - - - 2% 13% 43% 43%
10 XIAO Ethan J. - - 1% 6% 21% 41% 31%
11 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. - - - 5% 26% 45% 24%
12 GIRALDO Pablo E. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% < 1%
13 LI Brandon H. - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
14 KELLY William J. - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 23%
15 KO Brian J. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
16 STANLEY Mason B. - 3% 15% 32% 34% 15% 1%
17 NAGIMOV Marsel - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
18 LORENZONI Davide Ryoga - - - 1% 6% 33% 60%
19 LUTAR Lucas N. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
20 ZHANG Daniel D. - - - - 5% 30% 64%
21 ZUSIN Zachary W. - - 1% 9% 33% 41% 16%
21 EMMER Chase T. - - - - 3% 24% 73%
23 MION Lorenzo - - - 4% 27% 55% 14%
24 LIU Justin - - - - 4% 26% 70%
25 RHYS POLLITT Rafael - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 10%
26 LIU Niles J. - - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
26 LEVY Jacob M. - - 4% 19% 39% 32% 6%
28 MORAIS Paulo - - 1% 6% 25% 44% 24%
29 LI Jiaan - - 2% 11% 37% 39% 11%
30 REALS Alden D. - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
31 LA ROSA Federico - 1% 7% 27% 43% 22%
32 OTAKE Jared K. 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
33 CHEN Ziyuan - - - 3% 18% 45% 34%
34 TUMMINGS C.J. - - - 2% 15% 43% 41%
35 DING Jonathan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
36 LIN Richard W. - 3% 12% 27% 33% 21% 5%
37 BESSIRE Nolan S. - - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
38 PARK Luke J. - - 5% 22% 44% 28%
39 OURSLER Jack - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
40 PELOSKY Ryan F. - - - 5% 20% 42% 33%
41 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. - 1% 8% 22% 33% 27% 9%
42 SHIH William - 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 6%
43 CHOY Lucas B. - - 3% 14% 35% 36% 11%
44 ANDERSON Colton J. - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
45 WU Alexander - 1% 8% 29% 38% 21% 4%
46 KASI Sanjay - 2% 10% 29% 37% 19% 2%
47 WAN Jason - 3% 16% 34% 33% 13% 1%
48 THAI William - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
49 BAE Junnie - 2% 13% 32% 37% 15%
50 CHIN Jason Y. - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
51 CHOI Ethan L. - - 5% 24% 44% 27%
52 SULLIVAN Jackson R. - 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
53 ARIZA Isaac A. - 1% 7% 25% 43% 24%
54 MA Alexander - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
55 HONDA Kazu Z. - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
56 JANG Jaewon - - 3% 14% 31% 36% 16%
57 LIANG Lixi (Henry) - - 3% 18% 37% 32% 9%
58 CHENG Thomas C. - - 2% 11% 29% 39% 19%
59 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. - 1% 5% 20% 39% 31% 4%
60 ZHENG Alan H. 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
61 DICKSON Farr R. - - 1% 11% 32% 40% 16%
62 XIAO Anthony 1% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
63 KIM Brandon J. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7%
64 HAN Andersen Y. 4% 21% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
65 VOGLER Justin K. - - - 1% 11% 41% 47%
66 XIAO Enoch A. - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
67 YU Vinni - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
68 HOOSHI Dylan M. - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 16%
69 DESHMUKH Ayush 2% 14% 37% 34% 12% 2% -
70 CANNON Caiden C. - - - 5% 24% 46% 24%
71 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 9% 1%
72 CHEN Allen - 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 2%
73 DESERANNO Jeidus - - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
74 PICKERING Owen D. - 2% 11% 26% 34% 22% 5%
74 HERGERT Benito - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
76 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan - 1% 7% 21% 35% 28% 9%
77 WEN George C. 1% 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
78 HO Ryan J. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
79 PAEK Alex J. - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 9%
80 SINGH Dayaal - 1% 10% 31% 38% 18% 2%
81 CHILPERIC HUGUET Antoine - 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
82 FUKUDA Alessio R. 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 8% 1%
