Capitol Clash SYC, RCC, Veteran ROC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Foil

Saturday, January 18, 2020 at 1:00 PM

National Harbor, MD - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DESERANNO Jeidus - - - - - 3% 97%
2 LI Richard - - - - 6% 31% 63%
3 JIANG Owen - 1% 9% 31% 42% 18%
3 YANG Luao - - - - 2% 24% 73%
5 WONG Garrick G. - - 1% 7% 28% 43% 22%
6 LEE Aidan - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
7 GU Andrew - 1% 6% 25% 44% 25%
8 TANG Owen S. - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
9 RUSADZE Nickolas - - - - 4% 28% 67%
10 DESHMUKH Arjun - - - - 6% 36% 57%
11 MIALL Steven A. - - - 3% 18% 46% 33%
11 ZHAI Jeffrey - - - 4% 17% 40% 38%
13 LI Matthew - - 5% 24% 45% 26%
14 TIYA BIAYA K. - 1% 8% 34% 42% 15%
15 GOOR Julian - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
15 ORR Spencer - - 1% 15% 42% 35% 8%
17 WU Alexander - - - - 7% 36% 57%
18 LIN Michael - 1% 16% 41% 33% 8%
19 XIAO Benjamin - 1% 12% 33% 37% 16% 2%
20 ZHEN Ethan - - 3% 16% 38% 36% 6%
21 PO Oliver - - 1% 9% 32% 43% 14%
22 TOLBA Abdelrahman - - - - 5% 30% 65%
23 XU Jia Bao (Bowen) - - - 1% 12% 41% 45%
23 LI Chenglang Ryan - - 3% 21% 43% 29% 3%
25 DAI Jonathan T. - - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
26 LEE Jacob J - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
27 CULLIVAN Justice - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
28 LI Yao (Liam) - - 5% 23% 45% 27%
29 TRAUGOT Owen G. - 1% 10% 33% 41% 16%
30 CATINO Brennen - 1% 6% 27% 44% 22%
31 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden - 4% 23% 41% 26% 5%
32 LEWIS Akhil 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
33 REEVES Liam - - 2% 10% 29% 40% 19%
34 CHEN Kyle P. - - 1% 9% 33% 44% 12%
35 TANG Alexander L. - 1% 7% 26% 42% 22% 3%
36 YU Jason - - 1% 11% 36% 43% 7%
37 MARX Jackson L. - - - 1% 8% 37% 54%
38 ZHOU Leon 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
39 QIAN Jason H. - 3% 16% 34% 33% 12% 1%
40 WANG Jackson - - 3% 19% 44% 30% 5%
41 LIN James G. - 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 4%
42 AUGUSTINE Aaron A. - - 1% 7% 29% 48% 15%
43 XIANG Derrick - - 5% 27% 43% 22% 2%
44 LI Jinghua E. - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13% 1%
45 LAI Twayne - 3% 18% 39% 30% 8% 1%
46 LIN Andy - 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
47 LEE Jonah - 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% -
48 GONG Benjamin - 1% 8% 25% 39% 24% 3%
49 KLOTZ Isaiah 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
50 GUO Justin - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16% -
50 LIU Ethan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
50 AKYAMAC Bora 8% 30% 38% 19% 4% - -
53 ORLOV Dmitriy - 5% 20% 36% 30% 9% -
54 RAJ Jay 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2% -
55 TIKHAEV Alexander 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
56 WANG Auther - 2% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1%
57 DECORLETO III Andrew (Tripp) J. 5% 26% 40% 23% 5% -
58 LUAN Tian - 2% 14% 35% 34% 13% 2%
59 PARK Joseph - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
60 MATSAKH Philip 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
61 BURGOS Jacob R. 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
62 GUTH Joseph 1% 9% 27% 35% 21% 6% 1%
63 ROSE Ben 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
64 SONG Austin 2% 14% 32% 32% 16% 3% -
65 XU Andy P. - - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
66 TANG August L. - - 4% 18% 38% 33% 8%
67 MEJIA MATTHEW D. - - 1% 11% 38% 41% 9%
68 XU Ethan 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
69 YAO Bradley 1% 8% 28% 39% 20% 4%
70 KOVACS Wyatt 1% 11% 35% 36% 14% 2%
71 ZHANG Aaron - 8% 40% 37% 12% 1%
72 TANG Albert 1% 6% 20% 33% 27% 11% 1%
