USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Cadet Men's Foil

Wednesday, July 3, 2019 at 3:30 PM

Columbus, OH - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN James P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 YU Eric W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
3 AYUPOV Ilya 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
3 CHUNG Andrew N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
5 PRILUTSKY David B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
6 GRIFFIN John O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 70%
7 UM Ethan A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
8 XIAO Leon (Ruibo) 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
9 TULYAG Fyze A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 43%
10 XIAO Ethan J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 31%
11 MARTINEZ Donavyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 24%
12 GIRALDO Pablo E. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% < 1%
13 LI Brandon H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
14 KELLY William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
15 KO Brian J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
16 STANLEY Mason B. 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 16% 1%
17 NAGIMOV Marsel 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
18 LORENZONI Davide Ryoga 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
19 LUTAR Lucas N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
20 ZHANG Daniel D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
21 ZUSIN Zachary W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 16%
21 EMMER Chase T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
23 MION Lorenzo 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69% 14%
24 LIU Justin 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
25 RHYS POLLITT Rafael 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
26 LIU Niles J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
26 LEVY Jacob M. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
28 MORAIS Paulo 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
29 LI Jiaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 50% 11%
30 REALS Alden D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
31 LA ROSA Federico 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 22%
32 OTAKE Jared K. 100% 98% 87% 55% 20% 3%
33 CHEN Ziyuan 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
34 TUMMINGS C.J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
35 DING Jonathan 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 3%
36 LIN Richard W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 59% 26% 5%
37 BESSIRE Nolan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
38 PARK Luke J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
39 OURSLER Jack 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 27%
40 PELOSKY Ryan F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 33%
41 BAUMSTEIN Nicholas I. 100% 100% 98% 91% 69% 36% 9%
42 SHIH William 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 31% 6%
43 CHOY Lucas B. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 11%
44 ANDERSON Colton J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 20% 2%
45 WU Alexander 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 24% 4%
46 KASI Sanjay 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 22% 2%
47 WAN Jason 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 14% 1%
48 THAI William 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
49 BAE Junnie 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 15%
50 CHIN Jason Y. 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 15%
51 CHOI Ethan L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
52 SULLIVAN Jackson R. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
53 ARIZA Isaac A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
54 MA Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
55 HONDA Kazu Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
56 JANG Jaewon 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
57 LIANG Lixi (Henry) 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
58 CHENG Thomas C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
59 AUGUSTINE Ethan A. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 35% 4%
60 ZHENG Alan H. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
61 DICKSON Farr R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
62 XIAO Anthony 100% 99% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
63 KIM Brandon J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
64 HAN Andersen Y. 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1% -
65 VOGLER Justin K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
66 XIAO Enoch A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
67 YU Vinni 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
68 HOOSHI Dylan M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
69 DESHMUKH Ayush 100% 98% 85% 48% 13% 2% -
70 CANNON Caiden C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 24%
71 MCCLAIN Bryce C. 100% 99% 92% 69% 36% 10% 1%
72 CHEN Allen 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 16% 2%
73 DESERANNO Jeidus 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
74 PICKERING Owen D. 100% 100% 98% 87% 61% 27% 5%
74 HERGERT Benito 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
76 LEUNG Wai Chi Ethan 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
77 WEN George C. 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% 1%
78 HO Ryan J. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
79 PAEK Alex J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
80 SINGH Dayaal 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 2%
81 CHILPERIC HUGUET Antoine 100% 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
82 FUKUDA Alessio R. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
83 KIM Yonjae 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 3%
84 MAO Connor 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 6% -
85 GROSSMAN SMISEK Spencer E. 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
86 XU Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
87 JIMENEZ Diran 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
88 FOGELSON Frederick J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 14% 2%
89 BAUKNECHT Maurice Leon 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 6%
90 LEE Joshua 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
91 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