83 KIM Yonjae - 2% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
84 MAO Connor 1% 8% 26% 35% 23% 6% -
85 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. - 1% 8% 29% 43% 20%
86 XU Max - 1% 7% 24% 38% 25% 5%
87 JIMENEZ Diran - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
88 FOGELSON Frederick J. - 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
89 BAUKNECHT Maurice Leon - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
90 LEE Joshua - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
91 BREIER Matthew F. - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
91 LIU Kevin B. - 2% 13% 33% 36% 15% 1%
93 KIM Nicholas W. - - 4% 17% 35% 33% 10%
94 REGE Advaith - - 5% 22% 41% 27% 5%
95 LAO Scott E. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
96 WU Michael 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 12% 2%
97 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. - - 4% 20% 40% 29% 6%
97 BANERJEE ANUP - - 4% 20% 38% 29% 8%
99 KUMBLA Samarth - - 4% 19% 40% 33% 3%
99 ZHANG Luke T. - 3% 16% 33% 33% 13% 2%
101 BOBROW Logan - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
102 LEE Caden - - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
103 NGUYEN Nish 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
104 MUSHA John M. - 2% 17% 40% 31% 9% 1%
105 ZENG Lucas H. - 2% 10% 30% 39% 19%
106 MITCHELL Philip D. 1% 10% 32% 38% 17% 2%
107 TSANG Matthew K. 4% 21% 37% 28% 9% 1%
108 YI Stephen K. 3% 18% 37% 31% 10% 1%
109 MORALES Ian N. 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
110 LEE Aidan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
111 ZHAO Jason L. - 3% 15% 32% 32% 14% 2%
112 ZHANG Henry C. - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
113 LI Simon A. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
114 LAURICELLA Douglas - 6% 27% 38% 23% 5% -
115 BAS Liam - 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1%
116 PROUTY Nicholas C. - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
116 LI Raphael C. - 1% 7% 30% 46% 15% 1%
118 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. - 9% 32% 38% 17% 3% -
118 HUTH Mitchell - - 3% 16% 42% 32% 7%
120 MILANO Alexander - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
121 WONG Adam L. - 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 6%
122 CHUNG Noah J. 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
123 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. - 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
124 DENYSE Jameson 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
125 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
126 DAI Jonathan T. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
127 KIM Isaiah G. 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
128 LYUTIKOV Yegor 25% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
129 WESTELIUS Isak R. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
130 HONG Daniel - 4% 17% 35% 33% 11%
131 OH Samuel H. - 3% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
132 MATHEWS Rocco J. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
133 CHOUN Samuel Minwook - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
134 ONIK Elijah T. 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
135 MARSHALL Ian - 5% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
136 GRIFFITH JACK - - 7% 28% 41% 21% 3%
137 BAE Kevin 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
138 COSTELLO Chaissen F. - 3% 14% 32% 34% 14% 2%
139 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
140 TSAY Jeremy M. 1% 6% 24% 39% 25% 6% -
141 SANTULLI Tristan 7% 30% 39% 20% 4% - -
142 CHIN Julian S. - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 1%
143 LAI Christopher W. 1% 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
144 KAZA Nitish 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
145 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 2% 13% 35% 35% 13% 2%
146 HSIUNG Richie 2% 18% 38% 31% 10% 1% -
147 PAE Jonathan L. - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
147 JEON Caleb A. - 1% 7% 23% 38% 26% 4%
149 DANKAR Neel 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
150 CHEN Andrew 1% 7% 26% 38% 22% 5% -