73 LEWIS Nikhil I. 7% 42% 42% 8% 1% - -
74 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 5% 23% 38% 26% 7% 1% -
75 XU Ethan 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
76 XU Dinghui Ryan 41% 44% 14% 1% - - -
77 MAO Lucas - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10% 1%
78 CASTRO Gabriel D. 1% 9% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
79 STONE Adam 2% 15% 34% 33% 14% 2% -
79 ZENG Rick 4% 23% 44% 24% 5% - -
81 LIU Ryan 15% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
82 WONG Jackson 10% 33% 37% 16% 3% -
83 SIMON Luke 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
84 WONG Jacob W. 11% 35% 37% 15% 3% -
85 QUINTERO Julian 37% 43% 17% 3% - -
86 SINHA Rounawk - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
87 LEE Lukas - 4% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1%
88 LIU Zixian (Aaron) - 1% 9% 26% 37% 22% 5%
89 FINDLAY Zachary 2% 15% 37% 33% 11% 2% -
90 GENIESER Graydon 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 3% -
91 ONIK Ari N. 4% 19% 33% 28% 13% 3% -
92 LEE Brendan 1% 9% 27% 35% 22% 6% -
93 RAJPAL Alastair - 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% -
93 TSAO Lukas 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
95 FECHTNER Ezra M. 1% 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% -
95 LI Lianhan 4% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
97 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO - 1% 8% 33% 40% 16% 2%
98 COPELAND Nigel 5% 29% 40% 21% 5% - -
99 TAN Aidan 2% 15% 37% 33% 12% 1% -
100 HOSANAGAR Ninad 28% 52% 18% 2% - - -
101 HARRELL Brendan 11% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
102 MAIER Finn 34% 43% 19% 4% - -
103 PAN Henry 35% 45% 17% 3% - -
104 LORENZO Alejandro - < 1% 7% 30% 43% 19%
105 SORSAIA John 72% 26% 1% - - -
106 KU Nolan 15% 58% 23% 3% - -
107 BERNARD Cohen 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
108 BLACK Zachary 13% 35% 33% 15% 3% - -
109 ZHAO Adam 1% 11% 42% 36% 9% 1% -
110 HUA Aiden - 3% 22% 47% 24% 4% -
111 RILEY Colin T. 37% 47% 15% 1% - - -
111 HUANG Eythan 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
113 ZHANG Alex 5% 26% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
113 JIE WanYue 29% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
115 JONES Jackson 22% 44% 28% 6% - - -
115 SHIM Peter S. - 16% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
117 ARCE Andrew W. 16% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
118 LEE Eugene 28% 49% 20% 3% - - -
119 VEDRE-KYANAM KABIR BAIG Aaradhya 2% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1% -
120 CHA James 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1% -
121 ZHENG LEON 35% 41% 19% 4% - - -
122 WANG Winston 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
123 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 26% 43% 25% 6% 1% -
124 SUI Samuel 10% 41% 36% 11% 1% - -
125 GERRISH William 22% 39% 27% 9% 2% - -
125 KIAYIAS Aris < 1% 1% 4% 18% 38% 34% 5%
127 ALLEN Henry G. 3% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
128 BELOKON Sammy 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
129 CHONG Tristan 2% 23% 42% 26% 6% - -
130 CHUNG Ian 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
131 SHELDON Owen 6% 33% 41% 17% 3% - -
131 BROADWELL Lukas 29% 49% 19% 3% - - -
131 CHOI Eugene 81% 17% 1% - - - -
134 CAO Vincent 58% 34% 7% 1% - - -
135 SENIC Lucas 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2%
136 BALDWIN Benjamin 30% 51% 17% 2% - -
137 HARRELL Charles 18% 39% 30% 11% 2% - -
138 KOE Beckett 3% 38% 41% 16% 3% - -
138 BROWNING Michael 2% 13% 34% 36% 14% 2% -
140 MACKAY Ian 61% 33% 5% - - - -
141 CHEN Junxuan 20% 40% 28% 9% 2% - -
142 YU William 93% 7% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.