91 LIU Kevin B. 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 1%
93 KIM Nicholas W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
94 REGE Advaith 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 5%
95 LAO Scott E. 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
96 WU Michael 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
97 SACCOCCIO Nicholas P. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 35% 6%
97 BANERJEE ANUP 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 8%
99 KUMBLA Samarth 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 36% 3%
99 ZHANG Luke T. 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 15% 2%
101 BOBROW Logan 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
102 LEE Caden 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
103 NGUYEN Nish 100% 98% 83% 52% 21% 4% -
104 MUSHA John M. 100% 100% 98% 80% 41% 9% 1%
105 ZENG Lucas H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
106 MITCHELL Philip D. 100% 99% 89% 57% 19% 2%
107 TSANG Matthew K. 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
108 YI Stephen K. 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
109 MORALES Ian N. 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
110 LEE Aidan 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 2% -
111 ZHAO Jason L. 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 16% 2%
112 ZHANG Henry C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
113 LI Simon A. 100% 100% 94% 75% 40% 12% 1%
114 LAURICELLA Douglas 100% 100% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
115 BAS Liam 100% 100% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
116 PROUTY Nicholas C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
116 LI Raphael C. 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 15% 1%
118 JAYASEKARA Hiran H. 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% -
118 HUTH Mitchell 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39% 7%
120 MILANO Alexander 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 2%
121 WONG Adam L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
122 CHUNG Noah J. 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
123 SCHEMBRI MCCORD Kruz T. 100% 100% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
124 DENYSE Jameson 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
125 JOSEPH Dominic (Dom) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12%
126 DAI Jonathan T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
127 KIM Isaiah G. 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1% -
128 LYUTIKOV Yegor 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -
129 WESTELIUS Isak R. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
130 HONG Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
131 OH Samuel H. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
132 MATHEWS Rocco J. 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
133 CHOUN Samuel Minwook 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
134 ONIK Elijah T. 100% 98% 85% 53% 19% 3%
135 MARSHALL Ian 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
136 GRIFFITH JACK 100% 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 3%
137 BAE Kevin 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
138 COSTELLO Chaissen F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
139 FREEDMAN Samuel E. 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 9% 1%
140 TSAY Jeremy M. 100% 99% 93% 70% 31% 6% -
141 SANTULLI Tristan 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% - -
142 CHIN Julian S. 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
143 LAI Christopher W. 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
144 KAZA Nitish 100% 97% 81% 44% 12% 1%
145 ZELTSER Lawrence M. 100% 98% 85% 50% 15% 2%
146 HSIUNG Richie 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 1% -
147 PAE Jonathan L. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
147 JEON Caleb A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 4%
149 DANKAR Neel 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7% -
150 CHEN Andrew 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 6% -
150 DEGREMONT Henri S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 6%
152 YU Anders 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
153 WOMACH Tristan 100% 74% 20% 2% - - -
154 LI Richard 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 18% 1%
155 WU Conrad J. 100% 93% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
156 NEWHARD Noah A. 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
157 BOUIE Jacob 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
158 BELLUOMO David C. 100% 91% 53% 15% 2% - -
159 ROBINSON Keegan B. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
160 BALL James T. 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 8% 1%
161 FU Yifan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
162 PELOSKY Zack B. 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
163 CHOI Samuel 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 2% -
163 ANTONIO Marcky C. 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
165 ZHANG Andy W. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
165 LE Vyn A. 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
167 MARX Oscar L. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17% 2%
168 SCHENCK Koen M. 100% 99% 90% 66% 34% 10% 1%
169 DARIANO Noah G. 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
170 CHEN GUTIAN 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
171 LEE Connor C. 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 1%
172 SHIKHMAN Robert 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2% -
172 GALLUCCI Charles John 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
172 SCHOENBERGER Xander S. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
175 KIM Jackson 100% 89% 60% 27% 8% 1% -
176 PYO Michael M. 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
177 WONG NICHOLAS A. 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
177 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% -
179 LIAO Alex J. 100% 96% 74% 36% 8% 1%
180 BRUK Peter J. 100% 99% 89% 55% 18% 2%
181 BOOTSMA Shane-Anson 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
182 ALIMI Yacine A. 100% 73% 27% 5% - -
183 WITTENBERG Jackson H. 100% 61% 20% 3% - -
184 CAI Oliver K. 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
185 CHENG Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 6%
186 YEROKHIN Michael N. 100% 98% 86% 58% 27% 7% 1%
187 KAO Castor T. 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
188 LIU Eric Y. 100% 90% 57% 22% 4% - -