150 DEGREMONT Henri S. - - 3% 18% 40% 32% 6%
152 YU Anders 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%
153 WOMACH Tristan 26% 54% 18% 2% - - -
154 LI Richard - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 1%
155 WU Conrad J. 7% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
156 NEWHARD Noah A. 2% 15% 36% 33% 13% 2% -
157 BOUIE Jacob 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
158 BELLUOMO David C. 9% 37% 38% 14% 2% - -
159 ROBINSON Keegan B. 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
160 BALL James T. - 4% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
161 FU Yifan 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
162 PELOSKY Zack B. 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
163 CHOI Samuel 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 2% -
163 ANTONIO Marcky C. 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% - -
165 ZHANG Andy W. - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
165 LE Vyn A. 11% 32% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
167 MARX Oscar L. - 1% 10% 32% 39% 16% 2%
168 SCHENCK Koen M. 1% 9% 23% 32% 24% 9% 1%
169 DARIANO Noah G. 1% 8% 25% 35% 23% 7% 1%
170 CHEN GUTIAN 1% 6% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
171 LEE Connor C. - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
172 SHIKHMAN Robert 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
172 GALLUCCI Charles John 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
172 SCHOENBERGER Xander S. 3% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -
175 KIM Jackson 11% 29% 33% 19% 6% 1% -
176 PYO Michael M. 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
177 WONG NICHOLAS A. 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
177 DU Samuel R. - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
179 LIAO Alex J. 4% 22% 38% 27% 8% 1%
180 BRUK Peter J. 1% 10% 34% 37% 16% 2%
181 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 44% 41% 13% 2% - -
182 ALIMI Yacine A. 27% 46% 22% 4% - -
183 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 39% 41% 17% 3% - -
184 CAI Oliver K. 5% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
185 CHENG Jonathan - - 3% 17% 40% 34% 6%
186 YEROKHIN Michael N. 2% 12% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
187 KAO Castor T. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 3%
188 LIU Eric Y. 10% 33% 35% 17% 4% - -
189 LIN Dashiell 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
190 DROUTMAN Ryan 1% 11% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
191 SELIVANOV Adam 16% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
192 DOCTOR Aidan L. - 2% 13% 32% 35% 16% 2%
192 WU Jerry - 4% 18% 37% 32% 9% -
194 STRAYER Andrew 2% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3% -
195 BUERGIN Aidan 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
196 KOFROTH Zachary R. 14% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
196 HSU Sheng Hung 7% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
198 STRUGAR Marcus A. 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
198 ZHAO Jesse 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
198 SONG Dylan S. 1% 11% 29% 35% 19% 5% -
201 FU Samuel Y. - 3% 19% 38% 30% 9% 1%
202 KIM Tei D. - - 2% 11% 32% 40% 14%
203 KULKARNI Ansh A. 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
204 BURKE Spencer W. 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
204 WANG Andrew 2% 13% 30% 32% 17% 5% -
204 DALBERG Leif 4% 23% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
207 TIAN Aaron C. 4% 20% 34% 27% 11% 2% -
208 LOU Darren 33% 43% 20% 4% - - -
209 SOMERS Sean 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
210 GATZA Logan 3% 23% 40% 26% 7% 1% -
211 SYLVESTER William Z. 36% 44% 17% 3% - - -
212 MURRAY Maximo 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
212 XIAO EDWARD 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
214 DAVIS Christopher M. 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
215 HUANG Bernard 11% 35% 34% 15% 4% - -
216 NOWAK Joseph A. 5% 26% 42% 23% 4% - -
217 SEAL Maximus R. 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
218 LUH Ethan K. 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
219 ANGLIN Benjamin S. 19% 44% 29% 8% 1% - -