189 LIN Dashiell 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
190 DROUTMAN Ryan 100% 99% 88% 57% 23% 5% -
191 SELIVANOV Adam 100% 84% 49% 17% 3% - -
192 DOCTOR Aidan L. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
192 WU Jerry 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9% -
194 STRAYER Andrew 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
195 BUERGIN Aidan 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% - -
196 KOFROTH Zachary R. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
196 HSU Sheng Hung 100% 93% 62% 24% 4% - -
198 STRUGAR Marcus A. 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
198 ZHAO Jesse 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
198 SONG Dylan S. 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
201 FU Samuel Y. 100% 100% 97% 78% 40% 9% 1%
202 KIM Tei D. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
203 KULKARNI Ansh A. 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
204 BURKE Spencer W. 100% 99% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
204 WANG Andrew 100% 98% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
204 DALBERG Leif 100% 96% 73% 36% 11% 2% -
207 TIAN Aaron C. 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
208 LOU Darren 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
209 SOMERS Sean 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
210 GATZA Logan 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% 1% -
211 SYLVESTER William Z. 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
212 MURRAY Maximo 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
212 XIAO EDWARD 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% -
214 DAVIS Christopher M. 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
215 HUANG Bernard 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
216 NOWAK Joseph A. 100% 95% 70% 28% 5% - -
217 SEAL Maximus R. 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
218 LUH Ethan K. 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
219 ANGLIN Benjamin S. 100% 81% 37% 8% 1% - -
220 MILLER Duncan R. 100% 97% 79% 42% 10% 1% -
220 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 91% 60% 23% 5% - -
222 MCCOSH Evin M. 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
223 MURUHIN Yaroslav 100% 99% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
223 GUO Zachary 100% 51% 13% 2% - - -
225 JAIN Aditya 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
226 KO Tyler B. 100% 95% 72% 33% 8% 1%
227 WU Nicholas 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4%
228 ROUNTREE Rob 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
229 HOOSHI Jayden C. 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1%
230 TSAI Philip W. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% -
231 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9% 1%
232 KIM Aaron J. 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
233 REZNICK Nicholas J. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 6% 1%
234 MASCARI DUMONT Alexandre 100% 77% 30% 5% - - -
235 SWEENEY Quinn 100% 76% 29% 5% - - -
236 CHO Jeremy Y. 100% 88% 50% 16% 3% - -
237 PAULSON Connor M. 100% 99% 91% 60% 22% 3% -
238 LEE Chris 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
239 BENDER Rhys T. 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
240 SHA Yi Peng 100% 97% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
241 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
242 BERK Theodore 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
242 BARTEL Jacob L. 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1% -
244 FURST Matthew C. 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
245 RINEHART Conner M. 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
246 WILLIAMS Connor J. 100% 73% 26% 5% - - -
246 HOU Kenneth 100% 65% 22% 4% - - -
248 PHAM-CHANG Duke A. 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
248 AVRON Case B. 100% 99% 88% 53% 14% 1% -
250 FEDONCHIK Henry J. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
250 CHEN Wilson 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
252 UPTON Craig 100% 55% 14% 1% - - -
253 SONG Aiden S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
253 PRASANNA Advaith 100% 20% 1% - - - -
255 KIM BANSEOK 100% 67% 20% 3% - - -
256 UPTON Michael 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 3% -
257 HOWARD Michael 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
258 SCHULZE-KALT Graydon L. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
258 PAK Kwan Ting A. 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
260 WILLETT Luc G. 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
260 OH Jonathan 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
260 TOMINO rafael 100% 91% 60% 22% 3% - -
263 KEE Andrew L. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
264 SZELA Tom J. 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
264 ALLAMPALLAM Maanav V. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
266 ZHANG Evan 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1% -
267 ONG Ethan 100% 74% 25% 4% - - -
268 WERWA Griffith 100% 63% 18% 2% - - -
269 CAI Jason Zhicheng 100% 92% 60% 22% 4% -
270 ROSSEN Michael 100% 72% 29% 6% - - -
271 HAN Lawrence 100% 71% 28% 6% - -
271 GISLER Benjamin B. 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
273 WANG Gerald Y. 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
273 FINLEY Dylan 100% 48% 12% 2% - - -
275 GOLDADE Luke A. 100% 71% 25% 4% - -
276 KIM Derek A. 100% 67% 26% 6% 1% - -
277 SUNG Chang-Han S. 100% 71% 30% 8% 1% - -
278 O'CONNOR Kristian 100% 55% 10% 1% - - -
279 NG Eben S. 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
280 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16% 1%
280 FINN Mark T. 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
280 NEWELL Ian A. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
280 YU Jonathan J. 100% 63% 23% 5% 1% - -
284 CHENG Matthew S. 100% 94% 67% 30% 8% 1% -
285 ARANA Massimo 100% 53% 11% 1% - - -
286 SURINGA William J. 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
287 KLEPKO Gleb 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
287 WEEKS Richard P. 100% 57% 18% 3% - - -
287 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 55% 14% 2% - - -
287 ORVANANOS Jorge 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
291 KUO Evan 100% 60% 18% 3% - - -
292 KITAGAWA Eric S. 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% - -
292 CHEN Bryce 100% 90% 49% 15% 2% - -
294 ANTON Nathaniel 100% 98% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
295 WEI William 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.