220 MILLER Duncan R. 3% 18% 37% 31% 9% 1% -
220 SZEGO Bence P. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
222 MCCOSH Evin M. 31% 43% 21% 5% - - -
223 MURUHIN Yaroslav 1% 10% 39% 36% 12% 2% -
223 GUO Zachary 49% 39% 11% 2% - - -
225 JAIN Aditya - 4% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
226 KO Tyler B. 5% 24% 38% 26% 7% 1%
227 WU Nicholas 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4%
228 ROUNTREE Rob 9% 32% 37% 18% 4% -
229 HOOSHI Jayden C. 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
230 TSAI Philip W. 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% -
231 GRISWOLD Abel B. - 3% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1%
232 KIM Aaron J. 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
233 REZNICK Nicholas J. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
234 MASCARI DUMONT Alexandre 23% 47% 25% 5% - - -
235 SWEENEY Quinn 24% 48% 24% 5% - - -
236 CHO Jeremy Y. 12% 38% 34% 13% 3% - -
237 PAULSON Connor M. 1% 8% 30% 39% 18% 3% -
238 LEE Chris 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
239 BENDER Rhys T. 3% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
240 SHA Yi Peng 3% 22% 42% 25% 6% 1% -
241 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
242 BERK Theodore 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
242 BARTEL Jacob L. 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1% -
244 FURST Matthew C. 2% 15% 34% 32% 14% 3% -
245 RINEHART Conner M. 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2% -
246 WILLIAMS Connor J. 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
246 HOU Kenneth 35% 44% 18% 3% - - -
248 PHAM-CHANG Duke A. 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% - -
248 AVRON Case B. 1% 11% 35% 39% 13% 1% -
250 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
250 CHEN Wilson 20% 42% 29% 8% 1% - -
252 UPTON Craig 45% 41% 12% 1% - - -
253 SONG Aiden S. - < 1% 1% 9% 31% 43% 16%
253 PRASANNA Advaith 80% 18% 1% - - - -
255 KIM BANSEOK 33% 46% 17% 3% - - -
256 UPTON Michael 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3% -
257 HOWARD Michael 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
258 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 6% 24% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
258 PAK Kwan Ting A. 31% 44% 21% 4% - - -
260 WILLETT Luc G. 53% 37% 9% 1% - - -
260 OH Jonathan 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
260 TOMINO rafael 9% 31% 38% 18% 3% - -
263 KEE Andrew L. 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
264 SZELA Tom J. 55% 36% 8% 1% - - -
264 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 12% 34% 35% 16% 3% - -
266 ZHANG Evan 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
267 ONG Ethan 26% 49% 21% 4% - - -
268 WERWA Griffith 37% 45% 16% 2% - - -
269 CAI Jason Zhicheng 8% 32% 38% 18% 3% -
270 ROSSEN Michael 28% 43% 24% 5% - - -
271 HAN Lawrence 29% 43% 23% 5% - -
271 GISLER Benjamin B. 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
273 WANG Gerald Y. 29% 42% 22% 6% 1% - -
273 FINLEY Dylan 52% 37% 10% 1% - - -
275 GOLDADE Luke A. 29% 46% 21% 4% - -
276 KIM Derek A. 33% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
277 SUNG Chang-Han S. 29% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
278 O'CONNOR Kristian 45% 44% 9% 1% - - -
279 NG Eben S. 2% 12% 28% 31% 19% 6% 1%
280 NAGER Noah < 1% 2% 12% 33% 36% 15% 1%
280 FINN Mark T. 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
280 NEWELL Ian A. 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
280 YU Jonathan J. 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
284 CHENG Matthew S. 6% 27% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
285 ARANA Massimo 47% 42% 10% 1% - - -
286 SURINGA William J. 34% 42% 19% 4% - -
287 KLEPKO Gleb 41% 41% 15% 3% - - -
287 WEEKS Richard P. 43% 39% 15% 3% - - -
287 FORTUNE Alexander J. 45% 40% 12% 2% - - -
287 ORVANANOS Jorge 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
291 KUO Evan 40% 42% 15% 2% - - -
292 KITAGAWA Eric S. 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% - -
292 CHEN Bryce 10% 40% 34% 13% 2% - -
294 ANTON Nathaniel 2% 23% 42% 26% 6% 1% -
295 WEI William 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.